Super Bowl LVIII

Super Bowl 2024 Recap

Chiefs Triumph in a Whopping Super Bowl Overtime

The Kansas City Chiefs, spearheaded by Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Andy Reid, clinched their second straight Super Bowl win in a 25-22 overtime victory over the San Francisco 49ers. This Las Vegas battle paved the Chiefs’ path towards a potential third consecutive title.

The overtime climax saw Mahomes’ crucial 3-yard touchdown pass to Mecole Hardman sealed the deal, marking the Chiefs as one of the NFL’s elite dynasties with back-to-back championships. Taylor Swift’s presence added celebrity sparkle to an already spine-tingling game. The journey towards NFL supremacy continues for Kansas City, with the team hungry for more glory.

Super Bowl 2024: It All Boiled Down to Chiefs vs 49ers

Kansas City Chiefs, led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, are set to challenge the San Francisco 49ers in Las Vegas on February 11th. Despite the 49ers being the favorites, things lean towards a Chiefs victory in regard to Super Bowl odds, considering their impressive underdog status and Mahomes’ history of overcoming those and all odds.

Mahomes, already a staple in Super Bowl MVP odds from their previous encounter with the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV, looks to steer the Chiefs to victory once more. Despite facing their third consecutive game as underdogs and battling through a season of ups and downs, Kansas City mustered resilience and adaptability, especially in the postseason.

Super Bowl LVII Odds

Our Super Bowl predictions and NFL picks analysts place the Chiefs at a +2 point spread, reflecting the tight competition expected. Despite the 49ers’ strong regular-season performance, the Chiefs have demonstrated a remarkable ability to elevate their game when it matters most. Mahomes‘ strategic gameplay, combined with Andy Reid’s coaching, has kept Kansas City in the spotlight as a formidable contender.

Key factors to watch include the Chiefs’ offensive strategy and their ability to maintain ball control, essential for securing their position against a determined 49ers team. As the betting lines settle, the Chiefs stand as a compelling pick for those looking to wager on an underdog with a proven track record of success in critical moments.

SuperBowl LVIII: Tracking Favorites To Win

The Super Bowl is one of the most heavily bet on sporting events in the world, and its impact on betting and odds cannot be overstated. Prior to the big game, bookmakers and sportsbooks spend weeks analyzing data and statistics to develop NFL odds and betting lines that accurately reflect the strengths and weaknesses of each team.

As the Super Bowl approaches, betting activity intensifies and odds can shift rapidly based on the volume of wagers placed on each team, this can lead to wild swings in the football odds, particularly in the days leading up to the game, as large amounts of money are wagered on one team or the other.

As we approach Super Bowl LVIII, there have been some dramatic shifts in the odds for top contenders; of course, this is something we know happens all the time, but we’re never ready for the major surprises in the mix!

Shifts That Make You Go Hmmm:

Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season saw home favorites and betting favorites excel, with home favorites achieving a 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS record, while overall betting favorites recorded an 11-4-1 ATS. Teams like the 49ers, Ravens, Lions, Colts, Saints, Dolphins, Browns, Raiders, Chiefs, Rams, and Bills successfully covered their spreads.

Underdogs struggled with a 4-11-1 ATS record, though the Panthers, Buccaneers, Texans, and Seahawks defied the odds. Home teams showed strength with a 10-5-1 ATS record, led by teams like the Lions, Panthers, Colts, Saints, and others.

The Buccaneers stood out, covering a +4 spread against the Packers and winning outright.

The Over/Under scores were evenly matched at 7-9 for both home and road games.

Favorites vs Underdogs: Favorites won 14 out of 16 games straight up, but only 7 covered the spread.
Home vs Away: Away teams outperformed, winning 9 out of 16 straight up and 10 covering the spread.
Over/Under Totals: The ‘Over’ result prevailed in 10 out of 16 games.

Notable Upsets and Covers:

Biggest Underdog Wins: Bills (+3.5) defeated Dolphins 56-26; Giants (+1.5) overcame Cowboys 23-19.
Favorites Covering: Ravens (-13), Chargers (-7), Buccaneers (-7), Saints (-6), and Packers (-4.5) all covered their spreads comfortably.

