Argentina in Must-Win Mode
After having three goals called offside in the first half vs. Saudi Arabia, Argentina gave up a one goal lead and suffered an embarrassing loss. Lionel Messi & Co. need to pick up the pieces vs. Mexico on Saturday. With neither Argentina and Mexico winning their first match, this is a crucial match between two iconic teams. So, we’ll run through the odds in our Argentina vs Mexico betting preview.
Argentina vs Mexico
Date, time (TV):
Location: Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail, Qatar
Streaming: FS1, Telemundo, Peacock
Team Stats and Odds:
|Team||FIFA World Ranking||World Cup Qualifying Record||Knockout Stage Odds||Odds to Win Group||Odds to Win World Cup|
|Argentina||3||11-6-0, 2nd CONMEBOL||-230||+150||+900|
|Mexico||13||8-4-2, 2nd CONCACAF||+110||+330||+10000|
|Last Five Meetings:||Teams|
|Sep. 2019:||Argentina 4-0 Mexico|
|Nov. 2018:||Argentina 2-0 Mexico|
|Nov. 2018:||Argentina 2-0 Mexico|
|Sep. 2015:||Argentina 2-2 Mexico|
|Jun. 2010:||Argentina 3-1 Mexico|
Argentina and Mexico have met 35 previous times, including four times in the last decade. Argentina are unbeaten in the last ten meetings, as Mexico last defeated La Albiceleste in 2004. The most recent meeting was a 2019 friendly, which Argentina won 4-0. Lautaro Martinez, who’s on Argentina’s World Cup roster, scored a hat trick. Our Argentina vs Mexico betting preview also notes that the last World Cup meeting was in 2010. Carlos Tevez scored a double as Argentina advanced to the quarterfinals at Mexico’s expense.
Argentina: Off to Nightmare Start
Standings: 0-1, 4th
Previous Match: L, 2-1 vs. Saudi Arabia
Upcoming Match: Nov. 30 vs. Poland
After Lionel Messi slotted home a 10th minute penalty vs. Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, it looked like Argentina would cruise to victory. Messi had a goal called back for offside 12 minutes later and the misfortune started for Argentina. Striker Lautaro Martinez had two more goals called back for offside, one by his hand. Still, La Albiceleste looked like they’d come away with victory after not conceding a single shot on target in the first half.
Then, Saudi Arabia found a second gear and mounted an improbable comeback. The Green Falcons’ Saleh Al-Shehri scored in the 48th minute and Salem Al-Dawsari added a stunner minutes later. Somehow, Argentina failed to score and the heavy -650 favorites embarrassingly lost their first match. Argentina odds to win World Cup opened at +500 and subsequently dropped to +900.
The loss ended a 36-game unbeaten run, which was just one result away from matching Italy’s international record of 37. Coach Lionel Scaloni’s side need to regroup and come away with a win on Saturday. They’re still favorites to win the group, but at longer than even odds now, at +150. It could be a potential unceremonious ending to Messi’s World Cup career if Argentina lose here and Saudi Arabia win or draw vs. Poland.
Mexico: Pose a Threat
Standings: 0-1-0, T-2nd
Previous Match: D, 0-0 vs. Poland
Upcoming Match: Nov. 30 vs. Saudi Arabia
Given the circumstances, Tata Martino and Mexico were certainly not dissatisfied with a draw vs. Poland on Tuesday. Mexico outplayed Poland for long stretches of the match but Hector Moreno fouled Robert Lewandowski in the box 11 minutes in the second half. Guillermo Ochoa saved Lewandowski’s penalty and saved Mexico in the process as the match ended in a scoreless draw. Poland put nine men behind the ball at times but Mexico weren’t incisive enough offensively. They often played in crosses with no one on the end of them.
Hirving Lozano looked like the biggest threat on El Tri but he couldn’t find the net either. Mexico did have some disappointing results on their CONCACAF World Cup qualifying schedule. So, they’ve looked a bit out of sorts for a while. Mexico have only won two of their last seven international matches.
It was positive news for Mexico that Raul Jimenez make a substitute appearance, though. The Wolverhampton Wanderers striker hadn’t played since August and is one of Mexico’s best players if fully healthy. Mexico’s match vs. Poland appeared to be a home game for El Tri with all of the traveling support. It’ll be interesting to see if there are similar crowd dynamics for the match vs. Argentina.
Match Analysis and Odds:
Argentina vs Mexico betting previews note that Argentina come into the match as one-goal favorites. La Albiceleste show even odds to cover the spread coming off of their shocking defeat to Saudi Arabia. Argentina haven’t lost two matches in a row since 2016 and their moneyline odds are -175. Meanwhile, Mexico sit at -120 odds ATS and show a +550 price to win the match. This has not been a kind fixture to El Tri, they’ve only won once in the last eighteen meetings.
Argentina and it’s highly doubtful they’d make the knockout stage in either case. Still, a draw comes in at +290 odds
Both a draw and loss would be disastrous results for Argentina and it’s highly doubtful they’d make the knockout stage in either case. Still, a draw comes in at +290 odds. It’s a result that Mexico would accept, knowing they’d need to defeat Saudi Arabia in their last match to go through. In any case, expect the intensity in the match to be very high.
Messi has scored three times vs. Mexico in his career and will be itching to add to his record on Saturday. With other Argentine attacking threats, like Julian Alvarez, Lautaro Martinez and Angel di Maria, the Mexican defense could be stretched come Saturday. This is expected to be a low scoring affair, though, as under 2½ goals sits at -130 odds. The over shows a +110 price and it’s occurred in five of the last seven meetings.