AC Milan vs Inter Milan Odds, Match Preview
Derby della Madonnina With Title Implications
Inter Milan Win Hands Nerazzurri the Scudetto
Neither AC Milan nor Inter Milan have ever clinched the Serie A title by winning a Derby della Madonnina over their rivals. On Monday, Inter Milan have the chance to do exactly that when they take on the Rossoneri. AC Milan are reeling from a 2-1 loss at Roma on Thursday which knocked them out of the Europa League. AC Milan certainly won’t want to hand their rivals the Serie A title in a “home” game for them. In a must watch match, we’ll cover Monday’s AC Milan vs Inter Milan odds.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan
Date, time:
Location: Stadio San Siro, Milan, Italy
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head
In the first Derby della Madonnina of the season, Inter Milan got their biggest win over AC Milan since 2009. Henrikh Mkhitaryan scored twice in the Nerazzurri’s 5-1 win over the Rossoneri. The pregame AC Milan vs Inter Milan odds priced Inter as +120 favorites. This hasn’t been much of a match lately, as Inter have won each of the last five Derbies.
Rafael Leao’s goal for AC Milan in the 5-1 loss was their first in five matches in this fixture. Recall that the two sides met in last season’s Champions League Semifinal and Inter managed a 3-0 aggregate victory over two legs. Still, AC Milan have won two of the last four Derbies on the Serie A schedule.
AC Milan Winless in Last Three
With six Serie A games to go, AC Milan are firmly in second place and are statistically the only team that can catch Inter Milan. A draw or win keeps AC Milan mathematically alive but a win would represent a six point swing for the Rossoneri. At the moment, Inter are 14 points ahead of their rivals. Regardless, you’d be hard pressed to find any Serie A predictions that have AC Milan miraculously beating out Inter to the title.
Milan also put in a disappointing performance on the road at Roma on Thursday. After losing the first leg of the UEL Quarter-Final last week 1-0, Milan trailed 2-0 on the night and 3-0 on aggregate just 22 minutes in. Despite Roma going down to ten men, Milan only managed to pull one goal back. Rafael Leao found Matteo Gabbia for a header but it was too little, too late.
Leao has rounded into form lately, with a goal contribution in six of his last eight matches, in all competitions. Milan are winless in their last three games, in all competitions, though. Sandwiched in between the losses to Roma, Milan drew 3-3 at Sassuolo. Still, they have scored at least twice in each of their last four Serie A matches. The Rossoneri have a few defenders out for this one, as Pierre Kalulu and Simon Kjaer are injured and Malick Thiaw is suspended.
Martinez to Return for Inter Milan
Inter Milan drew 2-2 vs. Cagliari at the San Siro last Sunday. The Nerazzurri took the lead on two occasions but Cagliari simply wouldn’t quit. Alexis Sanchez found Marcus Thuram for Inter’s first goal, in the 12th minute, and it took nearly an hour for Eldor Shomurodov to equalize. Hakan Calhanoglu converted a penalty for Inter and he’s been incredibly reliable from the spot this season. However, Nicolas Viola got a goal back for Cagliari, who had a couple of chances to go on and win the match.
The Serie A betting lines currently list Inter as -100000 title favorites. So, the result won’t set them back much at all. They still have the opportunity to win the title by beating their rivals, AC Milan, which could be a special night for the Nerazzurri. Inter’s leading scorer, and Serie A Golden Boot leader, Lautaro Martinez served a one game suspension vs. Cagliari. Martinez leads the league, with 23 goals, but he hasn’t found the net in any of his last four matches.
Meanwhile, goalkeeper Yann Sommer has kept an impressive 17 clean sheets in Serie A. This is technically an away match for Inter, who have gone an unbeaten 13-2-0 on the road in Serie A this season. Plus, Inter Milan have a fully healthy squad and we can expect to see their best possible lineup in action on Monday. While Inter are unbeaten in Serie A in 2024, they have drawn two of their last four games.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan Match Analysis & Odds
Inter can assert their dominance over their rivals and win the Scudetto on Monday all in one fell swoop. Looking at the AC Milan vs Inter Milan odds, the Nerazzurri have a decent shot to do just that. Inter Milan are -105 favorites to win the Derby della Madonnina and the Serie A title on Monday.
It will be interesting to see how AC Milan respond to Thursday’s disappointment here. They certainly won’t want to fall to Inter for a sixth straight time and hand them the title. Milan have a lot of pride at stake and even a draw (+255) would postpone Inter’s title for at least another match. Punters can take AC Milan pk, +0.5 at +125 or Inter pk, -0.5 at -145.
The Rossoneri are +245 underdogs and have floundered lately after a seven game winning streak, in all competitions. Inter are on a 22 game scoring streak heading into this one but Inter under 1.5 goals sits at -135. For the match, over 2.5 goals are priced at -135 odds, though. It’ll take a win for Inter to celebrate the title in front of their rivals and they do have the personnel to pull it off.
