Paul vs Diaz Betting Odds Preview: Whooping Another Old MMA Fighter
The Boxing Niche Way Past Its Expiry Date
Oddsmakers Favor Jake Paul To Beat Nate Diaz
Jake Paul returns and goes back to beating up another old MMA fighter Nate Diaz. Of course, the Paul vs Diaz betting odds show Paul as the -400 favorite while the proud Stockton native is the +300 underdog. Paul’s line gets shorter with each fight he takes against a washed-up fighter. Is there anything outside of betting on Paul to tool another has-been?
Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz
Fighters: Jake Paul (6-1-0, 4 KOs) vs Nate Diaz (0-0-0, 0 KOs)
Day/Time:
Location: American Airlines Arena, Dallas, TX
Weight Class: Catchweight (185 lbs.)
Broadcasts: DAZN PPV
Easy Money for Jake Paul and His Backers?
This seems to be the case. At -400, there is enough cheese here for anyone willing to whale on the 26-year-old. What started as a gimmick has now become his livelihood after he got a rude awakening by losing to Tommy Fury.
“I was sick for four weeks of this nine-week camp, jet lagged for another week. What’s pissing me off is that it had nothing to do with him, he wasn’t that great at all. I think Anderson Silva was tougher than him,” Paul said in regards to his loss to Fury.
No one’s buying it. At this point, most have tuned out Paul as an actor playing up his “Problem Child” moniker. So with that loss to a “real boxer”, Paul goes back to his regular boxing schedule: picking on old and washed-up MMA fighters. Given the Paul vs Diaz betting odds, Paul should get another easy ‘W’.
Diaz brings nothing new for Paul here. In fact, he’s even smaller than Paul’s old opponents. He is skinnier and has the same reach as Paul (76 inches). While they’re also around the same height, Paul is burlier and built like a tank compared to Diaz’s lean frame. Additionally, Diaz does not have the power to threaten Paul as Tyron Woodley or Anderson Silva did.
Paul to win by a KO/TKO is the favored boxing result at -135. This is an alternative to laying $400 to win $100 on Paul to simply win. While Diaz has only been finished twice in his 18-year pro-MMA career, he’s absorbed so much damage over the years. And he is nearing 40. Plus, he may not have that much motivation to put up a fight.
Diaz Has Nothing In This Outside of a Fat Paycheck
There is not much in this for Nate Diaz. He’s going to get paid so he’ll show up. But if he loses? Few will care as he is past his prime and has no professional boxing experience.
At 3-1, Diaz is already being overvalued as he typically is by bookmakers. The 38-year-old has a strong fanbase that will “ride or die” with him regardless of how outmatched he is. And despite his iron chin, boxing bets have favored this one to not go to a decision (-225) with him on the losing end.
Paul is a much bigger boxer. He is the biggest man Diaz will have faced. The former YouTube star is a cruiserweight in boxing (200 pounds), which makes him closer to a light heavyweight in the UFC (205 pounds).
“I’ve tasted Jake’s power and his right-hand hits like a baseball bat,” pro boxer Anthony Taylor said of Paul’s punching power. “Given Diaz’s age and how much smaller he is compared to Jake, I don’t see how Diaz can stand up to that kind of firepower.”
There may be some small chance that Diaz does survive Paul’s power. If he can weather Paul’s early storm, he can hope to tire out the younger favorite. Once it starts going past the middle rounds, the Paul vs Diaz betting odds get a bit better for the latter.
But the consensus is that Paul will tee off on Diaz early and finish him within the middle rounds. Given their recent track records, it’s tough to bet against these results.
For boxing betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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