Sacramento, on Three-Game Road Slide, Visits Golden State

The Sacramento Kings visit the Golden State Warriors looking to break their three-game losing streak on the road. Tipoff is slated for 10 p.m. ET on Thursday.

Sacramento opened as a 1.5-point favorite, and that line was whittled down to -1 before climbing to -2. The Kings are also -125 on the moneyline, with Golden State priced +105 to win outright. The projected total has held steady at 242.5.

What can bettors expect? Read on as we break down both teams and analyze the Kings-Warriors odds.

Kings-Warriors Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings are 23-19 ATS, including 13-7 away from home. They’re also 20-21-1 against the Over/Under but have gone Over the total in only six of their 20 road NBA games. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors are 20-21 ATS, including 9-14 at home. The Warriors have gone Over the total in 25 of their 41 games.

Be sure to remember these trends when assessing the Kings-Warriors odds.

Sacramento Yet to Hit Stride

Sacramento is 24-18 but has cooled off of late. It halted a four-game slide with a 122-107 victory over Atlanta on Monday. An 8.5-point favorite, Sacramento got 32 points from Harrison Barnes while Domantas Sabonis added 14 points and 21 rebounds.

Despite its strong record, Sacramento is just +2000 to win the Western Conference and has the 12th-longest NBA Finals odds at +4500.

The Kings — projected for 44.5 regular-season wins — are just 5-6 in January. They’ve dropped to seventh in the West and are 4.0 games behind the first-place Clippers in the Pacific Division.

Led by De’Aaron Fox and Sabonis, the Kings rank seventh in the NBA in scoring (118.3), 12th in field-goal efficiency (47.7%), and fifth in assist rate (28.7). On the flip side, they’re just 20th in opponent’s scoring (117.7). That lack of balance, in some respects, has neutralized their efforts to climb the NBA playoff standings.

Sacramento has covered in five of its last seven games and is 23-19 ATS, including 13-7 on the road. While it’s 20-21-1 against the Over/Under, it’s gone Under the total in 13 of its 20 games away from home. Keep that in mind when analyzing the Kings-Warriors odds.

The Warriors continue to sputter, raising questions about whether they will break up their championship core at next month’s trade deadline. They’re currently 12th in the West with a record of 19-22.

As such, the Warriors have seen their conference NBA odds plummet to +3000. They’re also just +6000 to win the NBA Finals, trailing 13 NBA teams on the oddsboard.

Golden State is coming off a 134-112 victory over Atlanta on Wednesday. A 6-point favorite, Golden State covered for the third time in four games as Steph Curry and Jonathan Kuminga scored 25 points apiece. Klay Thompson added 24 points and hit five of Golden State’s 16 3-pointers.

The Warriors are 10th in the league in scoring (117.6) and fourth with 14.8 3-pointers per game. Curry has played a significant role in that, averaging a league-high 4.5 3s.

Despite their sub-.500 record, the Warriors are healthy this NBA season, 15-9 when favored. They’ve gone Over the total in 25 of their 41 games, the third-highest rate (61%) in the NBA. More specifically, the Warriors are 5-1 against the Over/Under in their last six games.

Handicapping the Game

Golden State’s NBA lineup remains in flux. Chris Paul (hand), Gary Payton II (hamstring), and Moses Moody (calf) are all out indefinitely on the NBA injury report. Because of that, the Warriors have struggled to find consistency.

The Warriors are just 4-6 over their last 10 games, including 3-4 at home. They’re 8-2 against the Over/Under over that stretch, so bettors should expect another high-scoring affair. Unsurprisingly, this game features Thursday’s slate’s second-highest total (242.5).

For NBA betting news, odds, analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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