Missouri vs Kentucky Odds: Underdog Missouri Seeks First Win at Kentucky Since 2013

Surprising Missouri and Kentucky Try to Rebound Coming Off First Losses of Season

Two of the most surprising college football teams in the SEC are set to square off with the Missouri vs Kentucky odds favoring the host Wildcats.

Missouri came into the season with an expected regular season win total of 6.5 with Kentucky’s total set at seven. Both teams are 5-1 coming into Saturday’s game.

Kentucky had won seven of the last eight ncaa football matchups with Missouri.

Five of the last six games between the teams have been decided by 10 points or less with seven of the previous nine games between the teams finishing under the total.

Kentucky has covered in 10 of its last 15 games as a home favorite with Missouri 4-5 against the spread as a road underdog since the start of the 2021 NCAAF season.

The NCAAF scores and odds list Kentucky as the 2.5-point favorite.

When looking at the NCAAF standings, Kentucky is tied for second in the SEC East Division with Missouri 1.5 games behind first-place Georgia.

Kentucky dropped four spots to No. 24 in the Associated Press poll after falling to No. 1 Georgia last week with Missouri five points out of the No. 25 spot. In the American Football Coaches Association poll, Kentucky comes in No. 23 and Missouri is ranked 25th.

Missouri is priced at +8000 and Kentucky has +10000 odds to win the SEC title. Coming into the season, both the Wildcats and Tigers were listed at +10000.

Tigers Starting to Roar

Missouri is one of the most improved offensive teams in the SEC as the Tigers went from averaging 368 yards per game and 5.4 yards per play during the 2022 season to 466 yards and 7 yards per play.

Running back Cody Schrader, quarterback Brady Cook (second in the SEC in passing efficiency and touchdown passes) and receiver Luther Burden (SEC-leading marks of 54 catches and 793 receiving yards) have led the way.

Missouri leads the SEC by scoring in 96% of its drives that reach the red zone and also topping the conference by scoring touchdowns 72% of the time that the Tigers drove into the red zone. Keep that in mind when it comes to the Missouri vs Kentucky odds.

The total has gone over in five of Missouri’s last six games.

Wildcats Finding A Way

The numbers for Kentucky are nothing special as the Wildcats rank eighth in the SEC in yards allowed per game and are 11th in total offense.

Kentucky allowed the most sacks a season ago, giving up 46 in 13 games. So far this season, the Wildcats have surrendered just seven sacks and that could play a factor into the Missouri vs Kentucky odds.

It is not all good news as opponents have come away with points in all 11 drives into red zone in three conference games.

Former North Carolina State quarterback Devin Leary has struggled in his first season at Kentucky as he has completed just 55% of his passes with the number falling to 45.9% in SEC play.

The total has gone under in 15 of the last 20 games played by Kentucky.

Last Meeting

After squandering an 11-point lead when Missouri quarterback Brady Cook had a pair of scoring runs. A touchdown catch by Dane Key with 5:18 left lifted Kentucky to the 21-17 win against a Missouri team that was the one-point favorite.

The game finished just under the 40-point total as Missouri was unable to drive the ball for the game-winning score in its final two possessions.

The home team had won three straight games between the teams before Kentucky came away with the road win.

Four of the last five games between the teams finished under the total.

Missouri vs Kentucky Betting Preview

Expect to see plenty of Kentucky’s Ray Davis and Missouri’s Schrader as they are the No. 1 and 2 rushers in the SEC. Of course, keep tabs on the status of Schrader as he is questionable for the game.

While Missouri has lost four of its last five road games, the Tigers have covered in four of the last five road contests.

Kentucky has covered in six of its last nine games.

The total is set at 51 and it could be just the second time in the last five meetings that a game between Kentucky and Missouri had a total over 50.

Missouri is ranked in the top 20 nationally in points per game in the fourth quarter and that could come into play in this matchup.

Receiver Mekhi Miller (5 catches, 65 yards) and defensive back Shamar McNeil are both questionable while receiver Demariyon Houston is out for Missouri.

For Kentucky, linebacker Trevin Wallace (31 tackles, five tackles for loss, one interception) is questionable with defensive back Jalen Geiger (7 tackles) is doubtful.

When looking at the NCAA football schedule, next up for Kentucky is a game against Tennessee. Missouri will play host to South Carolina before having a bye week leading into a matchup with No. 1 Georgia.

Missouri has been the better team throwing the ball this season and it remains to be seen if the Wildcats can slow down top receiver Burden as he has four straight 100-yard games. That could propel Missouri to the win as the road underdog.

For more NCAAF news, college football odds, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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