2022 MLB American League Odds Profile

Team-By-Team Breakdown

There are a bunch of interesting MLB future odds available right now and, with the 2022 regular season coming up very soon, you should grab them while they’re hot. For the American League, use our handy odds profiles for all 15 teams to get ready for the season:

AL East

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Playoffs: -450 (Yes) and +325 (No)
  • Division: +175
  • Pennant: +500
  • World Series: +1000
  • Regular Season Wins: 92½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+600 MLB HR Leader)

With their loaded lineup and improved rotation, the Toronto Blue Jays should comfortably hit their season win over total and are probably undervalued in terms of winning the AL East. Toronto might even be better than last season, when the Blue Jays were a far better team than their record would suggest.

Of course, Toronto’s offensive ringleader is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. In addition to being one of the most fun players in baseball, he is a smart pick to lead the majors in home runs once again. He had 48 dingers in 2021 so he has as good a chance as anyone to win the HR crown.

New York Yankees

  • Playoffs: -450 (Yes) and +325 (No)
  • Division: +225
  • Pennant: +550
  • World Series: +1000
  • Regular Season Wins: 91½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Aaron Judge (+1200 MLB HR Leader)

After a relatively quiet offseason, the New York Yankees look very similar to the team they were in 2021. The Yankees will be really good thanks to their elite power bats and strong bullpen, but they don’t have enough lineup or starting pitching depth to truly be on the same level as Toronto. New York is a solid playoff team with a high floor and a low(er) ceiling.

Aaron Judge “only” hit 38 home runs in 2021 but, at +1200, he’s an interesting pick to win baseball’s home run race in 2022. He has as much power as anyone and will play half of his games in the bandbox that is Yankee Stadium. Injuries are always a concern, yet he did play 148 games a season ago.

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Playoffs: -220 (Yes) and +180 (No)
  • Division: +250
  • Pennant: +700
  • World Series: +1600
  • Regular Season Wins: 89½ (-120 over/-110 under)
  • Player to Watch: Wander Franco (+2000 AL MVP)

The Tampa Bay Rays are mostly running things back after they won 100 games and took the AL East last season. Tampa Bay will get a big boost from full seasons from last year’s breakout rookies, but the Rays will have to overcome a bunch of pitching injuries. They should also get more prospect reinforcements with Vidal Brujan and Josh Lowe at some point.

Wander Franco’s 70-game MLB debut stint was incredibly impressive at the plate and in the field, and he already looks like a star, even at 21 years of age. He’s an understandable longshot to win AL MVP but, if he stays healthy and keeps performing like he did in 2021, he could definitely be in the running.

Boston Red Sox

  • Playoffs: -115 (Yes) and -115 (No)
  • Division: +550
  • Pennant: +900
  • World Series: +1800
  • Regular Season Wins: 85½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Rafael Devers (+1800 AL MVP)

The Boston Red Sox had a nearly magical playoff run last postseason and they return much of the group that almost got them into the World Series. However, Kyle Schwarber is gone and Chris Sale is dealing with a rib-cage fracture. Boston didn’t do much to improve a thin bullpen, but did sign Trevor Story, who should help out in the lineup and at second base. Boston is talented but far from a sure thing. The Red Sox might be a stay-away team.

What’s not a question is that Rafael Devers is one of the best players in baseball. He is a great value pick to win the AL MVP at +1800 following a season in which he hit 38 home runs, had 113 RBIs and posted a 132 OPS+. He’s an elite hitter and should be able to drive in plenty of runs considering the talent in the top half of Boston’s lineup.

Baltimore Orioles

  • Playoffs: +1800 (Yes) and -8000 (No)
  • Division: +10000
  • Pennant: +12500
  • World Series: +25000
  • Regular Season Wins: 61½ (-125 over/-105 under)
  • Player to Watch: Adley Rutschman (+375 AL Rookie of the Year)

It’s going to be another long, loss-filled season for the Baltimore Orioles, who are mired in a seemingly never-ending rebuild. They should be better than the 52-win team they were in 2021, but things are still pretty bleak and it won’t be easy for the Orioles to crack 60 wins in the juggernaut that is the AL East.

