NLDS – Padres vs Dodgers Series Odds

Padres vs Dodgers Series Odds Preview: On Tuesday, Los Angeles leads the best-of-five series 1-0 after a convincing 5-3 win. The Padres were unable to come back from an early 5-0 deficit.

Nothing has or will change in this series. Of all the MLB divisional standings‘ in 2022, no one dominated theirs like the Los Angeles Dodgers who left San Diego 22 games back. The Dodgers have now beaten the Padres in 10 of their last 15 meetings overall and nine of 11 at Dodger Stadium. While the Padres were loading up at the trade deadline, the Dodgers were left to navigate their numerous visits to the MLB injury list.

Padres Hope to Break Dodgers Hex With Darvish

Tonight the Dodgers are a -195 favorite, a bargain compared to the -240 Dodger bettors were being asked to lay in game one. The question is, with 11 years of historical data behind the Dodgers in this series, does a number as large as -195 give a hint of the way the bookmakers would prefer us to wager?

Continuing Our Padres vs Dodgers Series Odds: Even the most fringe baseball fan knows that the San Diego Padres have been great against almost everyone else except the Dodgers.

Since 2011, the Friars are 73-148 (33.03%, -4455 units) against the Boys in Blue. As an underdog in that span, the Padres are 62-134 ( 31.63%, -3956 units). The numbers only worsen at Dodger Stadium (34-76, 30.91%). That is complete domination.

From a betting perspective, it puts us in a difficult spot because the only money-line wager is to bet on the Padres or leave the game alone because of the high price the public must pay.

Tonight the Dodgers are a -195 favorite, a bargain compared to the -240 Dodger bettors were being asked to lay in game one. The question is, with 11 years of historical data behind the Dodgers in this series, does a number as large as -195 give a hint of the way the bookmakers would prefer us to wager?

Kershaw’s Postseason History Gives Reason for Pause

Clayton Kershaw is a lot of things, including a first-ballot MLB Hall of Famer. There’s just one question mark on the lefty’s resume’ and that’s his postseason reliability to the betting public. In 25 career decisions, Kershaw is just 13-12 with a 4.19 era in 30 starts. Los Angeles is 17-13 overall when the 15-year veteran gets the ball in the postseason but even a winning record isn’t enough to overcome the high price the public has to pay with Kershaw (-313 units).

This will be his first postseason start in two seasons after a forearm injury forced him out of last year’s playoffs. Like his team, the Texas native has dominated the Padres in his career with a 23-9 record, supported by a 2.03 era in 292 innings. The question remains, is betting Kershaw our only option, or is there a sharper way to get the most out of our wager?

Betting Public Not Willing to Lay Big Number

The betting public has spoken and they’re clearly not willing to bet on Kershaw as a -200 favorite. Over 59% of the early money has come in on the Padres as a big dog, pushing down the opening number of -215. In fact, the marketplace has seen quite the battle between professional money and tickets written by the ‘Joes’. 93% of the run-line money bet has the Dodgers on their tickets but the overall ticket count favors the Padres (58%).

To conclude our Padres vs Dodgers series odds preview, the best way to play tonight’s game is to take San Diego on the run line (-135). If the public can get the same effort from Yu Darvish that they did in his first postseason start against the Mets (7 innings, 1 earned run), this ticket will cash. In four starts against his former team, Darvish is just 2-2, but his 2.52 era is good enough to give us the confidence that this is another winning bet.

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