Biggest Disappointments:

Steelers vs Browns: The ‘Under’ bettors lost out in a dramatic fourth quarter, with the total score hitting 46 points.
Cowboys vs Giants: The game slowed down after a high-scoring first half, disappointing ‘Over’ bettors with a final score of 23-19.

Week 16 in the NFL was a field day for those betting on the Over, as they scored a 11-5 victory both at home and on the road. Home favorites also had a reason to celebrate with a strong 6-3 win in straight up (SU) games. However, they couldn’t keep the same momentum against the spread (ATS), managing only a 4-5 record.

Looking at the ATS records, underdogs showed they could hold their own, going 9-6-1 ATS. Teams like the Patriots, Steelers, Giants, and Buccaneers punched above their weight, though the Vikings, Colts, and a few others couldn’t keep up.

In the SU category, home favorites had a better showing at 6-3, but home underdogs struggled, only managing a 2-5 record.

On the road, the Giants stood out as the biggest underdog to cover at +13.5 against the Eagles, and the Raiders clinched the most surprising outright win as an +11 underdog against the Chiefs.

Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season saw home favorites and betting favorites excel, with home favorites achieving a 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS record, while overall betting favorites recorded an 11-4-1 ATS. Teams like the 49ers, Ravens, Lions, Colts, Saints, Dolphins, Browns, Raiders, Chiefs, Rams, and Bills successfully covered their spreads. However, the Packers, Titans, Falcons, and Eagles fell short, with the Bengals at a push.

Underdogs struggled with a 4-11-1 ATS record, though the Panthers, Buccaneers, Texans, and Seahawks defied the odds. Home teams showed strength with a 10-5-1 ATS record, led by teams like the Lions, Panthers, Colts, Saints, and others.

The Buccaneers stood out, covering a +4 spread against the Packers and winning outright.

The Over/Under scores were evenly matched at 7-9 for both home and road games.

Week 14 in the NFL showed off underdogs, especially home underdogs like the Jets, Bears, and Giants going undefeated at 3-0-1 against the spread (ATS). Overall, underdogs excelled with a 10-4-1 ATS record, overturning expectations. Favorites struggled, only managing a 4-10-1 ATS record, with teams such as the Saints, Bengals, Browns, and Cowboys covering, while others like the 49ers, Ravens, and Steelers faltered.

Both home and road teams had balanced performances, each recording a 7-7-1 ATS record. Notable home victories came from the Jets, Browns, Saints, Cowboys, Bears, Bengals, and Giants, while road teams like the Patriots, Bills, Buccaneers, Rams, Seahawks, Broncos, and Titans also impressed. Colin Cowherd highlighted the Cowboys’ significant turnaround.

The Seahawks stood out as the biggest underdog to cover, with the Titans winning outright as the largest underdog.

Biggest Stuff This Week:

Texans Tame Broncos and Control Playoff Fate: Stingley’s Stellar Steals!
Score: Houston Texans 22, Denver Broncos 17

49ers Flatten Eagles: Purdy’s Power Play! San Francisco avenges loss of NFC championship.
Score: San Francisco 49ers 42, Philadelphia Eagles 19

Packers Upset Chiefs: Wicks’ Winning Ways!
Score: Green Bay Packers 27, Kansas City Chiefs 19

NFL Week 13 Odds Shift to NFL Week 14 Odds:

  • Denver Broncos (+140) to Denver Broncos (+120)
  • Houston Texans (-165) to Houston Texans (-210)
  • San Francisco 49ers (-155) to San Francisco 49ers (-550)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+130) to Philadelphia Eagles (+145)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-275) to Kansas City Chiefs (-125)
  • Green Bay Packers (+220) to Green Bay Packers (-350)

Dallas Cowboys 45, Washington Commanders 10

Defensive Spotlight: The Cowboys’ defense was a force to reckon with, especially in the crucial fourth quarter. Micah Parsons and Johnathan Hankins wreaked havoc with sacks, while DaRon Bland made history with a record-setting interception return touchdown.

