The Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat will be the first of two games on the NBA slate. The Nets have already overachieved to begin the season. They’re sitting at 6-5 after a home win against the Orlando Magic. That win gave Brooklyn three wins in its last four NBA games.
On the other hand, although the Heat struggled to begin the year, they’ve won six straight games to push their record to 7-4. The last time the Heat lost was to the Nets earlier this year. At home, the Heat are -3.5 against the spread, with the total sitting at 216 for this matchup.
Can Brooklyn stay above .500 on the road against the Heat?
Check out the Nets vs Heat game odds for this standalone game at 7:30 pm ET.
Day/Time: Thursday, November 16, 7:30 p.m. ET, 4:30 p.m. PT
Location: Kaseya Center
Streaming: NBA TV
Nets vs Heat Game Odds & Betting Trends
The Nets have gone 9-1-1 against the spread through their first 11 games this basketball season. The only game the Nets didn’t cover was against the Celtics, on the road, as 11.5-point underdogs. They’ve won (or pushed) in every other game, including a road game against the Heat, where the Nets were seven-point underdogs. Brooklyn won that game outright by four points.
Meanwhile, the Nets have also hit the Over in six of 11 games this season. They’re also above .500 (3-2) on the road this year.
On the other hand, Miami didn’t cover against the spread against the Hornets last time out. They’re just 4-7 against the spread this season. However, before that game against the Hornets, the Heat had covered three straight games on the road.
Miami is 3-1 at home this season, with the lone loss against the Nets.
The Nets have also won five straight games against the Heat from March 26, 2022, to the present.
Ben Simmons’ Nerve Issue
It seemed like Ben Simmons would finally put his past aside and enjoy an entire season with the Nets. But he’s already landed on the injury list with a nerve issue in his back.
The star forward won’t need surgery, but Simmons will be out for at least one week, if not more.
Simmons and the Nets don’t seem too worried. They’re calling it a bump in the road. The injury happened in a play against the Bucks. He was assessed after the game against Milwaukee, and then the MRI confirmed his nerve impingement.
Duncan Robinson Has Elevated His Game
The Heat also couldn’t land Damian Lillard and now have Tyler Herro on the sideline due to an injury.
It was important that other players stepped up for the Heat.
That guy has been Duncan Robinson.
Robinson’s been on the team for a few years now. But he’s been inconsistent, where sometimes he hasn’t even earned any minutes. But desperate times call for desperate measures.
Against the Hornets, Robinson added 18 points last time out, shooting 6-for-13 from the field. He nailed 4-of-10 from downtown and added two foul shots. He also grabbed eight rebounds, added five assists, and recorded a block and steal in over 36 minutes.
This was Robinson’s third consecutive start. He’s now earned back-to-back games with 18 points for the first time since January 2022.
His production has come at the perfect time for the Heat.
Can The Nets Hit Open Shots?
The Brooklyn Nets have shot a 55.1% effective field goal percentage to begin the year. That’s good for 9th in the NBA. They’ll face a Heat defense that has allowed a 56.1% effective field goal percentage this season.
Therefore, the Nets should get quality looks from the floor. They’ve scored 115.2 points per 100 possessions and continue to limit turnovers to only 14%. While the Nets won’t get to the foul line often, they’ll at least be active on the offensive glass, earning 27.7% of offensive rebounds per game.
Miami has done a great job limiting free throws. The Heat have also added 17.4% of turnovers. But if the Nets can keep their turnovers down, the Heat will struggle to get consistent stops.
On the other hand, Miami’s offense hasn’t been nearly as consistent. The Heat have scored only 109.2 points per 100 possessions, which is 25th in the NBA. They’re also weak on the defensive glass, grabbing 23.8% of offensive rebounds.
The Nets typically play better defense and force more challenging shots. With Miami rarely earning offensive rebounds, the Nets can seriously escape the Heat on the road for the second time this season.
This game isn’t an NBA In-Season Tournament game. There’s no NBA bracket. But that doesn’t mean we won’t have a good game on our hands. Our NBA predictions believe this game will be close. However, after checking out the Nets vs Heat game odds, we will ride the Nets at +4 with the NBA spread.