Vegas Favored By 11+ Points for Third Straight Time
Ah, crap! Here we go again. Despite beating Chicago easily in their last two meetings, Las Vegas failed to cover their lofty spreads. And they failed to do it by just a few points each time so it was a double dose of bad beats for its bettors. Now, the Aces vs Sky Odds peg Las Vegas as an 11-point favorite or larger. Is third time’s the charm?
🏀 Aces vs Sky 🏀
Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Record: Aces (29-5)/ Sky (13-20)
Aces Don’t Really Care by Now, Right?
We don’t blame Las Vegas for being half-awake for its games. After all, this team is just auto-piloting its way to the WNBA Finals. And even if Las Vegas plays to the level of its opponent – that’s why it’s 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last four games – it can still win games.
Take that last game against Atlanta. Yeah, A’ja Wilson threw away all the f-words and just dropped 53 points. But the Dream were hanging around and covered the 16-point spread as a result.
“My teammates kept giving me the basketball in my spaces and I just wanted to return the favor,” Wilson told the WNBA. “They tried so hard to get me the ball, and it’s not easy. I think we just tightened up on the defensive end and it helped our offense flow.”
In other words, the rest of the team just wanted to hit the snooze button. “A’ja, take the wheel!” How then can you trust this team to keep covering 10+ point WNBA spreads?
Las Vegas has four All-Stars and is even missing a fifth in Candace Parker. The team has not been as dominant since her WNBA injuries. And a pair of blowout losses to the New York Liberty, one that came in the Commissioners’ Cup Final, show this team is not bulletproof.
Still, Las Vegas is the best WNBA team in scoring, defending, shooting, and is in the top three in practically every category. A “superteam” doesn’t even do it justice.
And maybe Las Vegas’s stars will pick up for Wilson if she doesn’t feel like dropping 50 against the Sky. Still, bettors who have been burnt will not be excited asking the team to cover the Aces vs Sky Odds again.
The Sky Has Fallen… But Not Entirely
While not technically out of the playoffs, the Chicago Sky appear to be out of it. The team is one game back of the Sparks for that final spot. It snapped a five-game skid against the Storm on Tuesday. It also evened out its betting record to 16-16-1 ATS. Still, it’s not profitable.
Dana Evans scored 23 points off the bench. Six others scored in double figures and basically threw everything but the kitchen sink at an exasperated team headed straight for the lottery. That was a good win for Chicago as the team needed that sense of desperation to stay in the race.
If Chicago can channel this type of “dawg”-like energy against Las Vegas, we might have something here. The Sky might just be worthy a WNBA pick in parlays. Heck, bet it straight given it’s a $700 payout for a $100 stake. Throw some lunch money on it.
Of course, Chicago could also fire nothing but blanks while the favorite whips out its A’ja Wilson-sized bazooka. Chicago is just 1-6 in its last seven games against Las Vegas. And it’s just 1-4 in its last five home games versus it.
Still, the Aces vs Sky Odds tighten for Chicago thanks to its past successes. Maybe the ship has sailed on betting on Chicago to cover again. After all, it would have lost the cover if this applied to its last two results (both losses by 12+).
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