Pac-12 Spotlight: (10) Oregon Ducks vs Stanford Cardinal

Ducks Won & Covered All 4 Games, Stanford 2-2 ATS

September 27, 2023 759 3 minutes readNCAAF Picks & Parlays

Pac-12 Spotlight: (10) Oregon Ducks vs Stanford Cardinal — Tom Hauck/Getty Images/AFP

Let Down Spot For Ducks?
Stanford A Nice Place To See A Game, Better If They Won
The Total Is Too Attractive To Pass Up

The 10th-ranked Oregon Ducks (4-0, 1-0) head to Palo Alto, California to take on the Stanford Cardinal (1-3/ 0-2) in what should be a cake-walk for Oregon who are 27-point favorites with a total 61. The Ducks are coming off a home win against the Colorado Buffaloes (42-6) as a 21.5-point favorite. The Cardinal lost a close 21-20 match-up against the Arizona Wildcats but covered as a 13-point underdog. Kick-off is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET / 3:30 pm PT and can be seen on the Pac-12 Network. Let’s get into our Oregon vs Stanford preview, starting with a deeper dive into Oregon.

Let Down Spot For Ducks?

The trip to Palo Alto should be used as a scrimmage between games that featured Colorado, a team the nation didn’t know they cared about until a few weeks ago, and next week’s showdown with the 7th-ranked Washington Huskies according to the latest NCAA Football rankings.

Could that mean that this trip to the woods of Stanford will be a difficult game for the Ducks to get up for? It’s possible that quarterback Bo Nix won’t see 60 minutes of action which will make it a difficult side wager, but we’re all over the total which we’ll explain later. This year teams favored by 25 or more points are 19-20 ATS (2.77 units) but that may swing back at some point if last year was any indication.

That number was covered 64% of the time, winning 13.66 units for the public. It was the most money won with that filter since 2013 when betting on 25-point favorites handed bettors 15.03 units of profit. It hasn’t been all roses throughout history even though the 979-981 record is close to .500. In that span, betting 25-point favorites or more would have lost bettors 67.26 units. Oregon is an even 21-21-2 ATS as a 25-point favorite or more, 5-1 as a visitor. We continue our Oregon vs Stanford preview by moving the spotlight to the trees.

Stanford, Nice Place To See A Game, Better If They Won

As you walk through the forest of the campus of Stanford, you realize how much potential this school would have if they could just find a way to put wins on the board. We’re sure they’re more concerned with cranking out students into the world or finding their next over-the-top band director in an effort to distract fans from the scoreboard than they might be winning football games at this point.

Stanford has failed to cover 30 of their last 43 games, with a push, losing 17.81 units in the process. This used to be a school that bettors could lean on when they cranked out almost 17 units of profit from 2008-2013, behind a 46-27 ATS record. Now they’re just hoping they can find a quarterback who can complete for than 60% of their passes.

It’s like that Head Coach Troy Taylor will use Ashton Daniels and Justin Lamson, on Saturday. The problem is, we all know that if a team has two quarterbacks, they really don’t have one. For us, it’s not the most attractive college football spread on the card, but the total is high on the list of wagers. We conclude our Oregon vs Stanford preview with our official selection.

Total Too Attractive To Pass Up

After going through an avalanche of data involving these two teams, it’s apparent from the historical NCAAF scores and odds spreadsheet, that this may not be the most entertaining game to watch but we have a winner. The total on this game has been bet up from 59 to 61 with 90% of the money behind that move.

We can’t see with the Ducks focused squarely on the Huskies and the Cardinal’s difficulty in their effort to find a starter behind center, how the public thinks this will be a track meet. Take the under 61, but wait until right before kick-off because this number will likely go higher. That does it for our Oregon vs Stanford preview, all the best with your wagers this weekend.

For NCAAF betting news, Oregon vs Stanford odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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September 27, 2023

759 3 minutes read