Atletico Madrid vs Lazio UCL Odds, Preview

Winner Clinches Group E

Lazio Going for Five Games Unbeaten

With one game remaining in the Champions League group stage, Atletico Madrid and Lazio have both clinched a spot in the knockout stage. They still have group placement to play for when they meet on Wednesday. The winner will advance as the Group E winner, but a draw would mean Atletico Madrid win Group E.

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Lazio have struggled in Serie A this season, but they are unbeaten in their last four matches, in all competitions. In one of the best matches of the Wednesday slate, let’s check out the Atletico Madrid vs Lazio UCL odds.

LAZ Atletico Madrid vs Lazio ATM

Day/Time:
Location: Civitas Metropolitan Stadium, Madrid, Spain

Head-to-Head

Atletico Madrid and Lazio have faced off five previous times in UEFA competitions. This is the second meeting between the two sides on this season’s UCL schedule. In September, Pablo Barrio opened up the scoring for Atletico, but Lazio goalkeeper Ivan Provedel scored a dramatic late equalizer on a header.

The goal is one of the most memorable in Champions League history, and it sealed a 1-1 draw. September’s pre-game Atletico Madrid vs Lazio UCL odds listed a draw at +240. Atletico Madrid are 2-2-1 all-time vs Lazio, unbeaten in the last four.

Atletico Unbeaten in UCL

Antoine Griezmann received November’s La Liga Player of the Month award prior to Atletico Madrid’s match vs Almeria on Sunday. He played a role in Atleti’s first goal as he passed to Alvaro Morata, who rounded a defender and the keeper en route to scoring into an empty net. Angel Correa doubled Atletico Madrid’s lead by scoring his fourth goal of the season midway through the first half.

In the second half, Almeria got a goal back, but Atletico got their 11th La Liga win in 15 matches. When the UCL draw came out, it was unclear who would emerge from Group E, but Diego Simeone’s side remain unbeaten through five games. Los Colchoneros are 3-2-0 in the UCL this season and clinched a round of 16 spot with a 3-1 win at Feyenoord a couple of weeks ago.

Morata is joint-leader in the Champions League, with five goals to his name. He’s also found the net eight times in La Liga, while Griezmann has scored nine La Liga goals so far. Atletico are typically known for being defensive, but they have played more of an attacking style in 2023-24. Bettors can expect Pablo Barrios and Thomas Lemar to be out on Wednesday, but the Champions League odds price Atletico Madrid as -165 favorites.

Goals Scarce for Lazio

Lazio went on the road to Hellas Verona in Serie A on Saturday, looking for a fourth straight clean sheet, in all competitions. Former Verona winger Mattia Zaccagni opened up the scoring for Lazio in the first half and didn’t celebrate vs his former club. Thomas Henry equalized for Verona in the second half, who went a man down minutes later. Lazio’s Nicolo Casale had a goal called back for a push as the match finished 1-1.

The Biancocelesti finished the weekend in 10th place in Serie A, but they are just four points outside of the top four. Scoring has been Lazio’s main problem in the league in this season, with just 16 goals in 15 matches. In their last Champions League match, though, Lazio managed to defeat Celtic by a 2-0 scoreline. That sealed a spot in the round of 16, but they’ll be looking for an another win here in order to win the group.

Still, they’ve scored more than one goal just once in their last nine matches. Ciro Immobile has scored three of Lazio’s seven UCL goals this season and is also their leading scorer in Serie A. The Biancocelesti have been poor on the road this season, at 1-1 in the Champions League and just a 2-1-5 record away from home in Serie A. Gustav Isaksen, Patric and Alessio Romagnoli won’t suit up for Wednesday’s trip to Madrid.

Match Analysis & Odds

Atletico Madrid enter this match with a perfect 10-0 record at home this season. It’s no surprise that the Atletico Madrid vs Lazio UCL odds list the hosts as one-goal favorites for this one. Bettors can take Atletico Madrid -1 at +105 odds and their moneyline at -165. Expect Atleti’s front line to cause problems for Lazio on Wednesday even though the Biancocelesti have been solid defensively as of late.

Lazio head into this UCL group stage finale as +440 underdogs and Lazio +1 sits at -125 odds. With Lazio already through to the round of 16 and a difficult match vs Inter Milan on the Serie A schedule this weekend, it’s unclear how much Maurizio Sarri will rotate his lineup. Recall that a draw will be enough for Atletico to clinch the group and one shows +310 odds here.

Meanwhile, this is expected to be a low-scoring match even though Atleti have averaged three UCL goals per game. Here, under 2.5 goals are priced at -110 odds.

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