Miami Dolphins 34, New York Jets 13

Offensive Spotlight: The Dolphins’ offense was too hot to handle, with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle combining for over 200 yards. Jets’ QB Tim Boyle struggled, unable to ignite their offense.

Shift in Odds for Week 13 & Week 12 Odds:

  • Jaguars (+1.5) to Week 13 Odds: Jaguars (-8.5)
  • Buccaneers (-2.5) to Week 13 Odds: Buccaneers (-5.5)
  • Chiefs (+9) to Week 13 Odds: Chiefs (-6)

San Francisco’s Star Brock Purdy was on fire, hitting a perfect quarterback rating against the Buccaneers.

Lions’ Last-Minute Magic: Detroit pulled a rabbit out of their hat, rallying from behind to clinch a victory against the Bears.

Week 11 Odds:

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) to Week 12 Odds: Jaguars (+1.5)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+11.5) to Week 12 Odds: Buccaneers (-2.5)
  • Chicago Bears (+7.5) to Week 12 Odds: Bears (-3)
  • Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) to Week 12 Odds: Ravens (+3)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) to Week 12 Odds: Chiefs (+9)

Record-Breaking Finishes: NFL Week 10 packed a punch with stunning last-minute victories and eyebrow-raising upsets, making it the season’s most electrifying Sunday yet.

Chargers’ Defensive Dilemma: Despite a solid offensive show, the Chargers’ defense fell flat, letting the Lions run wild. Chargers Week 10 odds: +122 to Week 11 odds: -120

Ravens’ Regret: Baltimore Ravens, after leading the charge, fumbled their chance in a nail-biting loss to the Browns. Browns Week 10 odds: +220 to Week 11 odds: -120

Falcons’ Fading Flight: Coach Arthur Smith’s strategy hit a snag as the Falcons’ offense faltered against the Cardinals.

Giants’ Gloom: Coach Brian Daboll and the New York Giants hit rough seas, suffering a humiliating defeat to the Cowboys, sparking doubts all around.

Monday Night Football matchup at MetLife Stadium saw the Los Angeles Chargers manage to secure a 20-6 victory over the New York Jets, evening both football teams’ records at 4-4. As it stands, neither team would make the playoffs if the season ended today.

New York Jets Week 9 odds +144 to Week 10 odds -110
Los Angeles Chargers Week 9 odds -172 to Week 10 odds +122

As of NFL Week 9, the AFC playoff contenders include division leaders Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Miami Dolphins, with the Steelers, Browns, and Bengals snagging wild card spots.

This NFL Week 10 of the NFC has the Carolina Panthers on the road at the Chicago Bears. Perhaps the two worst teams in the league. The Panthers have just one win on the season, while the Bears have two wins.

Still wrapping our heads around that Jets-Giants faceoff; truly an NFL spectacle with a whopping 24 punts! Tommy DeVito quarterbacking for the Giants was a shocker. Kudos to Zach Wilson for that unexpected comeback.

Meanwhile, the 49ers, after a blazing 5-0 start, are now at 5-3, facing challenges and notably struggling because of Brock Purdy. Week 8 odds: 49ers (-175) shift to Week 9 odds: 49ers +550

Arizona Cardinals hit a record with their seventh loss by Week 8, thanks to the Ravens. Silver lining? They’re now on top for the projected 2024 NFL draft. Cardinals Week 8 +385 to starting Week 9 at +240.

The Panthers clinched their first win against the Texans, shifting to the No. 2 spot, giving the Bears a favorable position with both No. 2 and No. 3 draft picks.

NFL Week 7 was all about the unexpected! The New England Patriots sailed past the Buffalo Bills 29-25. Patriots’ quarterback, Mac Jones, made a solid rebound, clocking in 272 yards without dropping the ball. Atlanta Falcons swooped in to top the NFC South after clipping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, all thanks to Younghoe Koo’s golden kick. Clearly, this was the week where David met Goliath… and won!

