Ole Miss Looks To Take Care of Business With Huge Tests on the Horizon
With the next two games on the NCAAF schedule coming against teams with winning records, the Ole Miss Rebels look to avoid stumbling in a dreaded trap game against a Vanderbilt team looking for its first SEC win of the season.
The Vanderbilt vs Mississippi odds favor the Rebels to top the Commodores for the fifth time in a row.
When looking at the NCAA football standings, Ole Miss is 1.5 games behind Alabama in the SEC West standings. With the lone conference loss coming to the Crimson Tide, the Rebels will need some help to reach the SEC title game. Vanderbilt has been outscored 158-83 in dropping its first SEC games of the season.
According to the NCAA football betting lines, Ole Miss is favored by 24.5 points and that is the third-highest mark among the Week 9 games.
Quarterback AJ Swann, defensive back BJ Anderson and linebacker De’Rickey Wright are all questionable for Vanderbilt. Swann has missed the last three games while Wright is tied for the team lead with two interceptions.
For Ole Miss, receiver Qua Davis and tight end Hudson Wolfe continue to be sidelined.
Ole Miss was sixth in the odds to win the SEC title before the season began. The conference title odds for the Rebels have moved from +4500 to +5000.
When it comes to the NCAA football rankings, Ole Miss is 11th is the American Football Coaches Association poll and 12th in the Associated Press Top 25 poll.
Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Line: Vanderbilt +1100; Mississippi -2800
Streaming: SEC Network
Too Little, Too Late for Vanderbilt
The good news for Vanderbilt is that the Commodores rank in the top five nationally when it comes to fourth-quarter scoring. The bad news is that Vanderbilt has trailed 31-13, 24-7, 28-14 and 27-7 heading into the final quarter in its four conference games.
The Commodores don’t even pretend to strive for a balanced offense. Only BYU, Colorado State, Sam Houston State and Hawaii average fewer rushing yards than the Commodores. Vanderbilt’s leading rusher is Patrick Smith with just 257 yards in eight games. Keep that in mind when looking at the Vanderbilt vs Mississippi odds.
Vanderbilt has covered in just one of its last eight games and is 1-6 outright in its last seven road games.
Mixed Results for Rebels As Huge Favorites
While Ole Miss is 15-0 outright as a double-digit favorite since the start of the 2020 season. However, Ole Miss is just 2-3-1 against the college football betting lines in its last six games when listed as a 20-point favorite. Those numbers need to be considered when looking at the Vanderbilt vs Mississippi odds.
Running back Quinshon Judkins rushed for a season-low 44 yards in last year’s win over Vanderbilt. Look for more from Judkins in this NCAAF matchup after he topped 100 yards in two of the last three games this season heading into the worst defensive college football team against the run in the SEC. Judkins promises to be a top option when it comes to the player props in Week 9 of the college football season.
The total has gone under in six of the last nine games played by Ole Miss.
Ole Miss, a 17-point favorite on the road, trailing an upset-minded Vanderbilt by three points at halftime in the 2022 contest. The Rebels scored on five of six possessions in the second half to win 52-28.
The game was sitting on the 17-point spread until Matt Jones scored with 18 seconds left as the Rebels covered against Vanderbilt for the third time in the last four meetings.
The game went over the 70-point total on a Vanderbilt touchdown with 4:03 left to play.
Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss Betting Preview
Ole Miss is favored by at least 20 points versus Vanderbilt for the 19th in the last 21 meetings. The Rebels failed to cover as a 35.5-point favorite in 2021 and as the 27-point favorite in 2015 with both of those games coming at home.
Ole Miss has covered in just three of nine games as the home favorite since the start of the 2022 season with Vanderbilt 3-4 against the spread as the road underdog during that stretch.
Ole Miss is 4-0 at home this season with Vanderbilt losing all three of its road games. The Commodores have covered in just one of its last five games as a double-digit underdog.
Ole Miss ranks fourth in the SEC in both sacks and tackles for loss. The Rebels lead the conference in turnover margin.
Keep an eye on the status of Swann. Ken Seals is a capable backup and he has a better completion percentage and passer rating than Swann this season.
Vanderbilt made things closer than expected in a recent game against two-time defending national champion Georgia. Can the Commodores do that again versus Ole Miss this weekend?