Fritz, Tiafoe and Paul Among Top American Contenders at US Open
There has been a change at the odds in the ATP US Open odds as Novak Djokovic is now the favorite to win the US Open for the fourth time with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz just behind Djokovic after being the favorite for most of the summer.
The last time a player won back-to-back men’s singles titles at the US Open came in 2008 when Roger Federer won five championships in a row.
With Federer retired and Rafael Nadal to miss another Grand Slam tournament, things will look much different in the US Open. Nick Krygios is another big name who is not able to play in New York.
Americans Alex Michelsen, Michael Mmoh, Ethan Quinn, John Isner, Learner Tien and Steve Johnson all received wild cards into the men’s singles draw.
Top-seeded Jaume Munar, No. 2 seed Cristian Garin and No. 5 David Goffin are among the upset victims in the men’s qualifying draw.
When looking at the US Open predictions, Djokovic is priced at +120 and Alcaraz checks in at +150. The next closest challenger is Daniil Medvedev with +700 odds.
The main draw is set to start on Monday.
Fight For the Top
Alcaraz and Djokovic have had a pair of recent classic tennis matchups with Alcaraz winning at Wimbledon and Djokovic taking the rematch in Cincinnati. The ATP US Open odds are projecting another showdown between top-ranked Alcaraz and No. 2 ranked Djokovic.
American Taylor Fritz could draw Djokovic with a spot in the quarterfinals if he manages to get past Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Germany’s Alexander Zverev and Great Britain’s Cameron Norrie could be in Alcaraz’s path.
Alcaraz also made it to the quarterfinals in Cincinnati before being upset by American Tommy Paul.
Djokovic took some time off after the run to the Wimbledon finals and then won the Cincinnati event.
A Look At American Hopes
No U.S.-born player has reached the US Open men’s singles final since 2006 finalist Andy Roddick. The last champion from the U.S. was Roddick in 2003.
What about the Americans who could be in contention in this year’s event?
When looking at the US Open schedule, Fritz meets up with veteran American Steve Johnson in the first round as he looks to advance past the third round at the US Open for the first time.
Frances Tiafoe, the No. 10 seed, and No. 14 seed Tommy Paul are in the same bracket with No. 4 seed Casper Ruud. American Sebastian Korda is also a seeded player in Ruud’s portion of the US Open bracket.
Paul has moved past the first round just once at the US Open so that needs to be considered when looking at the schedule and possible matchups.
Fritz is priced at +3300, Tiafoe comes in at +4000 and Sebastian Korda’s odds are currently at +6000 followed by Christopher Eubanks at +6600. Paul is back a bit with +8000 odds, the same as Ben Shelton.
Not Bad For Openers
When looking at the top first-round matches, the first one to jump out is Tsitsipas drawing Canada’s Milos Raonic. Raonic is a former Wimbledon finalist who has not moved past the Round of 16 at the US Open.
The Jannik Sinner-Yannick Hanfmann match could be interesting as well along with the Nicolas Jarry matchup with Luca Van Assche could be intriguing as well.
In last year’s US Open draw, fourth-seeded Stefanos Tsitsipas, No. 10 seed Fritz, No. 16 Roberto Bautista Agut, No. 24 Francisco, No. 30 Maxime Cressy, No. 31Nikoloz Basilashvili all fell in the first round. The tournament was already without No. 2 Alexander Zverev, No. 6 seed Djokovic, No. 24 Gael Monfils and No. 28 Reilly Opelka pulled out of the tournament. They were all injury-related except for Djokovic as he failed to be vaccinated for COVID.
The ATP US Open odds look much different now that Djokovic gets to return to New York.
Veteran Gael Monfils, who could meet Andrey Rublev, and American J.J. Wolf, a possible second-round opponent for Casper Ruud are among the dangerous unseeded players.
What About the Other Former Champs?
Djokovic and Alcaraz are not the only former champions in the field. Andy Murray, the 2012 champion, opens with France’s Corentin Moutet. The 2016 champion Stan Wawrinka draws Yoshihito Nishioka in the first round.
Dominic Thiem, who won the tournament in 2020, will square off with No. 25 seed Alexander Bublik. Even though Thiem is unseeded, he is priced at +6600 to win the title.
Daniil Medvedev, who won the event in 2021, gets to take Attila Balazs in the opening round as he looks to make another long run in New York.
Medvedev is just 3-2 since Wimbledon with losses to Alex de Minaur in Toronto and to Alexander Zverev in Cincinnati.
Can’t get enough? Here’s more!
- WTA US Open Betting Preview: Swiatek Holds Firm as Favorite
- US Open Futures Betting: Defending Champs Alcaraz and Swiatek & Current Favorites
- Can Top-Seeded Swiatek Triumph at WTA Western & Southern Open?
- ATP Western & Southern Open: Potential Cincinnati Final Clash?
- ATP National Bank Open Odds: Alcaraz, the Toronto newcomer