Arizona, UNLV and Oregon are off to terrific starts, with a combined record of 21-5 entering Week 11. More than that, they’re three of college football’s most profitable teams for bettors. Arizona and UNLV are both an FBS-best 8-1 against the spread this NCAAF season, with Oregon a smidge behind them at 7-1-1. What’s fueled this success? What are the odds it continues? Let’s take a closer look at these NCAAF Point spread Dominators.
Conference: Pac 12
Overall Record: 6-3 (4-2 Conference)
Record ATS: 8-1
Overlooked nationally compared to the likes of Oregon, Washington and even Colorado, Arizona has quietly put together a very strong season. Three straight wins over ranked opponents have the No. 23 Wildcats back in the AP poll for the first time since 2017. That also happens to be the last time they appeared in a bowl game.
Arizona has covered five consecutive games, all as an underdog. It’s 3-2 outright during that stretch, with wins over No. 19 Washington State, No. 11 Oregon State and No. 19 UCLA. Saturday (2 p.m. ET) against Colorado will be the Wildcats’ first game as a favorite (-10) since Sept. 23.
The Wildcats are still something of a longshot, with +4000 odds to win the Pac 12. That said, they’ve already blown past preseason projections (5.0 regular-season wins) under Jedd Fisch and are well on their way to their winningest season in more than a half-decade.
Led by freshman Noah Fifita (1,521 yards, 14 TD, 4 INT), the Wildcats rank 43rd in FBS in scoring offense (30.8 PPG). Ironically, despite their offensive prowess, the Wildcats have gone Under the total in eight of their nine games. At 88.9%, that’s the highest rate in FBS. Keep that in mind when making your college football picks.
Conference: Mountain West
Overall Record: 7-2 (4-1 Conference)
Record ATS: 8-1
Former defensive coordinator Barry Odom has orchestrated one of the best turnarounds in college football. UNLV is bowl eligible for the first time since 2013 and has a reasonable shot at its second 10-win season in program history. Even if it falls short of that, the Rebels — who were projected for 5.5 regular-season wins — have greatly exceeded expectations. Notably, UNLV has seen its odds of winning the Mountain West Conference improve from +1800 to +1000.
Last week, UNLV hammered New Mexico 56-14 as a 14-point favorite. The Rebels are now 4-1 ATS during conference play and 3-0 when favored by 10 points or more.It’s a 3-point favorite Saturday (10:45 p.m. ET) against Wyoming at home.
The Rebels are 7-2 overall in the NCAAF standings, and offense is a big reason why. They lead the Mountain West in scoring and rank 16th nationally, averaging 36.7 points. Junior Ricky White is among the country’s most productive receivers, with 54 catches for 876 yards.
Additionally, they’ve gone Over the total in five of their nine games.
Conference: Pac 12
Overall Record: 8-1 (5-1 Conference)
Record ATS: 7-1-1
Easily the most distinguished of this trio, Oregon is ranked sixth in the AP poll. Oregon remains in the mix for the College Football Playoff, and anything short of that will be viewed as a big disappointment in the Pacific Northwest. The Ducks are now a -150 favorite to win the Pac 12 and have seen their national championship odds climb from +1200 to +1000 within the last week.
Oregon’s preseason projections were lofty (9.5 regular-season wins), yet it’s still managed to beat the minds of oddsmakers. With two more victories, the Ducks will cash in on projections and solidify their third consecutive double-digit win season.
Oregon is favored by -15.5 Saturday (10:30 p.m. ET) against visiting USC. The Ducks are 5-1 this season as a double-digit favorite, including last week’s 63-19 rout of California. They’re also 4-1-1 ATS in Pac 12 play.
Like the two aforementioned NCAAF Point spread Dominators, Oregon has been proficient offensively. According to NCAAF team stats, its 47.4 points per game lead the country. Quarterback Bo Nix (2,723 yards, 25 TD, 2 INT) is now +200 to win the Heisman Trophy, trailing only Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. at +150.
For NCAAF betting news and analysis on NCAAF Point spread Dominators, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.