The Oklahoma Sooners visit the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday in a Big 12 Conference clash. The No. 6 Sooners are coming off their first point spread loss of the season, failing to cover the 17-point spread against UCF. Oklahoma won 31-29. Meanwhile, the Jayhawks are coming off a bye week, having an extra week to prepare for Oklahoma. The Oklahoma vs Kansas betting shows the Sooners are favored by 10 points, and the total on the game is 65.5.
Line: Oklahoma -10
Sooners Still on Outside Looking In
Despite a 7-0 straight-up record, Oklahoma is still looking in as it pertains to the college football playoffs. It’s hard to say if the Sooners should be ranked higher than sixth in the NCAAF rankings. You can make a case based on the strength of its NCAAF schedule. Oklahoma should be higher than Washington. But any team undefeated after the conference championship games will certainly get in.
The Sooners are capable of doing just that thanks to an offense that scores 43.1 points against teams allowing 24.7. Oklahoma can run the ball, but the Sooners are a much better passing team. The Sooners average 328.6 yards per game and 9.3 yards per pass attempt.
The Oklahoma defense is solid against the run and better than average against the pass. But it’s the rushing defense that will be tested in this game. The Sooners have allowed a high of 156 rushing yards this season, and that came against Texas. Oklahoma allows an average of 119.4 yards.
Kansas Can Run the Football
The Jayhawks can move the football on the ground or through the air. But the Jayhawks would rather run the ball and then use that to their advantage and throw. Kansas averages 212.3 rushing yards per game and runs for 5.7 yards per carry. The Jayhawks throw for 231.1 yards per game despite throwing just 24.3 times. Kansas is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt.
The Jayhawks aren’t the best defensive NCAAF team, allowing 27.4 points to teams averaging 25.5. Kansas is a little below average against the rush and the pass but might be a little better defending the pass plays.
Despite being 5-2 straight-up, the Jayhawks are just 3-4 against the NCAAF odds but are 3-1 ATS at home and 0-3 on the road. Kansas is 4-3 in totals on the season.
What to Expect
Oklahoma can’t afford to get caught looking ahead in any game, such as next week’s game with Oklahoma State. The Sooners have a bit of a target on their back as the No. 6 team in the country and a perfect 7-0 record. The Sooners are also 4-3 in totals this season. Oklahoma has played to higher totals twice and went under the number both times.
Oklahoma will run the ball a bit to help set up the pass, which is the same game plan Kansas will likely use. The big difference is Oklahoma will throw more, while Kansas will run more. The Sooners appear to be the team most likely to have prolonged success on the ground, primarily because the Oklahoma run defense is solid.
Oklahoma is +9 in turnovers this season, while Kansas is +2. The turnover differential has helped the Sooners allow some yardage on defense, but keep the points to a minimum.
Who to Bet On?
The Oklahoma vs Kansas betting line of Sooners -10 is a pretty good number. The Jayhawks figure to be able to stick around for a bit. But the Sooners might be able to wear down Kansas in the late stages of the college football game. Oklahoma’s defense is better in the second half, while the Jayhawks are a little bit worse.
The Oklahoma vs Kansas betting odds on the total are tough to predict. The Sooner offense can get pretty close to the total themselves. But the defense is capable of holding most teams down in the scoring department. Kansas’ defense isn’t good, but it’s certainly not the worst in the Big 12 Conference.
This should be a good game to watch. But it’s a little harder to bet. Strictly for value, the Sooners -10 are the play in this one. Oklahoma will have its hands full for a while, but the Sooners should start to separate themselves from Kansas in the second half.