UCL Round of 16, Leg 2: Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Odds
Nerazzurri Looking to Get Over the Line
Inter Take 13 Game Winning Streak into Wednesday’s Match
Inter Milan are on a 13 game winning streak heading into Wednesday’s match at Atletico Madrid. Here, the Nerazzurri won’t need a win to advance to the Champions League Quarter-Final as they lead Atleti 1-0, on aggregate.
Inter need just a draw to get over the line here and they’ve been one of the most in form teams in Europe in recent weeks. As for Atletico, they’ve won just one of their last five games in all competitions and are struggling. With Atleti needing a win, we’ll preview the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan
Day/Time:
Location: Civitas Metropolitan Stadium, Madrid, Spain
Streaming: Watch Live Sports
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head
Before February, these sides have never before played any UCL fixtures against each other. After missing some big chances when he came on as a substitute, Marko Arnautovic grabbed the winner in the first leg.
Atletico Madrid didn’t manage a single shot on target in the match and striker Álvaro Morata could only come on as a substitute as he was recovering from an injury.
The pregame Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds priced the Nerazzurri as -125 favorites. The only other time these teams met was in the 2010 UEFA Super Cup, which Atletico won 2-0.
Atletico Madrid Struggling Without Griezmann
Diego Simeone was without Antoine Griezmann, Pablo Barrios, Jose Gimenez, Thomas Lemar and Cesar Azpilicueta for Saturday’s La Liga match at Cadiz. Cadiz entered the match on a 25 game winless run and lacking confidence.
Still, La Liga’s lowest scoring team still managed to grab all three points vs Atletico Madrid. Juanmi scored twice vs Atletico Madrid and the visitors couldn’t manage to get on the scoresheet in the 2-0 loss.
Atletico Madrid have struggled to pick up wins recently, especially with Griezmann out with an ankle sprain. The French talisman has missed the last four matches, in which Atletico are 1-1-2. In their last five UCL matches, Atletico have scored just four goals and Griezmann’s absence has been a big part of that.
He trained with the team on Friday but it’s unclear whether he’ll be able to suit up vs Inter Milan on Wednesday. Barrios should be able to return midweek as he missed Saturday’s match with a fever.
The UCL draw was quite unkind to Atletico Madrid, who won Group E and got paired with last season’s finalists, Inter. Notably, Atletico Madrid have only lost one match at home all season, to Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey Semifinal.
Before that match, Atletico had only failed to score in four of their 33 games this season. Since then, Atletico Madrid have been shut-out in five of their last eight.
Inter’s Defense Shining
Inter won their 13th straight match on Saturday, when they took down Bologna, 1-0. The Nerazzurri ended Bologna’s six game winning streak even though they were nowhere near their best. Bologna had more chances and more of the ball, but Inter’s Yann Bisseck took his chance, on a diving header, to score the game’s only goal.
Ahead of Wednesday’s match at Atletico Madrid, Simone Inzaghi rested Federico Dimarco, Lautaro Martínez, Benjamin Pavard and Stefan de Vrij.
Even though Inter reached the final last season, the Champions League odds price the Nerazzurri as the fifth-most likely team to become champions. At +900 odds, Inter have a 10 percent implied chance of winning their first UCL since 2010.
Currently, Inter goalkeeper Yann Sommer is joint-leader in UCL shutouts, with four this season. In seven UCL matches this season, Inter have only conceded five goals.
The Nerazzurri also have the best defensive record in Serie A this season, with just 13 goals conceded in 28 games. Inter have lost just one of their last 14 games in the Champions League and they’re 13-4-0 in 17 road matches this season.
Inzaghi has quickly become one of the best managers in Europe and Inter one of the best UCL teams on the continent.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Odds & Match Analysis
Although Atletico Madrid have been excellent at the Civitas Metropolitano Stadium this season, the hosts are underdogs for this match. The Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds list Atletico at a +195 price to win Wednesday’s match.
Inter head into this one on a long winning streak and their stars will be rested and ready for this one. Inter are +150 favorites to grab a second straight win over Atletico here.
Martinez’s scoring pace has slowed down in recent weeks, with four goals in his last seven games for the Nerazzurri. Still, the Argentine striker scored 26 goals this season, in all competitions.
Meanwhile, Morata has scored 20 goals this season but the Atletico man has scored just once in his last seven UCL matches. Even though the last meeting finished 1-0 to Inter, goals are expected here.
Over 2, 2.5 goals display -125 odds but Atletico have struggled to score in recent games. Bettors should stay up to date on Griezmann’s status as well as the lines may shift toward Atletico if he’s able to suit up.
In this pick’em, Atletico pk is listed at +110 odds and Inter pk comes in at -130. A draw sits at +220 and that would mean Inter advance to the quarters.
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