Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction | Premier League Odds
New Year Kicks off with a Bang
First EPL Match of 2024
In the first Premier League match of 2024, Liverpool host Newcastle United in an intriguing clash. While Newcastle have stumbled recently, Liverpool are in the thick of the title race. Jurgen Klopp’s Reds are unbeaten at Anfield this season and will look to keep things that way on Monday.
The Magpies, who finished in fourth place last season, have lost four of their last five and are stumbling down the table. Ahead of this New Year’s Day matchup, we’ll make our Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction and run through the odds.
Game Information
Liverpool vs Newcastle
Day/Time:
Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
Head-to-Head
This is the second soccer betting opportunity on Liverpool vs Newcastle this season. In August, a ten-man Liverpool managed a 2-1 come-from-behind victory over the Magpies. Darwin Nuñez scored both of Liverpool’s goals in the match. Liverpool also completed the double over Newcastle in the 2022-23 season, and the Reds have won each of the last five meetings. Newcastle are on a 14-game winless run vs Liverpool.
Title Contenders, Liverpool Take Down Burnley
Liverpool got the job done on Boxing Day, with a 2-0 win over Burnley. With the victory, Liverpool went back on top of the EPL table but Arsenal have a game in hand. The Reds opened up the scoring early on, as Darwin Nuñez finished off a Cody Gakpo pass first-time. Burnley had some half-chances throughout the match but didn’t manage to put a single shot on target. In his return to action after missing eight games, Diogo Jota scored a 90th-minute goal to seal the victory for Liverpool.
Jurgen Klopp’s side are now unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League matches and have only lost once midway through the 2023-24 campaign. Mo Salah is having another great campaign, with 12 goals and seven assists, and Nuñez has also scored five times and provided five assists. Liverpool could challenge on all fronts this season, which includes the EPL, FA Cup, EFL Cup and Europa League. However, they have picked up some untimely injuries which has caused a left back crisis.
Liverpool vs Newcastle predictions should take into account the fact that the Reds are missing both Kostas Tsimikas and Andy Robertson at left back. Joe Gomez filled in on Tuesday, and that could once again be the case next Monday. Other players injured include Alexis Mac Allister, Stefan Bajcetic, and Thiago Alcantara. Bettors should also note that Liverpool are an unbeaten 7-2-0 at Anfield in the EPL this season.
Newcastle Hitting Bumps in the Road
Newcastle’s form has been free falling over the last couple of months. The Magpies are out of the Champions League, and European competition altogether, and they’ve lost four of their last five Premier League matches. On Boxing Day, former Newcastle man Chris Wood scored a hat trick against his former club as Nottingham Forest defeated Newcastle 3-1. Alexander Isak opened up the scoring for the hosts with a penalty kick goal, but Wood had his hat trick within an hour.
It was Newcastle’s second home loss of the season in the EPL stats , as Liverpool are the only other team to defeat them at St. James’ Park. The Magpies have struggled heavily on the road, as they enter 2024 with a 1-2-6 Premier League record away from home. Even though Sven Botman and Isak have recently returned to the lineup, Eddie Howe still has a lot of players out injured.
Starting keeper Nick Pope is out for the next few months with a dislocated shoulder and Martin Dubravka will continue to fill in, in the meantime. Joe Willock, Jacob Murphy, Matt Targett, Elliot Anderson, and Harvey Barnes are also out for Newcastle. In the midst of a diabolical run of form, Newcastle desperately need to begin to turn things around.
Match Analysis & Odds
Newcastle’s last two losses have come to clubs firmly in the bottom half of the table, Luton Town and Nottingham Forest. If Newcastle put on a similar performance here, things could get ugly. With their backs against the wall, expect Howe’s side to be motivated when they play one of the league’s best EPL teams, in Liverpool. Liverpool have drawn their last two home matches in the Premier League, but they very rarely lose at Anfield.
Here, Liverpool are -210 favorites vs the Magpies and Liverpool -1, -1.5 displays even EPL odds. The only team Newcastle have defeated on the road this season is last-placed Sheffield United. Our Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction is that it’ll stay that way as we enter the New Year and that this will be a low-scoring match.
Newcastle need to get back to basics and that involves tightening up their defense and being more wary of counter attacks. Nottingham Forest torched Newcastle on the break on Tuesday and expect Howe to adjust to limit Liverpool’s opportunities. Bettors may want to consider taking under 3, 3.5 goals at -115 odds. Newcastle +1, +1.5 also shows -120 odds as the Magpies are +475 moneyline underdogs, and a draw is priced at +390.
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