UCL Round of 16: Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid Odds

Blockbuster Knockout Stage Matchup

Inter on Eight Game Winning Streak

When the Champions League round of 16 draw was announced, most soccer fans identified two excellent matchups. Napoli vs Barcelona and Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid are two high-level matchups early on in the knockout stage. On Tuesday, Inter hosts Atletico in the first leg of the round of 16 and it should be an excellent match. Inter have been the class of Serie A this season, while Atletico have been difficult to defeat, as per usual. We’ll preview the Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid odds in what could be a feisty first leg.

INT Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid ATM

Location: Stadio San Siro, Milan, Italy
Day/Time:

Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid H2H

This is only the second-ever match between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid. These sides met in the 2010 UEFA Super Cup final, which Atletico won 2-0 with goals from Sergio Aguero and Jose Antonio Reyes. Inter Milan has only won one of their last ten matches vs. Spanish teams. Meanwhile, Atletico are 4-3-3 in their last 10 games vs. Italian opposition.

Inzaghi’s Incredible Inter

Inter Milan looks well on their way to winning the Serie A title, as Friday’s win over Salernitana gave the Nerazzurri a ten point lead. Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram reached 20 and 10 Serie A goals for the season in the match, respectively. Denzel Dumfries and Marko Arnautovic also got on the scoresheet in the 4-0 win. The win was Inter Milan’s 20th in 24 Serie A matches so far.

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Heading into Tuesday’s game vs. Atletico Madrid, Inter Milan have kept shutouts in five of their last six matches overall. Inter finished an unbeaten 3-3-0 in the Champions League group stage, which was good enough for second in the Group D UCL standings. Inter have played 33 games this season, in all competitions, and have lost just twice. One of those losses was in extra time in the Coppa Italia round of 16.

It looks like Francesco Acerbi will miss this match for Inter but their defense is solid regardless. Juan Cuadrado is also out for the Nerazzurri. Inter have lost just one of their last nine Champions League matches at the San Siro and last year’s finalists will be motivated for this one. Currently, the Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid odds price the Nerazzurri as -125 favorites.

Atletico Bounce Back

Marcos Llorente usually plays as a right back or midfielder for Atletico Madrid. On Saturday, Diego Simeone decided to let Llorente try his hand at striker and the results were excellent. Llorente scored a first half brace for Atletico in their 5-0 win over Las Palmas, who previously hadn’t conceded more than two goals in a match all season. Angel Correa also scored a second half brace and Memphis Depay added a fifth for Atletico.

Heading into Tuesday’s match, it was an excellent way for Atletico Madrid to bounce back from consecutive losses. They also did it with key man Antoine Griezmann resting in preparation for the match vs. Inter. There was another notable absentee, Alvaro Morata, who was joint-leader in the Champions League group stage, with five goals. Morata was out due to a sprained knee and it’s unclear whether he’ll play on Tuesday. However, in an important piece of UCL betting news, he reportedly joined up with his teammates on Sunday in preparation for the match.

If Morata doesn’t start, Atletico do have options like Correa and Depay but his absence would sting nonetheless. While Morata was out, defender Jose Gimenez did return to action on Saturday. Still, bettors can expect Gabriel Paulista, Cesar Azpilicueta, and Thomas Lemar to miss this match. Atletico did go unbeaten on the road in the group stage, at 1-2-0.

Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid Odds

Only Manchester City scored more goals than Atletico Madrid in the Champions League group stage. Atletico found the net 17 times in just six games and both Morata and Griezmann got on the scoresheet five times. While Morata is questionable, Griezmann could pose some problems for Inter’s defense. Still, the Nerazzurri have been stellar on both sides of the ball lately and have rattled off eight straight wins. Here, the Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid odds price the Nerazzurri as -125 ATS and moneyline favorites.

Atletico Madrid come in as +360 underdogs and Atletico +0.5 sits at +105 odds. Both teams make use of wingbacks and they figure to match up quite well. While Atletico have been inconsistent at times, Inter have been one of the best teams in Europe this season. Their appearance in last year’s Champions League final took a few by surprise but they’re underdogs no longer.

A draw is priced at +255 soccer betting odds here and Atletico would be ecstatic with one, heading into the second leg in Madrid. Currently, Inter Milan to qualify for the Quarter-final comes in at -165 odds. Atletico are underdogs to progress, at +135. Both over and under 2, 2.5 goals show -110 odds in what could be a hotly contested match.

For UCL betting odds analysis, UCL scores, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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