Toronto Needs A Consistent Bassitt Down The Stretch

The righty has been one of baseball’s most underrated pitchers overall.

Even if you’re a hardcore baseball fan, when would the Blue Jay’s righties name come when talking about the game’s best starters? The truth is, Chris Bassitt’s stats show that the former Akron Zip hasn’t had a losing season since 2018, when he was 2-3. Since Bassitt is 54-27 with a 3.66 era, he was an all-star with the Oakland Athletics in 2021, With most MLB expert picks centered around the reliable veteran. Let’s review Chris Bassitt’s betting stats and whether we should be concerned with recent results.

Bassitt Needs To Be Better Down The Stretch

Nothing about Chris Bassitt’s statistics suggests there will be a long-term issue for fans or bettors to worry about, but if we lean on recent form, we want to know we’re getting a pitcher who is on top of their game and Bassitt isn’t on top of his game. Over his last five starts, Bassit has given up four earned runs three times. He’s managed a quality start in four of those five outings, but that hasn’t been good enough, with Toronto winning just two of those starters. Overall, Toronto is 15-12 when Bassitt gets the start.

The problem comes when we try to find consistency because that’s the first trait most professional bettors rely on when it comes to starting pitching. Bassitt has rotated good and no-so-good outings over his last six starts, with the Jays losing four of those games. According to the MLB baseball schedule, the 34-year-old’s next start is scheduled for Wednesday against the Washington Nationals in what could be one of Bassitt’s most important outings of the season.

Against the Guardians, Bassit was hit hard in a 5-2 loss. Five of the seven hits allied were for extra bases, with two leaving the yard. That’s the sixth straight start that Bassitt has allowed a homer. We’re not suggesting it’s time to go against the veteran, but we wouldn’t lay a big number right now. Let’s look at Chris Bassitt’s stats from a betting perspective.

Bassitt Dominates On The Road, Not So Much At Home

It’s nice to do one of these columns from time to time because it allows us to dive deeper into a pitcher’s tendencies rather than focusing on MLB score predictions. Digging into Chris Bassitt’s stats has opened our eyes to what situation is best to have our money behind the 9-year veteran. Bassitt has terrific overall numbers, but there is a massive split when he throws at home and on the road. As a visitor, Bassitt’s teams own a 35-18 (+1146 units) overall win/loss record since 2018.

Only eight other pitchers in that span have produced more units for bettors than Bassitt. At home, the good feelings end with 30 units loss, despite a 29-18 record. Digging into that number further, we find that Bassitt is less reliable when pitching on the road as a slight favorite. Over the last six seasons, Bassitt is just 5-8 (-349 units) when a road favorite of -120 or less.

In addition, Bassitt is incredible against teams under .500, winning 46 of his last 63 games (+1203 units) but just 28-26 (+102 units) against teams over .500 in his previous 54 starts. Look for Bassitt when on the road, but as we saw against Cleveland, it may be better to stay away when at home. That’s an in-depth look at Chris Bassitt’s betting stats, we wish you all the best moving forward with your wagers.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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