WNBA Odds Have the Hosts Moving On
If the WNBA lines are accurate, we’re going to see both New York and Dallas move on to the semifinals of the WNBA playoffs. The Mystics vs Liberty odds remain lopsided with New York favored by over 10 points. It handed Washington a 15-point loss from Game 1. Meanwhile, Dallas beat Atlanta by a dozen and is around a 6.5-point favorite. Chalk bettors look to profit again as we could see a deja vu from Friday.
Washington Mystics vs New York Liberty (-10.5)
Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Series: New York leads 1-0
With Elena Delle Donne, Washington was supposed to be a frisky underdog in this WNBA playoff schedule. But while Washington did make it tough for New York, the star-studded favorites still won on both the moneyline and point spread. New York’s victory also improved its record to 20-4 since the All-Star break back in July.
The Liberty held the Mystics to 41.3% shooting and forced them to miss 17 of their 22 3-point attempts. While New York was not much better (44% from the field and 35% from 3), the team made more 3s, and free throws, and corralled more rebounds. It did enough to push the total to over 163.5 points, despite the subpar shooting.
And if you had the Liberty like most WNBA predictions, what if we told you that they won by 15 with Breanna Stewart going 3-of-16? It’s unlikely that the 2018 MVP will have this poor of a showing again. And even if she does, the likes of Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones – who combined for 49 points – will more than make up for it.
New York remains a tough team to ignore on the betting lines. This team is 11-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last 16 games. And since the break, the Liberty have a 12.4 net rating at home. Hence, the Mystics vs Liberty odds remain nearly identical to Game 1: New York by 10.5 and a total of 164.
The Mystics are 5-1 ATS in its last six games against the Liberty. But they continue to perform poorly as a visitor and are just 3-12 in their last 15 trips.
Atlanta Dream vs Dallas Wings (-6.5)
Location: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Series: Dallas leads 1-0
The high-flying Wings made a name for themselves with their fast-paced offense. But it was their fierce defense that helped them fly by the Dream. Dallas held Atlanta to 36.9% shooting. Atlanta made just 15 field goals inside the arc and had 16 turnovers to 18 assists. Not bad for a team that ranked dead last in defensive rating (110.4) at home since the break.
Coupled with the ‘D’, Dallas’s offense did not regress. Satou Sabally and Arike Ogunbowale torched Atlanta with a combined 56 points. The pair also had four steals each. However, they also committed nine turnovers together, which was half of Dallas’s.
The Wings played like their profile: a talented albeit inexperienced team. It’s been a rollercoaster of a season but Dallas settled at fourth in the WNBA standings. Still, Dallas won and covered and the total went over 169.5.
Dallas is now 5-1 ATS in its last six games and it extended its winning streak over Atlanta to five straight games. And despite the defensive improvement, Dallas’s hot shooting made it five straight home games that went over the total.
The Dream vs Wings odds now have a bumped total to 170.5. Dallas could carry the scoring here as Atlanta’s offense, especially on the road, is abysmal. The Dream have a 91 offensive rating as a visitor since the All-Star break. It’s also why they are just 1-9 in this span.
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