WTA Roland Garros Odds Preview: Despite Leg Injury, Champion Swiatek Still The Fav

No. 2 Seed Sabalenka Eyeing First French Open Title

Americans Have Tough Draws in the 2023 French Open

The start of the French Open is just a few days away and there was already some news to report with Paula Badosa, who reached the quarterfinals at Roland Garros in 2021 and had an impressive run to the semifinals at the Italian Open withdrawing from the upcoming Grand Slam event as a result of a spine injury. She was showing odds of +1600 to win the title.

The WTA Roland Garros odds preview predictably begins with defending champion Iga Swiatek.

The upsets have already started with Mirra Andreeva topping No. 1 seed Camila Osorio in the final round of qualifying.

The draw was pulled on Thursday with some interesting results.

Swiatek will begin her title defense against Cristina Bucsa. Some other intriguing first-round matches include Sloane Stephens meeting Karolina Pliskova, Victoria Azarenka squaring off with Bianca Andreescu and Danielle Collins drawing Jessica Pegula, Kaia Kanepi playing Madison Keys, and Alize Cornet matching up with Camila Giorgi.

Here’s a look at some of the challenges heading into Roland Garros.

Iga Swiatek

It is never a good sign to see the world No. 1 player pull out of a match not long before the start of a Grand Slam.

That is what happened with Swiatek who retired in the third set at the Italian Open against Elena Rybakina as a result of a leg injury.

Still, according to the WTA Roland Garros odds preview, Swiatek is the overwhelming favorite at -140 to make it two titles in a row at Roland Garros.

She has won the titles at Dubai and Stuttgart and looks to make a deeper run than she did in Australia when she was upset by Rybakina in the Round of 16.

Swiatek doesn’t have the easiest draw with Victoria Azarenka and former champion Barbora Krejcikova possible opponents before the quarterfinals.

Americans Coco Gauff and Madison Keys could be waiting in the quarterfinals as could Veronika Kudermetova.

Swiatek is looking to become the first player to win back-to-back women’s singles titles at the French Open since Justine Henin won three titles in a row from 2005-2007.

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka should be well rested after falling to American Sofia Kenin in straight sets in her first match in Rome. That came after she won the title in Madrid with a three-set win over Swiatek. Sabalenka and Swiatek also met in the Stuttgart final and they are on the opposite ends of the Roland Garros draw.

Sabalenka didn’t drop a set until rallying from one set down to defeat Rybakina in the Australian Open final and she is looking for more of the same at the French Open.

Sabalenka is priced at +325 when it comes to the WTA Roland Garros odds preview.

Elena Rybakina

The fourth-ranked Rybakina is coming off a title run at the Italian Open when three different opponents had to retire during matches.
Rybakina topped both Swiatek and Sabalenka to win in Indian Wells.

When looking at the tennis schedules, Rybakina made headlines with her Round of 16 wins over Swiatek at the Australian Open. She made it all the way to the final in Melbourne before dropping a three-set match to Sabalenka.

She is priced at +725 to win at Roland Garros.

Barbora Krejcikova

Krejcikova had a memorable title run at Roland Garros in 2021. Since then, she hasn’t advanced past the quarterfinals at a Grand Slam. She fell in the first round at Roland Garros in 2022.

Krejcikova has been ranked as high as No. 2, but she is currently at 13.

She showed what she is capable of when she eliminated Sabalenka, Jessica Pegula, and Swiatek to win in Dubai.

She is 8-5 since then and 1-5 against ranked players.

Her odds at +1400 make her the No. 3 favorite according to the French Open odds.

Looking at the U.S. Hopes

No American-born player has won the women’s singles title at the French Open since Serena Williams in 2015.

Sloane Stephens, Sofia Kenin, and Coco Gauff have all made it to the finals since Williams’ title run.

Gauff (+2000) has the best odds among the American women in the field.

Jessica Pegula ranked third in the WTA rankings, had her best showing at the French Open in 2022 with a run to the quarterfinals. Still, she is listed at +2500 in the title odds.

Danielle Collins and Madison Keys both have +4000 odds.

Logjam at +2000

Gauff has plenty of company at +2000 with Ons Jabeur, Caroline Garcia, Maria Sakkari, and Jelena Ostapenko joining her.

Garcia suffered losses to players outside the top 50 in back-to-back events on clay.

Sakkari did have a strong run to the semifinals in Madrid. She has also lost her opening-round match three times in 2023.

Jabeur can be dangerous in any field even if she is only 2-2 against players in the top 20 in 2023.

Ostapenko moved up three spots to No. 14 in the latest WTA

rankings after posting wins over Krejcikova, Daria Kasatkina, and Badosa on the way to the semifinals at the Italian Open. That was a much-needed result for a player who has struggled a bit since reaching the Australian Open quarterfinals.

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