Maple Leafs vs Stars Betting Odds & Hockey Analysis

Toronto 12-3 in Last 15 Meetings Against Dallas

This is the time of year when NHL betting starts to heat up so make sure to read all of our NHL previews to get the sharpest plays in the industry. A quick look at the standings and NHL odds shows the Maple Leafs trailing the Boston Bruins by five points in the Atlantic Division with their current Stanley Cup odds at 14-1. The Stars are holding off Winnipeg by two points in the Central, with the Jets owning two games in hand it’s important for Dallas to keep winning. The Stars cup odds are sitting on a juicy 20-1.

Game Information

Toronto Maple Leafs (15-5-6) vs. Dallas Stars (14-6-5)

Date & Time & Streaming:
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Streaming: RSNO, ESPN+

Marner Point Streak On the Line in the Lonestar State

After winning five straight games, the league decided it was time for a Tampa Bay and Dallas two-game road trip for the Leafs. Game one didn’t go as planned after a 4-3 overtime loss to the Lighting. In that game, Mitch Marner scored twice to extend his scoring streak to 19 games.

A point in tonight’s contest would give him the Leafs record for consecutive games with a point. The league record is 51 straight, achieved by Wayne Gretzky in 1983-84. The ‘Great One’ had four streaks over 28 games in his career. With the streak on the line, it appears as if bettors are gearing up for a high-scoring affair with the Stars, who are second in the league in scoring with 3.92 goals per game.

Although the Stars may do their part to push this game over the total, can we rely on the Leafs to do theirs? Let’s continue our Maple Leafs vs Stars betting odds preview by diving into that very question.

Leafs Offense Not as Reliable as Bettors Perceive

The first thing bettors think of when Toronto is involved is a high-scoring game. The truth is the Leafs haven’t been that high-octane offense that they’ve been in the past, which may ultimately be the best thing that happened to this team when the postseason comes along.

Toronto is 19th in the league in scoring with 3.04 goals per game. That’s a far cry from their output of a season ago when they finished 4th in scoring, which created this perception that the over in Toronto games was a given. Casual bettors would be shocked to know that 17 of their 25 games have cashed under tickets.

That gives Toronto the distinction of being ranked number one in the league when betting under with 850 units won. Let’s conclude our Maple Leafs vs Stars betting odds preview by looking at betting trends and official selection.

Drastic Line Move with Both Side and Total

Normally this would be a number that we could sink our teeth into, but the total is such a string option that we’re forced to pass on the side. The opening number had the Leafs as a small dog (Even), but the betting public quickly made their feelings known by pushing the Leafs to their current status as a -115 road favorite.

Bookmakers have made their own adjustments, going all-in on the under after moving the under moneyline from -115 to -120, despite the flood of over tickets they will continue to receive.

It took a lot to not officially agree with that push, but the total leaves a better option. With 74% of the wagers on the over, the bookmakers have made their own adjustments, going all-in on the under after moving the under moneyline from -115 to -120, despite the flood of over tickets they will continue to receive.

To end our Maple Leafs vs Stars betting odds preview, we’re going to agree with the bookmakers and officially give out the under. We believe, they’ll flirt with the over but just fall short in the end, showing the Leafs are much more of a threat to win the Cup this year than in years past.

Head-to-Head:

Last Updated: 12/6/2022Teams
MoneylineMaple Leafs -115 / Stars -105 (Consensus)
Puck Line6.5 ( u -119)
TotalMaple Leafs -1.5 (+215) / Stars +1.5 (-255)
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