A bright spot for the Orioles is the farm system, though, and Adley Rutschman is the top prospect in it. He’s Baltimore’s best shot at a season-long award and is one of the front-runners for Rookie of the Year. If he gets the call-up to Baltimore soon after the season starts, or makes the Opening Day roster, he has a decent chance at winning.

AL Central

Chicago White Sox

  • Playoffs: -450 (Yes) and +325 (No)
  • Division: -200
  • Pennant: +550
  • World Series: +1100
  • Regular Season Wins: 92½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: José Abreu (+2200 MLB RBI Leader)

Chicago is a great bet to win the AL Central again based on the MLB future odds and to easily eclipse its win total. There are potential concerns for the White Sox that might prevent them from being a serious pennant contender, like with the back end of their rotation and in middle relief. The offense should be great, though.

José Abreu is a very reliable engine for Chicago’s offense as an elite run-producer. He had 117 RBIs in 2021 and has led the AL in RBIs in two of the past three seasons. He’s only +2200 to win baseball’s RBI title this year, which is way too low considering his track record.

Minnesota Twins

  • Playoffs: +195 (Yes) and -250 (No)
  • Division: +550
  • Pennant: +3300
  • World Series: +6600
  • Regular Season Wins: 81½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Byron Buxton (+4000 AL MVP)

The Minnesota Twins are certainly an interesting team that got much better this offseason. The question is whether they did enough to legitimately challenge the Chicago White Sox for the AL Central title. Don’t bet on that, per se, but you should bet on Minnesota to easily hit its win total over.

Another smart value pick is for the oft-injured but uber-talented Byron Buxton to win AL MVP. He was limited to 61 games in 2021 but was arguably the best player in baseball when he was on the field with regards to offense and defense. It’s a huge ifm but if Buxton could ever play more than 140 games, he would be right in the MVP conversation.

Detroit Tigers

  • Playoffs: +325 (Yes) and -450 (No)
  • Division: +700
  • Pennant: +2000
  • World Series: +4000
  • Regular Season Wins: 78½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Spencer Torkelson (+375 AL Rookie of the Year)

The Detroit Tigers ended last season on a high note, finishing with a respectable 77 wins. Now, with some veteran pickups and another year of development for their young pitchers, the Tigers should win more than 78 games and could finish above .500. On a game-by-game basis, the Tigers will be a good team to bet on the MLB point spreads.

They also have two of baseball’s top prospects in Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. Torkelson is right with Adley Rutschman as an AL Rookie of the Year favorite and is a really good bet at +375.

Cleveland Guardians

  • Playoffs: +350 (Yes) and -500 (No)
  • Division: +900
  • Pennant: +4000
  • World Series: +7500
  • Regular Season Wins: 76½ (-125 over/-105 under)
  • Player to Watch: José Ramírez (+2000 AL MVP)

It was a characteristically quiet offseason for the newly named Cleveland Guardians, whose playoff hopes rest on a deep rotation with injury concerns and an extremely top-heavy lineup. Cleveland needs a bunch of its recent trade pickups, like Amed Rosario and Josh Naylor, to produce runs. The Guardians were one of baseball’s lowest-scoring teams in 2021.

One consistent run producer Cleveland (still) has is José Ramírez, who remains a member of the Guardians despite seemingly endless trade discussions surrounding him. He puts up huge numbers every season but doesn’t necessarily get the same recognition as other stars. He has finished in the top-six in AL MVP voting in four of the past five seasons and this year should be no different. At +2000, he’s a great value.

Kansas City Royals

  • Playoffs: +400 (Yes) and -600 (No)
  • Division: +1400
  • Pennant: +5000
  • World Series: +10000
  • Regular Season Wins: 75½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Bobby Witt Jr. (+325 AL Rookie of the Year)

Without adding much this offseason, the Kansas City Royals probably will be toward the bottom of the AL Central once again. Their win total is a bit too high so the under is a smart take. There just isn’t enough on that roster to keep up with the rest of the division.

But, if top prospect Bobby Witt Jr. makes the Opening Day roster and plays even close to as well as he did in the minors last year, the Royals could finally have their superstar. Witt is the odds-on favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year on the MLB future odds and, with enough playing time, it’s his award to lose.

