UFC Betting Analysis
Welterweight boutfeatured UFC FIGHTThe UFC octagon returns to ESPN with a top-ten welterweight showdown between Stephen Thompson and Kevin Holland. The UFC Fight Night event's odds should be tight here as both “Wonder Boy” Thompson vs Holland look to get back in the ‘win’ column at Orlando's Amway Center, this December 3rd. Thompson has lost two straight while Holland was quickly finished by Khamzat Chimaev in a catchweight bout.
Team Moneyline Stephen Thompson +140 Kevin Holland -170
Team Moneyline Bryan Barberena +375 Rafael Dos Anjos -550
Team Moneyline Matheus Nicolau -380 Matthew Schnell +280
Team Moneyline Tai Tuivasa +175 Sergei Pavlovich -220
UFC Fight Night – December 3rd.
Still, even if both Stephen Thompson and Kevin Holland are coming off losses, a win from either will solidify their standing in a stacked 170-pound division. Thompson is typically a favorite and beats other strikers while Holland is 2-0 since moving to welterweight.
Also on the card is a women’s flyweight bout between Tracy Cortez and Amanda Ribas. Like the main event, this one should be a close fight on the betting lines.
How to Bet on this UFC Fight Night?
Betting on Thompson vs Holland odds can be done when betting lines open. This usually happens a few weeks before the fight and with the UFC main event. You can bet on who wins the fight via the moneyline. Alternatively, the totals lets you bet on whether the fight goes over or under the sportsbook’s totals.
The props market is also another interesting part of UFC betting. You can bet how Thompson or Holland will win: knockout, submission, or decision or what round either will win. Another popular bet is whether their fight will go to a decision or not.
Let’s Check Out the Trends
Thompson lost his last two fights via decision precisely when being the betting favorite. The UFC odds, as of right now, are holding Thompson as the underdog. Yeap, his first fight as one since 2016.
Now Holland -a fight-anything type of dude- lost his last clash as a massive undergod in a 180lb catchweight bout in a one-day notice, and before that, he had two second-round finishes under his belt in his previous bouts being the favorite.
Betting Tips to Take Up on Thompson vs Holland
With some very-close betting lines for this UFC main card, Holland holds the betting-favorite position at -160. The over/under for this clash is set at 4.5 rounds, with the under going at -175. The odds gods believe this bout is going to be finished even before the involvement of the judges; Thompson hasn’t been finished since 2019, but everything is possible.
The over/under for this clash is set at 4.5 rounds, with the under going at -175.
In striking statistics, they’re practically head-to-head: Holland with 3.85 strikes landed per minute, and Thompson 3.90. They also sport a 55% and 56% striking defense. Thompson’s UFC undoing has been battling wrestlers, which might make this an exciting clash to fight a dude like Holland.
Betting Picks To Help You Along
Betting advice is usually to never bet underdogs in the UFC, but if the odds are between +100 and +150, chances very well double to win in what goes of 2022.
Also, when Thompson is up against a striker, he generally comes out on top (basically, the only time Thompson has ever lost to a striker was when Anthony Pettis knocked him out,) but a striker who is bigger, much younger and faster than him kinda tips the scales a bit.
Still, on the Thompson vs Holland odds, Thompson is set to win is the move here. All we’re gonna say is: Thompson’s main event experience.