FIFA Women’s World Cup: Norway vs Philippines Odds

High Stakes Group A Closer

Philippines Go for First Knockout Stage Appearance

Through two matches, Norway have been one of the biggest disappointments of the FIFA Women’s World Cup. With a loss and a draw, they’re on the brink of group stage elimination for the first time. Meanwhile, the Philippines got their first-ever World Cup win, vs. New Zealand, earlier this week. With both teams going for all three points in this group stage finale, we’ll preview the Norway vs. Philippines odds.

FIFA Women’s World Cup

Norway vs Philippines

Date, time:
Location: Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand

Head-to-Head

This is the first-ever opportunity to bet on Norway vs. Philippines odds in any competition. All-time, the Philippines are 2-1-6 vs. UEFA competition and their only wins have come vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina. Meanwhile, Norway are unbeaten in their last three Women’s World Cup matches vs. AFC teams.

Norway Goalless Through Two Matches

    • FIFA Women’s World Ranking: 12
    • Last Match: 0-0 D vs. Switzerland
    • Standings: 0-1-1, 4th Group A

Norway have failed to score in consecutive group stage matches for the first time in their Women’s World Cup history. In their first match, Norway allowed New Zealand to grab their first-ever World Cup win. Following the 1-0 loss, Norway took on Switzerland on Tuesday. In the match, Norway created a bunch of chances and Swiss keeper Gaelle Thalmann came up huge.

The best chances in the match were created by Norway but Thalmann made stops on Sophie Haug, Caroline Graham Hansen and Frida Maanum. With Norway unable to find a breakthrough, the match finished in a scoreless draw. Norway have failed to cover the spread in both of their matches and have been a disappointment for betting on soccer.

Now, they head into their final group stage match needing a win to stay alive. Should they win by three or more goals, they’ll automatically seal knockout stage qualification. Otherwise, things could get complicated. Recall that the first tiebreaker is goal difference followed by goals scored. Should Norway draw or lose, they’ll miss the knockout stage for the first time ever in their FIFA Women’s World Cup history.

Philippines Get First Women’s World Cup Win

  • FIFA Women’s World Ranking: 46
  • Last Match: 1-0 W vs. New Zealand
  • Standings: 1-1, 3rd Group A

The Philippines’ first two World Cup games were vs. Switzerland and New Zealand. In their Women’s World Cup debut, the Philippines were mostly solid on defense but couldn’t grab hold of the ball for long stretches of the match. They failed to put a shot on target, kept just 26 percent possession and fell 2-0 to Switzerland.

With an excellent bounce-back victory vs. New Zealand, the Philippines got their first-ever World Cup win. Sarina Bolden made history with the Philippines’ first-ever World Cup goal, which was the only one of the match. While the Philippines were once again on the back foot, their defense and keeper Olivia Davies-McDaniel managed to snuff out New Zealand’s attacks. With the win, the Philippines also became the first debutants to win a match at Australia & New Zealand 2023.

Now, with one group stage match remaining, the Philippines are in third place in the World Cup group standings. Defeating Norway would mean the Philippines advance to the knockout stage automatically. A draw could also be enough depending on the Switzerland vs. New Zealand score.

Match Analysis & Odds

Norway figure to put a ton of pressure on the Philippines as the Grasshoppers need to score to keep their knockout stage hopes alive. Plus, it benefits Norway to get a multi-goal victory, so don’t expect them to take their foot off the gas if they take a lead. For the Philippines, completely stopping Norway from creating chances will be nearly impossible. However, their defense can certainly limit the quality of the chances Norway gets.

It’s somewhat astounding that Norway haven’t scored yet with the likes of Ada Hegerberg and Caroline Graham Hansen on their team. Hegerberg started vs. New Zealand but pulled out of the Switzerland match moments before kickoff with a groin injury. She could certainly return for this match but her status is worth keeping tabs on.

The Norway vs. Philippines odds list Norway as 2.5-goal favorites even though they haven’t scored a goal so far. Philippines +2.5 comes in at +150 odds as Norway -2.5 shows +120 odds. Meanwhile, Norway are also -800 moneyline favorites, which corresponds to an implied 88.9 percent chance of victory.

The Philippines are +1700 underdogs, while a draw is priced at +625 odds. If this match finishes in a draw and Switzerland lose to New Zealand, the Philippines will advance to the knockout stage. Under three goals also sit at -120 odds.
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