AL West

Houston Astros

  • Playoffs: -400 (Yes) and +300 (No)
  • Division: -165
  • Pennant: +450
  • World Series: +1000
  • Regular Season Wins: 92½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Jose Altuve (+2500 AL MVP)

Until another team in the AL West is able to outpace the Houston Astros, it’s their division. Houston lost Carlos Correa but still has a loaded lineup and gets Justin Verlander back from Tommy John surgery, which is enormous for a pretty young but very talented rotation. Also, 92½ wins is a very low total for this team to beat.

One of the mainstays in that lineup is Jose Altuve. He is coming off another All-Star season and he should, once again, lead a really strong Houston lineup. He’s far from a top MVP contender, but he’s always one of the AL’s best players and, at +2500, is worth a dart. Altuve is one of baseball’s sure things in terms of MLB odds and predictions for high-performers.

Seattle Mariners

  • Playoffs: +155 (Yes) and -190 (No)
  • Division: +450
  • Pennant: +1500
  • World Series: +3000
  • Regular Season Wins: 84½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Julio Rodríguez (+600 AL Rookie of the Year)

The Seattle Mariners’ 90-win 2021 campaign was a surprise and likely due to a lot of luck that they won’t be able to rely on getting this season. Seattle did make a bunch of lineup improvements and adding Robbie Ray to the rotation should give the Mariners a good chance to hit its win total over and make the expanded playoffs (at plus money).

Seattle could also get a boost from top prospect Julio Rodríguez, who has a chance to make the Opening Day roster. He’s a legitimate candidate for AL Rookie of the Year and is a very nice value at +600.

Los Angeles Angels

  • Playoffs: +160 (Yes) and -200 (No)
  • Division: +350
  • Pennant: +1400
  • World Series: +2800
  • Regular Season Wins: 84½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Mike Trout (+400 AL MVP)

With the Los Angeles Angels, it’s all about the stars. If Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Anthony Rendon can stay healthy, they should snap their postseason drought. But, if any of them is sidelined for a long period of time, the Angels will hover around .500 yet again. For that reason, Los Angeles is a tough team to bet on in either direction.

You could take your pick of Angels MVP candidates but, at +400, let’s go with the best player in baseball: Trout. The injury bug robbed him of much of his 2021 season so his nine-year streak of finishing in the top-five in AL MVP voting came to an end. He’s 30 years old now, yet the talent and ability are all still there.

Texas Rangers

  • Playoffs: +600 (Yes) and -1000 (No)
  • Division: +1800
  • Pennant: +4000
  • World Series: +7500
  • Regular Season Wins: 74½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Corey Seager (+2500 AL MVP)

The Texas Rangers made big moves this offseason but still have a very unbalanced roster that doesn’t feature nearly enough to contend for a playoff spot just yet. They’ll definitely be a better team than they were last season, but it might be too optimistic to expect them to win 75 games with such a makeshift pitching staff.

Corey Seager was one of Texas’ free-agent splashes and it’s undeniable that he has MVP-level talent. The issue with Seager is always health and if he is able to play 130-plus games in hitter-friendly Texas, he could put up huge numbers and be an MVP dark-horse candidate. Any +2500 pick is going to be a longshot, though, and Seager would have to beat out a ton of other talented candidates in the AL race.

Oakland Athletics

  • Playoffs: +600 (Yes) and -1000 (No)
  • Division: +2000
  • Pennant: +4000
  • World Series: +8000
  • Regular Season Wins: 69½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Frankie Montas (+1400 AL Cy Young)

The Oakland Athletics have no shot at winning 86 games again after an offseason in which the front office traded away most of the team’s best players. It’s going to be hard for the Athletics to score enough runs to support a pitching staff with a ton of questions behind Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas. A 92-plus loss season is looking very likely for Oakland.

If Montas isn’t traded before the start of the season, he’s an intriguing longshot pick for AL Cy Young. He had a great 2021 season and finished sixth in the Cy Young race. As long as he makes 30-plus starts again, Montas has a great chance to be in the mix.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Back to top button