Mavericks Desperate For Win Over Pacers

Pacers vs Mavericks Betting Trends Point to Dallas Winning

The Indiana Pacers will travel to Dallas to face the Mavericks in an exciting interleague matchup at the American Airlines Center.

The Pacers added a 133-111 win over the Mavericks in late February. But that game was home. Now, they’ll be on the road in a more difficult environment.

The Pacers have lost three of their last four games since defeating Dallas. Meanwhile, Dallas has lost four of its previous five games, including a home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, who don’t even have Joel Embiid right now.

Granted, the Mavericks had a long road trip before losing against the 76ers. But that’s ultimately not a good enough excuse for Dallas falling to Philadelphia.

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That said, Dallas is still a 4.5 favorite, with the total currently at 251.

Check out our Pacers vs Mavericks betting preview for this exciting NBA matchup.

Pacers logo Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Mavericks logo

Day/Time:
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Streaming: NBA League Pass

Pacers vs Mavericks Betting Preview

The Pacers and Mavericks have both been above average against the spread this season. The Pacers have gone 32-27-3, while the Mavericks have gone 32-29 against the spread.

Meanwhile, both teams have been pretty consistent with Overs and Unders. The Pacers have just two more Overs than Unders, while the Dallas Mavericks have earned one more Under than Overs.

Dallas has only gone 18-14 at home this season, but Indiana has finished 14-17 on the road this year.

In the only game between the Mavericks and Pacers, Indiana covered as two-point underdogs at home, winning by 22. The game went Under after Dallas only scored 111 points in that game.

Indiana Signed Kendall Brown to Three-Year Deal

After the loss to the San Antonio Spurs, the Pacers wasted no time in giving Kendall Brown a standard three-year contract.

Brown has only played in six games for the Pacers this year. In those six games, he’s averaged under two points. However, he’s only averaged four minutes in each game. So essentially, he averaged close to two points every four minutes.

Indiana had an open roster spot. Therefore, there was no corresponding move. He had been the 48th overall pick in the 2022 draft and has spent most of his career in the G-League.

Brown came from Baylor and had been averaging 16.6 points per game with 4.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists in 33 games in the G-League.

He’ll give the Pacers some much-needed depth to the wing position.

Alex Fudge’s Deal With The Mavericks

Alex Fudge will join the Mavericks on a two-way contract. He’s a 20-year-old prospect who had been with the Lakers earlier this year.

After being waived in January, Fudge averaged 7.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks in 18 regular season games in the G League.

With Fudge, Dallas will have a full 18-man roster. Dallas ultimately made this move, knowing the deadline for two-way contracts was set for March 4 at the start of the year.

Pay-Back From Dallas!

The Dallas Mavericks have one of the few offenses that can stick around with Indiana.

The Mavericks have scored 119.2 points per 100 possessions with an effective field goal percentage of 57.1%. They’ve also turned the ball over just 12.5% of the time, which ranks 5th in the NBA.

Thanks to a limited number of offensive rebounds, Dallas doesn’t always add many second-chance points. However, the Pacers have given up 28.6% of offensive rebounds.

There’s a chance the Mavericks do better on the offensive glass in this game, especially after they added multiple forwards before the NBA Trade Deadline to help with their presence inside.

The Pacers have also allowed a 23 free throw rate, which is the second-worst rate in the NBA. The Mavericks should be cooking in this game, with Luka Doncic leading the way.

Meanwhile, the Pacers have scored 120.9 points per 100 possessions. That’s the second-best in the NBA. The offense has been terrific, shooting an effective field goal percentage of 58%.

However, it’s unlikely the Pacers win the foul-shooting battle. They’ll grab more offensive rebounds and second chances. However, the Mavericks should still get more stops than the Pacers in this game.

Dallas isn’t spectacular defensively. But the numbers are still better overall, holding teams to 117.8 points per 100 possessions with an effective field goal percentage of 55.9%.

In the first meeting, Dallas wasn’t truly outplayed by the Pacers until the fourth quarter. The Mavericks were tied after one quarter and only lost by eight points in the next two quarters.

They were in the game heading into the fourth quarter but lost that quarter, 33-20. The game escaped Dallas on the road, but that won’t happen at home.

The Mavericks have Luka Doncic, who is one of the points leaders this season. The NBA basketball schedule has been a gauntlet for the Mavericks. But we expect them to regroup in their second home game after a long road trip.

Last year, the Mavericks weren’t even in the NBA bracket for the playoffs. Despite the recent struggles, Dallas is sitting at 34-27 this season and in prime position for a playoff spot.

Therefore, after reviewing the Pacers vs Mavericks betting preview, we’ll rock with the Mavericks at home to cover the 4.5-point spread at -110.

For NBA betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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