Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop bets: NASCAR’s 2nd Daytona Race Picks

The regular season finale offers a lot to bet on beyond the winner

It’s NASCAR’s second trip to Daytona this weekend after the season-opening Daytona 500. It marks the end of the regular season and sets the stage for the round of 16 beginning in Martinsville next weekend. As one of the biggest races of the year, there are more odds available for bettors than usual. Here’s a look at some of this weekend’s best Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop bets.

Pole position odds for the Coke Zero Sugar 400

Kyle Larson is the favorite at +600 for his third pole position of the year and the first since Bristol four months ago. While he technically has three career pole positions at Daytona, only one (2022 Daytona 500) was earned by the best time. The other two were formula-based. Another pole on time wouldn’t be a surprise, but with a high-speed track like this, it’s wide open.

That explains why four drivers are bunched together right behind him at +700: Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, Alex Bowman, and William Byron.

Of the four, Bowman has three pole positions at Daytona. All of them have been at the Daytona 500 (2018, 2021, and 2023). With only four career poles in the Cup Series, Daytona is one of his specialties. The other three only have one pole combined with Byron’s pole position in 2019.

Some have qualified well at other high-speed tracks on the NASCAR 2023 schedule. Logano took pole in the Atlanta spring race, and Byron started from the top spot at Pocono.

Of the drivers with good odds for the pole, Bowman’s as solid a bet as they come. Other drivers to consider include Denny Hamlin (+900), who took pole position in Talladega this year. Chase Elliott (+900) also has three career pole positions at Daytona and would be a good choice.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop bets: Top three, top five, and top 10

Logano and Blaney are tied for the best odds for a top three at +320 each. Oddsmakers really like Logano to race well this weekend. Though a win may be a surprise, a top-three finish is possible.

Look for Elliott (+350) to push toward the front in his last chance to make the playoffs. Hamlin (+340) has a better career average finish at Daytona at 17th. Longer odds worth considering include Bubba Wallace (+450), who historically races best at superspeedways.

There are no clear-cut favorites for the top five, but Logano and Blaney lead the way again at +170. Both have made the top five in multiple Daytona races (Logano in seven, Blaney in four) and could repeat that feat.

Hamlin (+180) and Elliott (+200) are low-reward options but come with a decent likelihood of a top-five result. Brad Keselowski (+200) nearly won the season opener at Daytona this year. Kyle Busch (+220) and Wallace (+250) also look like good choices here. NASCAR point standings leader Martin Truex Jr. comes in here at +300 and, given his consistency this season, could offer a slightly better payout.

Oddsmakers have 16 drivers favorited for a top 10 result at Daytona. That includes Logano (-225), Blaney (-225), Hamlin (-200), Elliott (-175), Keselowski (-175), Busch (-150), Byron (-140), Wallace (-140), Chris Buescher (-140), Larson (-120), Truex Jr. (-120), Bowman (-120), Christopher Bell (-110), Austin Cindric (-110), Aric Almirola (-110), and Daniel Suarez (-110).

With so many names on the board, it’s hard to find good choices that could net you a bigger payout. But Austin Dillon and Ross Chastain (+120) are both good choices. Dillon’s one of the better drivers in Daytona by average finish (15th) and has made the top 10 in nine out of his 20 career NASCAR races at the track. Chastain won stage 2 of the Daytona 500 and finished in ninth in the opener.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 prop bets:Top manufacturer and top manufacturer drivers

Chevrolet (+110) and Ford (+140) have powered the winning cars in 13 of the last 15 Coke Zero Sugar 400 events. Chevrolet has a slight edge with eight wins, including three of the last four, and look like the better bet.

Toyota (+400) last won in 2018 with Erik Jones for Joe Gibbs Racing. That team has three of the top five drivers in the standings for good reason. But seeing them break that recent lack of pace in Daytona would be a bit of a surprise.

Elliott (+550) is the favorite to be the highest-placed Chevrolet driver in Daytona. Again, his need to secure a playoff spot with a win gives us confidence. Yet Bowman is farther down the odds at +750. As one of the better drivers around Daytona, that’s a worthwhile bet.

Blaney and Logano are again tied in odds to be the top Ford driver in Daytona at +450. Though those are solid odds, Keselowski at +475 or even Cindric at +850 look like good options with a slightly better payout.

With just six Toyota-powered cars running on Saturday, the odds for the top Toyota driver are a bit closer. Hamlin’s the favorite at +225 for good reason given his pace at Talladega and Atlanta. He’s also fresh off a pole and second place at Watkins Glen last week. Wallace (+350) or Bell (+550) are good choices if you want a better payout.

For NASCAR news, NASCAR betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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