Home crowd advantage is a real thing. In the UFC, the raucous fans in attendance can influence fights by pushing fighters to fight more aggressively. The results? More crowd-pleasing performances. The UFC odds props for Fight Night London promise something similar with a card lined with matchups that should produce thrilling finishes.
London’s History For “Bangers”
Something about London makes UFC events much more fun than they are. The Last UFC London event is in the running for the best UFC event this year. Taking place in March this year, this event saw nine of the 12 fights end in a finish. Tom Aspinall put on an exclamation mark on the event by submitting Alexander Volkov in the first round. The local favorites mostly won and earned performance bonuses.
In 2018, Volkov was on the other end of a finish as he knocked out former champion Fabricio Werdum. There were slews of finishes just as the UFC odds props predicted. Most other London events featured at least half of the fights ending via a knockout or a submission including the first-ever card, UFC 37: Brawl at the Hall. Then-champion Matt Hughes TKO’d former champ Carlos Newton to make it three straight TKO’s to end the night.
Not all fights get finished so don’t bet on UFC props this way. Some go to a decision though, these can be back-and-forth brawls, usually courtesy of “The Count” Michael Bisping. But other than Bisping, fighters like Diego Sanchez, Marcus Davis, and Jimi Manuwa have put on a show. Now, the torch is passed to the younger generation, who fill this new UFC Fight Night.
Local Talent Expected to Dominate
Just as you’d expect, the UFC has booked the local talent “winnable” fights, and we’re not just talking about winning but beating up the competition. Go by the UFC odds’ props and find the likes of Aspinall, Paddy Pimblett, and Muhammad Mokaev expected to smoke their opponents.
Aspinall is a slight favorite but his method of victory is heavily expected to be a finish as is consistent with all of his wins. Pimblett is expected to finish Jordan Leavitt and the betting odds have it at a “pick em” price thus indicating there is better than a 51 percent chance he does it. While Mokaev, one of the hottest prospects, should dispatch Charles Johnson at even odds.
The UFC odds’ props have a finish as the most likely method of victory for seven of the nine local fighters. This includes Paul Craig who is a slight dog against Volkan Oezdemir. The two who have props favoring them to go to a decision are Molly McCann and Nathaniel Wood. Ironically, they are the two of the three biggest favorites.
Fast and Furious: London
Of the 14 fights scheduled on Saturday, only four are expected to need judges according to the prop bets UFC. The two women’s fights plus Wood-Rosa and Silva-Dalby have props where a “fight goes to decision” method is lined as a favorite; however, the last time McCann was in London, she had the best knockout of the evening.
10 fights are expected to finish; Craig-Oezdemir is the juiciest of them all. A prop bet on their fight to get finished is listed at -360, which is the shortest of this type of prop. Of Craig’s 13 UFC fights, 12 ended in a finish. The “Bear Jew” will either finish his opponent or get die trying. In Oezdemir’s case, six of his 10 UFC bouts ended in either a knockout or submission.
Things don’t always go the way of the chalk. Jorge Masvidal knocked out Darren Till as a dog in 2019 and Jan Blachowicz upset Jimi Manuwa a year prior. Of the eight British fighters expected to win, a few may run into trouble. Wood is the largest favorite on the card even if props say he’ll be winning by a decision. His opponent, Charles Rosa, is a longtime veteran who has fought title contenders. A competitive bout could swing to his favor at lucrative odds.
Damir Hadžović is another underdog who could stun Marc Diakiese. The Bosnian just beat Yancy Medeiros while all of Diakese’s UFC wins have come against fighters no longer in the promotion or fighting at a division below. The props’ odds indicate that a decision win for Hadžović is at 15-2, which seems outrageous.Follow us on Twitter