2024 Super Bowl: The Year’s Top NFL Bad Beats Revealed
The 2024 NFL Bad Beats Included a Major Market in Super Bowl LVIII
The Super Bowl is one of the most bet-on events in the entire year. Not only are the bettors sweating out bets, but the sportsbooks are, too.
The sportsbooks typically have some liability when it comes to the Super Bowl. This year was no different.
There were bad beats on both sides. Over 47.5 bettors just needed an extra point to close out the game, while sportsbooks hated that the game went to overtime.
The NFL betting lines were on point this year. Let’s discuss the 2024 NFL bad beats in this year’s Super Bowl.
Over 47.5 Bettors In Shambles
The 2024 NFL Bad Beats title goes to the total line, which was set at 47.5 throughout the entire two weeks. Eventually, in the final hours, some books moved the line to 46.5 with sharp money coming on the Under.
The KC Chiefs defeated the 49ers, 25-22, in overtime after a game-winning completion from Patrick Mahomes to Mecole Hardman.
The Chiefs didn’t need to kick an extra point. They had already won the game, meaning the score finished at 47 points.
Earlier in the game, it didn’t even seem likely that the game would get to 40 points. But the Chiefs and 49ers made the total a close call thanks to overtime.
Bettors who took the Under 47.5 won. However, those who took the Under 46.5 at the last second lost. Meanwhile, the Over 46.5 bettors won, and the Over 47.5 bettors lost.
This is why the line is super important. In the Super Bowl, there are many newcomers and bettors who don’t really understand sports betting. Books can take advantage of those customers and make a killing.
However, most bettors likely had the 47.5 line. Therefore, most bettors who took the Under won, as they probably should’ve anyway.
If you take overtime out of the equation, the total to finish the game was just 38 points. Those Under bettors had to hang on for dear life.
For example, if the San Francisco 49ers scored a touchdown in overtime and the Chiefs scored a touchdown after, the Over would’ve hit. However, once the 49ers kicked the field goal, the Under bettors were in a great position, knowing the Chiefs wouldn’t need to kick the extra point.
Even if the Chiefs kicked a field goal to tie the game, the next score would’ve won. Therefore, the next score likely would’ve been a field goal and would’ve saved the Under anyway.
Under bettors were absolutely thrilled that the 49ers took the ball first and got a field goal. That saved them. The Over bettors were thinking the opposite.
Overtime Longshot Prop
The “Yes” for the Super Bowl to go into overtime was around +900 odds, depending on where you shopped. After Super Bowl LVIII went into overtime, the sportsbooks lost much money to people who bet on the longshot odds.
Many sportsbooks confirmed that they were burned on this prop. However, the average ticket price was closer to $15-$25, not $100+ at these books.
Isiah Pacheco 60+ Rushing Yards
Many people took an alternate line with Isiah Pacheco to rush for 60 yards.
So, of course, Pacheco ran for 59 yards on 18 carries against the 49ers. Pacheco’s best run was a ten-yard rush. He wasn’t as effective as in other games. However, he also added six receptions for 33 yards, which helped the Chiefs get down the field on other drives.
We saw many parlays with this Pacheco line included. Some lost their parlays because of Pacheco’s inability to gain that one extra yard. That stings.
Patrick Mahomes Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs went into the locker room at halftime with only three points. Some bettors had to be happy with their Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns ticket on Patrick Mahomes.
While most of the public was on his Over, the few that were on his Under were feeling good heading into the second half.
Mahomes only had one passing touchdown in regulation. However, overtime and the game-winning touchdown pass to Mecole Hardman ruined the Under 1.5 passing touchdowns on the game’s final play.
Most of the public surely had Mahomes to earn at least two passing touchdowns. But to the people who didn’t, that bad beat hurts.
Brock Purdy Over 12.5 Rushing Yards
Brock Purdy needed 13 rushing yards to hit the Over for his rushing prop. He had 13 yards. However, the Niners got the ball back for the final three seconds of the game after the Chiefs tied the game at 19.
Purdy took the snap and kneeled down. On that play, he lost a yard and then never added another rush in overtime.
People with Purdy to get at least 13 rushing yards lost the bet because Purdy kneeled down on the final play before overtime. That’s a brutal beat.
However, we saw some bettors bet on Purdy’s line, believing in the 49ers to win. If you liked the Niners to win, taking Purdy to earn a high amount of rushing yards likely wasn’t the safest bet looking back.
If someone believes that the Niners will win, it’s very likely that the winning quarterback takes one, two, or three kneel-downs to win the game. While the Niners didn’t win and Purdy didn’t kneel down in victory formation, it’s still a questionable bet when you believe in the Niners to win the game.
In a tight game with a lot of nail-biting, the 2024 NFL bad beats didn’t disappoint. The NFL scores proved that. Luckily, there weren’t any NFL injuries that ruined prop bets in this year’s NFL Super Bowl.
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