  • New York Jets moved from odds of (-156) in Week 7 to Jets vs Giants at (+3) in Week 8.
  • Cleveland Browns settled at (-160) for Week 7, then to Browns taking on Seahawks at (-3.5, 38) for Week 8.
  • Houston Texans nudged slightly from (-154) in Week 7 to
  • Texans vs. Panthers with odds pegged at (+3, 43.5) in Week 8.
  • acksonville Jaguars, the dark horse, shifted from a tempting (+100) in Week 7 to Jaguars facing off against Steelers Week 8 odds at (+2.5, 41).

 

Notably, the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns secured impressive upsets, which was reflected in their odds:
New York Jets Week 6 odds +260 to Week 7 odds (-156)
Cleveland Browns Week 6 odds (+375) to Week 7 odds (-160)

Additionally, the Houston Texans pulled off a stunning upset by defeating the New Orleans Saints: Week 6 odds (+105) went to Week 7 odds (-154)

The Jacksonville Jaguars seized top spot in the division, surprising both fans and pundits alike. Still, Week 6 odds were (-200) and Week 7 odds now are at (+100) up against the Saints.

Betting Showdown – Week 5 Odds and Openers

Saints vs. Patriots: Pats started as 2-point favorites, but the early money’s narrowed the gap to 1.5 points, with the total starting low at 40 then sinking to 38.5.

Ravens vs. Steelers: Opening line favored Baltimore by 3.5 points, it finished pushing towards 4.

Panthers vs. Lions: The opening line favored the Lions at -9 and it was brought up to -10 at some spots.

Texans vs. Falcons: Falcons opened as 3-point favorites, then ended up being 2.5-point favorites.

Titans vs. Colts: Titans were opening the game with a slim edge at -1. Some books saw the Colts favored by -1. The total began at 39.5 and climbed to 42 points.

Bengals vs. Cardinals: Bengals opened as 5-point favorites and finished as low as -4.

Eagles vs. Rams: The Eagles were 5-point favorites against the Rams. This spread even hit -5.5 in some places, with the total going from 46.5 to 47 points.

Chiefs vs. Vikings: The opening line favored the Chiefs by 5, with the total at 52.

Following the conclusion of Week 4 in the NFL regular season, the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs have emerged as the frontrunners in the race for Super Bowl glory, each boasting odds of +600.

Trailing closely behind are the Philadelphia Eagles and the Buffalo Bills, both sharing odds of +800. The Buffalo Bills’ stock in the betting world has surged after their impressive victory over the Miami Dolphins, who now find themselves at +1300 in the Super Bowl odds.

The Miami Dolphins are making waves in the Super Bowl race after their impressive Week 3 victory over the Broncos. Their odds have taken a leap from +1300 to +900, signaling a growing belief in their championship potential.

Notably, quarterback Tua Tagovailoa’s NFL MVP odds have also seen a significant boost, shifting from +600 to +380. The Dolphins are riding high on their recent performance, and fans are buzzing with excitement.

The New Orleans Saints, after a promising 2-0 start, faced a tough setback in Week 3. They suffered a heart-wrenching 18-17 loss to the Green Bay Packers, a bitter pill to swallow for fans who had seen their Super Bowl odds on the rise.

Adding to the adversity, starting quarterback Derek Carr received a diagnosis of an AC joint sprain and is listed as week-to-week. Though Carr’s injury isn’t season-ending, it has impacted the Saints’ Super Bowl aspirations.

Following the NFL Week 3 challenges and Carr’s injury update, the Saints’ Super Bowl odds have widened considerably.

Last week’s odds of +2800 have shifted to +3500. While this change is disappointing, it’s important to note that the Saints are still firmly in contention for Super Bowl 58.

Week 2 Big Winners

Dallas Cowboys: Their odds improved from +1100 to +850 after a convincing win against the New York Jets.

Baltimore Ravens: They pulled off an upset win in Cincinnati. Now, they’re at +1400 to win the Super Bowl.

Miami Dolphins: Their victory over the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football bumped up their Super Bowl odds from +2000 to +1500.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans teamed up and, consequently, their Super Bowl odds improved from +10000 to +7000.

