UEFA Poland vs Netherlands Odds: Nations League Preview

Netherlands Clinches Group with Win and Belgium Draw, Loss

Two World Cup Teams Face Off

The UEFA Nations League A returns on Thursday as Poland host Netherlands in Group 4. These are the final competitive matches for these two World Cup teams before Qatar 2022 starts in late November. The Netherlands would clinch the group with a win here and a Belgium draw or loss vs. Wales. That makes this a big match for the Oranje and Louis van Gaal has called up a strong team for the occasion. Let’s preview the match and cover all of the relevant UEFA Poland vs. Netherlands odds.

UEFA Nations League – Poland vs Netherlands Game Info:

    • Location: Stadion Narodowy, Warsaw, Poland
    • Date & Time:
    • TV: Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports Go, fuboTV


Poland and the Netherlands have met four times in the past decade. The Oranje are unbeaten in those matches, with a record of three wins and a draw. When these teams met in Rotterdam in June in the UEFA Nations League 2022, Poland took a 2-0 lead. Second-half goals from Denzel Dumfries and Davy Klaassen secured a draw for the Netherlands. Poland have failed to beat the Netherlands in each of the last 11 meetings and last defeated them in 1979.

Poland Looks to Avoid Relegation

  • UEFA Nations League Standings: 1-2-1, 3rd Place (Group 4)

After four matches, Poland finds itself in third place in Group 4. They’re three points ahead of last place Wales and a result would go a long way towards avoiding relegation. There are some strong soccer betting trends involving Poland currently. They’ve conceded in all four of their previous UEFA Nations League matches. Also, three or more goals have been scored in three of their four matches.

Poland’s main threat up front is Robert Lewandowski, who’s been in great form for new club Barcelona. After failing to score vs. former club Bayern Munich, he scored twice last Saturday vs. Elche. When Lewandowski gets good service, he usually manages to get on the scoresheet. However, that’s been a challenge as he’s scored just once in three Nations League appearances.

There are some interesting additions to the Polish team this time around. Mateusz Legowski, Jakub Piotrowski, and Michal Skoras could make their debut during the international break. Piotr Zielinski has also been a key player in midfield for Napoli this season and gets a bit overlooked. Aston Villa fullback Matty Cash established himself as a starter but he’ll miss out here due to injury.

Dutch Unbeaten Under Van Gaal

  • UEFA Nations League Standings: 3-0-1, 1st Place (Group 4)

The Netherlands looked like they ran out of ideas at last year’s European championships. They were starved for creativity and suffered an early exit at the hands of the Czech Republic. Coach Frank de Boer was sacked after the tournament and was replaced by Louis van Gaal. Since LVG took over, the Netherlands are unbeaten in 13 matches.

They’ve looked more fluid on offense and have managed to score multiple goals in each of their four UEFA Nations League matches. With three goals, forward Memphis Depay is currently the top scorer in the Nations League A. Wingback Denzel Dumfries has also scored twice for the Oranje. Both of them are in the squad, along with some other big names in defense.

Virgil van Dijk and Matthijs De Ligt are one of the best center-back pairs in international soccer. Van Gaal also has Stefan de Vrij and Nathan Ake at his disposal. Notably, Van Dijk only played in one of the four Nations League matches in June. That’s one of the explanations for why the Dutch have conceded in all of their matches. Curiously, the UEFA Poland vs. Netherlands odds prices the Oranje at 140 to score one goal or fewer despite their offensive prowess.

Odds & Preview

The Netherlands are even-money favorites, which is no surprise given recent head-to-head history. The fact that the UEFA Poland vs. Netherlands odds price over 2½ goals at -110 is a bit of a surprise, though. Four goals were scored the last time these teams played and over 2½ have hit in all four Netherlands matches. Still, the addition of Van Dijk could give some stability to Oranje’s defense.

Hosts Poland is +250 underdogs and has won just two of their last seven international matches. Still, Poland usually gets on the board even if Belgium shut them out in their last match. Poland has scored in 21 of their last 22 matches.

A draw also sits at +250 odds heading into Thursday’s match. Interestingly, both teams would still control their fate if a draw were to occur. A Netherlands draw vs. Poland and a win over Belgium would clinch the group. A Poland draw vs. the Netherlands and a win over Wales would mean another season in the A division. Don’t expect either team to settle for just a point, though.

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