UFC 273 Props and Odds: Favorites Going Distance
Predictable Decisions or Shocking Knockouts?
We see the term “stacked” attached to every UFC pay-per-view (PPV), but UFC 273 is the very definition of it. Two championship fights, one as a grudge rematch, and potential star-making bouts line the UFC’s latest PPV offering. Looking at the betting lines, we could see some predictable outcomes as the three featured bouts have large favorites.
Can Volkanovski Lock Up The Korean Zombie?
Alexander Volkanovski is the largest favorite for the evening as he defends his featherweight strap against Chan Sung Jung, better known as “The Korean Zombie.” Volkanovski opened at -180 but has been bet to as low as -800. Money has started to come in on the Zombie, though he’s still the biggest underdog of UFC 273.
An all-around fighting machine, Volkanovski is highly expected to beat Zombie via a decision at -125. The UFC betting odds also have this fight going to the judges at -180, although Zombie to win via the scorecards is one of the most lucrative prop bets at +1000.
Definite Conclusion to Sterling vs Yan Rivalry
The last time Aljamain Sterling fought Petr Yan, he came away with the bantamweight title after a bit of an acting job following Yan’s illegal knee. Since then, Sterling has recovered from injuries while Yan has defeated Cory Sandhagen to capture the interim title.
Most UFC Fight Night predictions have Yan soundly beating Sterling, as he appeared to be doing before the ill-advised knee. The Russian is the third-biggest favorite of the night and whether it’s by a finish (+135) or a decision (+110), he is expected to beat “AlJo.” What are the odds of Yan getting disqualified again? A prop bet on that will pay at +175 (bundled with a T/KO win).
Chimaev Ready to Break Out vs Burns
In what could be the most scrutinized fight of UFC 273, the highly touted Khamzat Chimaev is expected to make short work of Gilbert Burns. There has been no hype train as big as Chimaev’s since a certain Irishman was knocking everyone out at featherweight. But Chimaev is just five fights into the UFC and gets a former title challenger as a -550 favorite.
Plenty of fans have pegged Burns as a serious underdog, although the betting lines would say otherwise. Chimaev to win by a finish is nearly at 2-1 and the fight is also not expected to go to the judges at -280. If these UFC odds are proven accurate, we could see the next challenger to Kamaru Usman’s title (sorry, Leon Edwards).
Dern Gets Another Tough Test vs Torres
The hype has died down on Mackenzie Dern, once the most promising prospect out of women’s MMA. The Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu phenom is 6-2 in the UFC but is coming off a loss. Tecia Torres has resurrected her UFC career after suffering a four-fight skid.
Interestingly, the most likely method of victory for Dern is via submission at +220. Most of her wins have come via this way, though Torres has never been finished or submitted in her 18 professional fights. The betting odds have this close to a pick’em, thoughbut as with most women’s fights, the total rounds going over 2.5 is juiced to the gills.
Pichel vs Madsen: Battle of Grapplers
Both Vinc Pichel and Mark Madsen are prolific grapplers despite their different backgrounds. Pichel does not have the wrestling credentials of Madsen, who won a silver medal in the 2016 Olympics in Greco-Roman Wrestling. Both have won their last three UFC fights and Madsen is undefeated.
However, most seasoned MMA fans know that two wrestlers meeting usually leads to a sloppy striking exchange. In that case, it’s worth keeping an eye on the prop that the fight will not go the distance at +130. These fighters aren’t known for their knockout power, but when they are slinging heavy leather, anyone could go down. Bank on this fight to open UFC 273’s main card with a bang.