Week 2 Tough Losers

Denver Broncos: After blowing a 21-3 lead, Denver’s odds plummeted from +6500 to +10000.

Arizona Cardinals: Their odds dropped drastically from +40000 to +100000.

Chicago Bears: Justin Fields and the Bears struggled against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2, resulting in an 0-2 season start. Their Super Bowl odds now sit at +21000.

Cincinnati Bengals: In Cincinnati’s Week 2 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, adding to the Bengals’ woes. Their odds slipped from +1400 to +1800.

Aaron Rodgers’ unfortunate Achilles injury in his Jets debut caused a major upset, in spite of them beating the Bills.

The Jets’ Super Bowl LVIII odds plummeted from +1800 to +2500, and, with the confirmation of the Achilles tear, they are now at +6000. The Bills, on the other hand, who lost to the Jets in NFL Week 1 even without their Rodgers, saw odds take a dive from +800 to +1100.

After their go against the Steelers, the San Francisco 49ers have become the favorites for Super Bowl LVIII; their odds improved from +1000 to +475.

Dallas was also impressive with a shutout victory over the Giants: their odds improved from +1400 to +1000. As for Miami’s win over the Chargers, it kicked up their odds from +2500 to +1700. The Bengals didn’t experience such a sharp drop despite a rough loss to Cleveland; their odds went from +1100 to +1400.

The Chiefs, surprising us with a loss to the Lions, have now risen up to being co-favorites with the Eagles to win Super Bowl LVIII.

Their odds to win the SB hadn’t changed until Friday morning; throughout Thursday night, they were the favorites even though they were missing key players like Travis Kelce and Chris Jones. The Lions, on the other hand, kicked up their odds from +2200 to +1700 with that win over the Chiefs.

Uncover Exclusive Picks & Predictions From Our Experts.

Previous Odds Shakeups Since the Last Super Bowl

Signing running back Dalvin Cook made the Jets’ Super Bowl odds stable.

Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins didn’t help the Titans’ odds much, since they got worse by going from an average of +7750 to +8120.

Seahawks’ odds significantly improved going towards the NFL Draft, going from +6500 to +4250. This could be attributed to the Rams trading Jalen Ramsey and the uncertainty surrounding San Francisco QB Brock Purdy’s availability.

With Lamar Jackson’s contract extension, the Ravens’ odds went up from +2800 to +2150.

The Jets’ odds went up ever so slightly, from +1500 to +1400, after the Aaron Rodgers trade. Jordan Love, on the other hand, gave the Packers a more significant shift from +3500 to +5000.

Unconfirmed reports of Aaron Rodgers joining the Jets made their odds move from +1800 to +1500, whilst the Dolphins also made waves by trading for cornerback Jalen Ramsey, leading to improved odds from +3000 to +2500.

The Chicago Bears’ odds went up from +7000 to +5500 after a trade with the Panthers, securing a valuable haul of picks and DJ Moore. The departure of Aaron Rodgers seemingly played a role.

The Jets’ odds went from +4000 to +1800 after Aaron Rodgers received permission to speak with New York.

The Saints signed Derek Carr and their odds went up from +4250 to +3750.

Following their Super Bowl LVII victory, the Chiefs once again became favorites after having their odds shift from +550 to +600.

Tom Brady announcing his retirement led to a sharp drop in Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds from +3500 to +6500.

Denver’s 2024 Super Bowl odds opened at +4000 but improved to as short as +2800 after acquiring former Saints head coach Sean Payton. Payton’s task is to revamp the struggling Broncos offense.

Early Super Bowl LVIII odds had the Chiefs as +550 favorites, followed by the Bills, 49ers, and Eagles

SuperBowl LVIII Futures Odds

Futures odds for the Super Bowl are typically released in the NFL offseason, but they can be released just days after the previous Super Bowl has ended. These will then fluctuate throughout the regular season and playoffs as teams’ performances and rosters change.

As the 2023 NFL season progresses and more information becomes available about the teams, sportsbooks will begin to release more specific futures odds for Super Bowl #58, which is currently scheduled for February 5, 2024.

