College Football Week 7: Dogs That Will Win Straight-Up 

For all the money that the betting public took betting underdogs on the moneyline last year (+13.30 units), the books are coming back with a fury in 2023. So far, betting dogs straight-up has cost the public 93.31 units, the worst loss since 2019 when the house put their patrons in a 138.19 unit hole. We’ve examined the sweet spot for bettors to get involved with a moneyline dog and produced the three best games where a plus winner is the most likely. In addition, there is one long short number that has won three of five games this season. Let’s comb through the College Football odds for week 7 and pick out a few winners.

Every week the NCAAF scores and odds worksheet produces a game that pops out with a live dog, and Missouri (5-1/1-1) and Kentucky (5-1, 2-1) did just that. The Wildcats opened as a 2.5-point favorite, a number that has held steady throughout the week. 80% of the public money is on the Wildcats but books are apprehensive to move this number to -3, a key number.

Betting 3-point underdogs to win outright has produced a small profit (+0.16) this season behind a record of 9-11. We need to see Kentucky QB Devin Leary be better than his 10-26-128-yard performance last week against #1 Georgia. Granted it was against the Bulldogs but if his confidence is shattered, that’s not the side we want our money on.

The Wildcats have played nine straight games that have been decided by double-digits, only three other NCAAF teams have longer streaks (Penn State and Tennessee). Missouri has scored 30 or more points in five of their six games. Take the Tigers to win outright (+115). Let’s go further down the NCAA Football schedule to find our next underdog winner.

This is an important NCAAF match-up for both teams in the ACC College Football Standings with Duke (4-1, 1-0) in a cluster of four ranked teams at the top of the conference, and NC State (2-2, 1-1) trying to keep their heads above .500.

With Duke’s only loss coming at home against Notre Dame, you would think the number would be bigger than the 3-points the Blue Devils are favored by, making us think this a old fashion trap. 94% of the money is on the Blue Devils but the number has not budged, another sign the books want as much Duke money as they can before being forced to move off a key number.

NC State is 15-3 against Duke since 1990 and 2-0 on the road this season with wins at Virginia and Connecticut. Take the Wolfpack +130. That does it for our College Football odds week 7 upsets preview.

The Beavers opened as a 4-point favorite but that number fell to -3.5, despite 54% of the money coming in on Oregon State (5-1, 2-1). That means respected money is on the UCLA (4-1, 1-1) and we agree. Three and a half represents the number that has produced the most underdog moneyline winners in 2023 with a record of 10-9, which has produced 5.55 units of profit.

That has been a turnaround from last season where 3.5-point dogs were just 19-30 (-3.92 units). We do expect a correction from the early results considering only once since 2005 has betting on a 3.5-point dog produced a winning record. UCLA will play their third straight top-15 opponent The Bruins have been terrific on defense allowing just one offensive touchdown against Utah and Washington State.

UCLA is 8-2 in Corvallis since 1990, the best record record Reser Stadium for any recurring opponent. Take the Bruins plus the points or go all in with a +155 money line wager. We continue our College Football odds week 7 preview with our final live dog. We wish you all the best with your wagers this weekend.

For NCAAF betting news, college football spread, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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