Boxing: Navarrete vs Baez Odds Suggest Easy Win

There is a big gap with Navarrete vs Baez odds, which has the current champion at -1200 to retain his title.

Navarrete won the title in 2020 and he has defended it twice. The sportsbook doesn’t believe he’ll have any worry about keeping it around his waist.

Those who bet on boxing matches know anything can happen and Eduardo Baez is a capable opponent.

Baez Simply a Stepping Stone?

Navarrete is using Baez as a stepping stone to bigger fights, but he’s not underrating the +650 underdog.

The 27-year-old Mexican scored a unanimous decision victory over Joet Gonzalez last year and he’s looking forward to getting rid of the ring rust.

“I’m very happy for my big return to the ring after some time off,” Navarrete told The Ring.

“I’ve been working a lot on my physique, enjoying my family, dealing with some personal business in my town. We had some stuff to deal with the promoting company, we were working on, but it all went well. I am officially back as a Top Rank boxer for this next fight on August 20, and I am very happy.”

The 35-1 fighter has a loss on his record but he was awarded the win. His opponent failed to turn up to the weigh-in, so despite losing, he was given the win.

Since the loss, he has been dynamic and his victory over Christopher Diaz in 2021 was impressive. He was dominating the fight before scoring a 12th-round TKO.

If he brings that form to the table, the Navarrete vs Baez odds is spot on. The number four-ranked featherweight has bigger fights on the horizon and we don’t think he’ll need all 12 rounds to dispose of Baez.

Deep End for Challenger

We don’t rate Baez very highly and he’s only the sixth-ranked Mexican boxer in the division.

He earned a title shot with a win over Enrique Vivas in March, and although he showed good skill in that fight, he goes up another level on Saturday.

He was no match for Ra’eese Aleem last year and most of his opponents prior to that fight were on a low end of the scale.

The 27-year-old deserves his chance at the title on the Usyk vs Joshua undercard, which puts him in the headlights. He hasn’t seen a crowd this big and the new environment could be too much for him.

Our boxing betting tips wouldn’t suggest betting on Baez. He’s the despised outsider for a reason and he’ll do well to hang around for 12 rounds. Navarrete vs Baez odds have Navarette to win by knockout at -105, so he’s the odds-on favorite to end it early.

However, he’s +105 to win by decision, so bookmakers are giving Baez respect and they think he could go the distance.