How To Read Super Bowl Odds & Spreads

NFL point spreads for the Super Bowl usually manifest as a negative number like -300 or a plus number like +500. These are “American odds” and indicate what you need to bet to win $100 -in the case of negative numbers ($300 to win $100 for -300)- or what you win when you bet $100 ($500 from a $100 bet for +500).

Super Bowl Betting Odds Example

TeamLine
New England Patriots-300
Miami Dolphins+500

Additionally, “decimal” and “fractional” odds are two other formats you can use. Decimal odds indicate your total payout (your bet + your winnings) while fractional odds show how much you win using the numerator (first number to the left) with the bet you place using the denominator (second number to the right).

These Super Bowl point spreads allow you to bet on who you think will win it next year. As this is such a long-term projection, expect the betting lines to shift as the year progresses. Keep track of the teams to estimate when the best times to bet on them are.

Super Bowl Betting example

Betting on the Super Bowl game is like betting on every NFL game. You have your point spread, moneyline, and total (over/under) along with props. For the Super Bowl, props are ridiculous in number: you can bet on football-related plays, such as a quarterback’s passing yards, or on non-football things, like the color of the national anthem singer’s dress.

As far as outright or futures bets are concerned, betting on more than one team is usually the way to go. Thanks to the parity in the NFL, a handful of teams are lined in the +500 to +900 range to win. Placing a bet on one, two, or even three can increase your odds of winning.

Super Bowl Tips Before Betting

Track the Super Bowl odds through the sportsbook. You will notice the lines shift throughout the season. For example, the Buffalo Bills open as the Super Bowl LVII favorites in the preseason. But after a few losses, the Bills’ odds lengthen making them a more lucrative bet. You can bet them twice or wait longer to see how the market reacts.

What Is the Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl is the annual championship game of the National Football League (NFL), which is the highest level of professional American football in the United States. The game is typically played on the first Sunday in February and brings together the winners of the NFC and AFC conferences to compete for the coveted Vince Lombardi Trophy. It is one of the most-watched television events in the world and is often considered the pinnacle of American sports.

The Super Bowl is more than just a football game, it’s a cultural phenomenon that captivates the nation. Millions of people tune in to watch the game every year, not just for the athletic competition, but also for the spectacle of the halftime show, the entertaining commercials, and the festive atmosphere that surrounds the game.

The Super Bowl has become a showcase for American culture and entertainment, with celebrities and performers from all over the world taking part in the festivities. It has also become an important event for the advertising industry, as companies spend millions of dollars on commercials that air during the game, hoping to capture the attention of the massive audience watching at home.

Super Bowl FAQs

How much do Super Bowl commercials cost?

Super Bowl commercials are some of the most expensive television advertisements in the world. In recent years, the cost of a 30-second Super Bowl ad has ranged from $5 million to $5.6 million. The cost of the ad can vary based on factors such as the time slot and the expected viewership.

What is the Super Bowl trophy called?

The Super Bowl trophy is called the Vince Lombardi Trophy, named after Vince Lombardi, the legendary coach of the Green Bay Packers. The trophy is made of sterling silver and weighs approximately 7 pounds.

Which team has won the most Super Bowls?

The team with the most Super Bowl wins is the New England Patriots, who have won 6 championships. Other teams with multiple Super Bowl wins include the Pittsburgh Steelers, Dallas Cowboys, San Francisco 49ers, and Green Bay Packers, all with 5 championships each.

How do teams qualify for the Super Bowl?

To qualify for the Super Bowl, teams must first compete in the regular season of the National Football League (NFL). The top teams from each conference then advance to the playoffs, which are a single-elimination tournament. The winners of the conference championship games then advance to the Super Bowl.

Where is the Super Bowl played?

The Super Bowl is played at a different stadium each year. The location of the game is determined well in advance, usually several years ahead of time. Some cities that have hosted multiple Super Bowls include Miami, New Orleans, and Los Angeles. In recent years, the Super Bowl has also been held in newer venues such as the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta and the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

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