2024 SB MVP Odds: Quarterbacks Reign Supreme
Mahomes, Purdy the Super Bowl MVP Favorites
Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes isn’t necessarily tearing it up this postseason. But he’d done enough to get the Chiefs back to the Super Bowl. He’s also done enough to be the favorite in the Super Bowl MVP odds.
But quarterbacks definitely have the advantage when it comes time for Super Bowl MVP voting. Of the 57 previous Super Bowls, quarterbacks have taken home the trophy on 32 occasions. So it’s no surprise Brock Purdy is the second choice.
We’ll take a look at some of the 2024 SB MVP odds in this article and look to see where the most betting value is.
Super Bowl LVIII MVP Odds
The Favorites
Patrick Mahomes (+135): Mahomes won the award last year and is favored to do so once again. He’s looking to join Terry Bradshaw and Bart Starr as the only two players to win in back-to-back years.
Kansas City is down a bit in the NFL offense rankings this season, but if it wins the game, Mahomes will probably be a key reason why.
Brock Purdy (+250): Purdy hasn’t always looked impressive this postseason, but he’s come through when it matters. He’s helped the 49ers get past the Packers and the Lions and is playing with a purpose.
Kansas City’s pass defense has been solid for most of the season. He’ll need to make some plays for San Francisco to wrestle the title away from the Chiefs.
Christian McCaffrey (+400): McCaffrey is the first non-quarterback on the list and deservedly so. Kansas City’s rush defense wasn’t as strong as its pass defense, so he could be primed for a huge game. Having an extra week to get ready for the game will help McCaffrey, who takes a beating on a consistent basis.
Travis Kelce (+1400): Kelce is looking to make a bit of history. A tight end has never won the Super Bowl MVP. But the 2024 SB MVP odds say that he has a pretty decent shot at becoming the first. Kelce has been a big-time player in the playoffs for a number of years. But he’s now getting the recognition for it.
The Next Tier
Deebo Samuel (+2000): Samuel is going off at somewhat low NFL odds. He was third on the 49ers in receiving yards and one of three NFL players who caught seven touchdown passes. From strictly a value standpoint, he’s a little bit overrated here.
Isiah Pacheco (+2800): The odds are a bit generous on Pacheco, who is capable of having a decent game. San Francisco allowed 4.3 yards per carry during the regular season. NFL teams were often trailing San Francisco so they didn’t run a lot. But when they did, they had a little success.
Brandon Aiyuk (+5000): Aiyuk led the 49ers in receptions and receiving yards during the season. He’s a big-play receiver and is going off at decent odds. His numbers are down a little in the playoffs. But he could easily change that.
Rashee Rice (+5000): Rice led the Chiefs in touchdown receptions during the season and could be primed for an game if the 49ers worry too much about Kelce. He can gain some yards after the catch and isn’t the worst wager you could make.
The Long Shots
George Kittle (+6500): Kelce isn’t the only solid tight end playing in the Super Bowl. Kittle had a strong season, with six touchdown receptions and 1,020 receiving yards. He hasn’t had a great postseason, but is always a threat for a big NFL game.
Nick Bosa (+8000): The first defensive player to be listed, Bosa led San Francisco in sacks and tackles for loss. He’s not going to make a lot of tackles, but can make some big plays.
The remaining players are going off at odds of +10000 and greater. While it’s possible one of them can come up big and win MVP, it’s not likely.
Who to Bet On?
When looking at the 2024 SB MVP odds, the first thing you have to do is figure out who you like to win the game. It’s doubtful the MVP will come from the losing team. If you like the Chiefs, Mahomes is the favorite, but probably Kansas City’s most likely winner. It’s not the same story for the 49ers.
The NFL bracket had the 49ers playing just two playoff games, so San Francisco players won’t have as good of postseason numbers as Kansas City players. If you like the 49ers, it’s hard to ignore Purdy. But McCaffrey offers a little bit better wagering value. He can run the ball and catch it out of the backfield and could have a big game.
Those who want to the roll the dice a little bit could do a lot worse than Aiyuk at +5000. He was San Francisco’s big-play receiver during the NFL season and a couple of big plays will have him in contention here.
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