Mutua Madrid Open Odds: Defending Champion Alcaraz Clear Favorite in Madrid

Former Champions Zverev, Alcaraz Among Players to Watch in Madrid

There are some notable players missing as the Mutua Madrid Open is set to get underway. Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, who have combined to win eight of the last 17 men’s singles titles, are not in the field.

When looking at the Mutua Madrid Open odds, that could pave the way for Carlos Alcaraz to become the first men’s player to win back-to-back titles in Madrid since Nadal in 2013 and 2014.

Eleven of the top 13 ranked players are entered in a loaded field. Daniil Medvedev and Alcaraz rank first and second in the tennis player stats when it comes to returning serve.

Three-time Grand Slam singles champion Stan Wawrinka is among those set to hit the court on Wednesday for the start of the men’s draw.

The most competitive of Wednesday’s ATP matches could be the one between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Jaume Munar as well as the showdown between Alexander Bublik and Daniel Elahi Galan. The biggest favorite is Richard Gasquet. Gasquet has struggled in Madrid with a 9-10 career record.

Alcaraz (-165) is the overwhelming favorite to win the title.

According to the ATP odds, Alcaraz (+160) trails only Djokovic in the French Open outrights. Among the players in the Madrid field, Stefanos Tsitsipas (+650), Casper Ruud (+1200), and Holger Rune (+1400) have the best odds to win the French Open.

Here’s a look at some of the top contenders.

Carlos Alcaraz

Alcaraz is the clear favorite in Madrid, especially without Novak Djokovic in the field when it comes to the Mutua Madrid Open odds.

Alcaraz didn’t lose a set in winning the title at Barcelona. The competition will be much more daunting in Madrid after Alcaraz faced only one top-25 player last week.

He already has won three titles and has been to the finals in four of his five tournaments in 2023.

Alcaraz eliminated three top 10 players en route to winning in Madrid in 2022.

Grigor Dimitrov, Sebastian Korda, and Alexander Zverev are the ranked players in his portion of the draw.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

The fifth-ranked Tsitsipas is coming off a run to the finals at Barcelona. It was his best result since advancing to the Australian Open final as he went 5-4 before heading to Barcelona.

Tsitsipas (+400 to win the title according to the Mutua Madrid Open odds) reached the 2019 finals in Madrid, upsetting Rafael Nadal along the way and he made it to the 2022 semifinals.

Tsitsipas did reach the 2021 French Open final and was up two sets on Nadal before things fell apart.

He could square off with Dominic Thiem in the second round with American Tommy Paul another player to watch in his quarter.

Daniil Medvedev

The World’s No. 3 ranked player is also third in the betting odds heading into the tournament as he is priced at +500 to take the title.

Medvedev had a strong showing at back-to-back ATP 1000 events in the United States as he won the Miami Open with a 7-5, 6-3 win over Jannik Sinner. That was preceded by a run to the title match at Indian Wells thanks to a pair of three-set wins.

He won titles in Doha and Dubai. In Dubai, he rolled past No. 1 Novak Djokovic and No. 6 Andrey Rublev in the semifinals and finals. He also won the title at Rotterdam so he is a player worth keeping an eye on even though he has never made it past the Round of 16 in three previous appearances in Madrid.

There is a chance he could draw two-time Madrid champion Andy Murray in the second round.

Cameron Norrie

Norris, the 13th-ranked player in the latest ATP rankings, has better odds than six players ahead of him in the rankings.

Norrie won the title at Rio de Janeiro in February, upsetting Alcaraz in a three-set final. That came a week after the two met for the title in Buenos Aires.

• Since reaching the quarterfinals in Indian Wells, Norrie is just 1-3.
• Norris debuted in Madrid in 2022 and reached the Round of 16 before running into Alcaraz.
• A possible third-round meeting with Denis Shapovalov could be tricky.

Other Players to Watch

Holger Rune, Casper Ruud, Alexander Zverev, and Felix Auger-Aliassime are all priced at +1200 with Taylor Fritz the best hope for the U.S. at +1400 with Frances Tiafoe checking in at +2000.
Rublev (+1600), Lorenzo Musetti (+1800), and Dominic Thiem (+2000) are among the other players who can make some noise.

The eighth-seeded Fritz could draw Miomir Kecmanovic in the third round with either Norrie or possibly Denis Shapovalov waiting in the next match. No American-born player has reached the Madrid final since Andre Agassi won the title in 2002.

Thiem, the 2020 US Open singles champion, is unseeded and as a result, he would meet up with Tsitsipas if he wins his opening match against Kyle Edmund.

Ruud is flying under the radar a bit as the No. 3 seed as he has had a rough start to 2023 with seven losses to players outside of the top 30 and two outside of the top 100.

Ruud did reach the semifinals in Madrid in 2021. However, he lost in his first match in 2022.

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