Warriors vs Kings Betting Odds: Sacramento Ready to Defend Home Court

Warriors Hope to Steal Road Win

The Golden State Warriors will hope to put their road woes aside as they aim to steal Game 5 in Sacramento. Let’s take a look at the Warriors vs Kings Betting Odds as the series returns to Golden 1 Center.

The Sacramento Kings were dealt a huge blow after Game 4 with reports coming out that De’Aaron Fox suffered a fractured finger and is considered doubtful for Game 5. The markets were quick to react to the news as the Warriors moved from -1.5 points out to -4.5 points.

While Fox’s potential absence would be a huge hole for Sacramento to overcome; the Warriors know they need to be better if they’re finally going to rid themselves of their road issues.

Despite an explosive Game 4 from both offenses the total for this game has been set at 233.0 points, which has come down from it’s opening number of 237.5 points following Fox’s injury news.

Can Coach Brown Keep Kings Focussed

One thing Mike Brown spoke about prior to Game 4 was the need for his players to play their game and stop being reliant on finding easy whistles to get them out of trouble.

Regardless of what happens with Fox his message to his team will remain the same; play the brand of basketball that has made them such a nightmare MLB matchup for teams.

Pace and space are key and finding their shooters in rhythm as opposed to rushed shots late in the clock are what will help them to maintain their high offensive efficiency and put pressure on the Warriors to do the same away from the comforts of their home floor.

So far this MLB season, the Kings offense is -6.9 points per 100 possessions worse when Fox isn’t on the floor. They are also -1.4% worse with their Effective Field Goal average in his absence. What’s also noteworthy is that the team’s defense measure better when he’s off the floor.

They are +3.7 points per 100 possessions better when he’s off the floor and are holding opponents to a -2.2% average of their usual Effective Field Goal average. They also own a much higher turnover rate as a defensive unit without him, which could be crucial in a matchup against a Golden State team leads the NBA team stats in turnovers per game.

Warriors Will Lean on Experience

No current team in the league is better versed in battling through a best-of-seven series than the Golden State Warriors and that experience has already been shown in stemming the tide and surviving Game 4 at home.

The Warriors took a big punch to start this series but have found they’re looking to turn this into a Best-of-3 scenario. In a pressure cooker environment where their opponent might be missing their primary scorer and playmaker it’s difficult to envision how the Warriors don’t get the job done, even if it does involve them needing to win at least one game on the road.

Steve Kerr’s decision to keep a three-guard lineup with Jordan Poole starting and Draymond Green coming off the bench proved important in a high-scoring shootout and what he does in Game 5 could be a huge factor in dictating the total in this game.

These two teams were both in the top-3 in the NBA standings in pace of play but assuming Fox is out, the Warriors may be able to control pace and force Sacramento to play a half-court style that heavily suits the visitors.

The Kings half court defense ranks 28th in points per play allowed and their offense ranks 10th in points per play as opposed to 2nd when playing in transition. Coach Kerr will be telling his players to ensure they’re securing defensive rebounds and taking the tempo out of the game – if they can do this successfully they’ll go a long way to ensuring that Game 6 at home will be a chance to punch their tick to the next round. The Warriors vs Kings matchup has been intense all series long, but with the playoffs on the line, both teams will need to bring their A-game.

Looking at the current marketplace the Under stands out the best bet for bettors given what Fox’s potential absence does to Sacramento at both ends of the floor. Losing his speed and point of attack presence will also mean the pace will be below the series average to date, which in turn will result in far less scoring opportunities for both teams.

That’s all for our Warriors vs Kings Betting Odds preview for Game 5. Be sure to check out all our NBA Playoff previews to ensure you’re staying ahead of the markets.

For NBA betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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