Turin will welcome the world’s best players next week for the exclusive Nitto ATP Finals. Novak Djokovic leads the charge on the Nitto ATP Finals Odds board as he chases his record-tying sixth title, while top seed Rafael Nadal (fifth overall in the betting) will be seeking a career first at the prestigious year-end tournament.
Joining Djokovic and Nadal in the capital of Piedmont in Northern Italy are Daniil Medvedev, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Taylor Fritz, Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev.
Read on for a primer on this final tournament featuring the world’s Top 8 best players as they bring down the curtain on the 2022 ATP Calendar. We’ll preview the tournament, the draw and the tennis odds (both outrights and group betting odds) that are currently trading across sports betting platforms before serving up choice tennis betting tips for your consideration.
Where and When is the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals?
The 2022 Nitto ATP Finals will be held in Turin, Italy, at the Pala Alpitour. The event runs from Sunday 13 November to Sunday 20 November, 2022. Check the tennis schedule for more information.
- The Group stage (or Round Robin matches) run from Sunday 13 Nov to Friday 18 November.
- The semifinals get underway on Saturday 19 November and the final will take place on Sunday 20 November.
Who Won the 2021 Nitto ATP Finals?
- Alexander Zverev won the 2021 singles title in Turin, beating Daniil Medvedev in straight sets in the final, 6-4, 6-4.
2022 Nitto ATP Finals Group Betting Preview
The draw for the Nitto ATP Finals was released on Thursday, November 10th. Top seed Nadal headlines the Green Group that includes No. 3 seed Ruud, No.5 Auger-Aliassime and No. 8 Fritz, Second seed Tsitsipas leads the Red Group that includes No. 4 Medvedev, No. 6 Rublev and No. 7 Djokovic.
It’s worth noting that the Nitto ATP Finals Odds – both outrights (above) and group stage (below) – stand in stark contrast to the order of seedings. That’s in part down to the tournament format (only the top two players from each group advances into the knockouts) and the makeup of the two groups,
Arguably, the Red Group is the toughest to predict with three former champions contained within – five-time champion Djokovic and 2020 champion Medvedev and 2019 champion Tsitsipas.
By contrast, the Green group features two debutants, Auger-Aliassime and Fritz. Nadal and Ruud are returning players but neither has ever won the title.
Will Nadal finally win the elusive ATP Tour Finals title?
For all his incredible achievements – most notably winning a record 22 grand slam titles – this is the only big title missing from the Spaniard’s trophy cabinet.
He couldn’t have fallen into a better group with Norway’s No. 1 Ruud and two debutants in Auger-Aliassime and Fritz.
On paper, Nadal’s chances would appear to be pretty good. Especially considering his head-to-head against this triplet that stands on a solid 5-1 mark combined. The lone loss came to the American Fritz –ironically, earlier this year in the Indian Wells final.
If there’s one knock on Nadal it’s his lack of match play up to this point. Since the US Open, the 36-year-old Nadal has seen limited action. He played one doubles match (with Roger Federer at the Rod Lavers Cup). Then he lost in his Paris Masters opener to American Tommy Paul, 6-3, 6-7(4), 1-6.
Thus, it’s not surprising to see Nadal slightly at the disadvantage here – at +215 to win the Green Group and at +725 to win the title.
That said, if Nadal is 100% fit, he should advance into the knockouts comfortably.
Somewhat surprisingly, debutant Auger-Aliassime is the bookies’ favorite in this group and the second-best bet after Djokovic to win the title on the Nitto ATP Finals Odds board. The Canadian comes into this event on good form, having made great strides in recent weeks and picking up the title in Basel (indoor hard court). However, his lack of experience at this event makes him a risky bet. That, and the fact that he has yet to win a title of this magnitude in his career might take the shine off of his odds.
Ruud and Fritz are the dark horse contenders. Both can shake up this section, if not steal one of the top two spots to advance. Ruud might be the better bet because he’s proven himself in the biggest tournaments this year more consistently than Fritz, Plus, he’s also been here before.
Predictions: Nadal and Ruud to advance
Will Anyone Beat Djokovic?
Although Tsitsipas is the top seed, he’s not the top bet to win this group. He’s not even the second-best bet. He’s the third. Here are the tennis odds: Tsitsipas is priced at +450 to win the Red Group behind runaway favorite Djokovic (-150) and second favorite Medvedev (+250).
It comes as no surprise to see Djokovic as the player to beat in this group. Djokovic is seeking a record-tying sixth Nitto ATP Finals title to match Roger Federer in the record books. He’s had a great run during the fall swing, picking up titles in Tel Aviv and Kazakhstan and reaching the final of the Paris Masters where he lost to Holger Rune, 6-3, 3-6, 5-7.
On the season, Djokovic is a solid 37-7. Against his Red Group opponents, he has an impressive 17-7 head-to-head record combined versus the field. He has a 9-2 H2H record against Tsitsipas, which includes a 3-0 mark in 2022. He leads Medvedev 7-4 lifetime and 1-0 in 2022. The only player in this group to have taken the measure of the Serbian star this year and who boasts a 1-1 H2H lifetime is Rublev – ironically the longshot of this section and in the broader spectrum of the tournament.
That said, Tsitsipas is possibly the best bet to join Djokovic in the knockouts. Of this foursome, he’s been the most consistent player during the fall hard court swing, reaching two finals and the semifinals of the Paris Masters (l. to Djokovic). Medvedev has had a roller coaster fall by comparison while Rublev has slightly faded down the stretch.Follow us on Twitter