The Phillies Are Looking Towards New Win Streak In Miami

Our Phillies vs Marlins Betting Preview Proves How The Marlins Will Struggle This Weekend

The Philadelphia Phillies watched their winning streak come to an end in Wednesday’s loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. However, the Phillies are still 26-12 on the MLB season, 8-2 in their last ten games, and sitting in first place in the NL East.

They’ll head out on the road to take on one of the National League’s worst teams: the Miami Marlins. The Marlins have only won ten games this season and just traded away their best hitter, Luis Arraez, before even playing 40 games.

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It’s ultimately a dumpster fire in Miami. Meanwhile, the Phillies are eying another World Series title. Therefore, you can expect the Phillies to absolutely dominate in this weekend-long series.

Philadelphia is currently -162 in Game 1 of the series. On the other hand, the total is currently 8, with the Under juiced to -120.

Check out our in-depth Phillies vs Marlins Betting preview below as we dive into all three MLB matchups in the series.

Phillies logo Philies vs Marlins Marlins logo

Day/Time:
Records: Phillies (26-12)/Marlins (10-29)
Location: loanDepot Park
Streaming: Bally Sports Florida

Phillies Acquire Tyler Gilbert

The Phillies added left-handed pitcher Tyler Gilbert from the Reds for cash considerations. Gilbert wasn’t on the Reds’ 40-man roster and, despite being traded, won’t need a 40-man roster spot with the Phillies.

He’s only made seven appearances this season and has an ERA of 13.11, but that’s a small sample size overall. The Phillies know some of his stats are unsustainable and will improve over time, so they took a chance on the 30-year-old lefty.

Gilbert has Major League experience after pitching nearly 92 innings with the Diamondbacks in the bullpen. Some recognize the name from his no-hitter in his first career start a few years ago with Arizona. It’s unlikely he’ll ever start for the Phillies, but having depth with left-handed pitchers never hurts.

Miami Can’t Catch A Break

Injuries over the last couple of seasons have destroyed Miami’s starting rotation. Add Edward Cabrera to the list.

Cabrera had a right shoulder impingement after his start against the Dodgers earlier in the week. Therefore, he’s headed to the MLB Injured List.

The Marlins brought back Braxton Garrett, who is in line to make his first start of the season for the Marlins in this series. Jesus Luzardo is also expected to return from the injured list and pitch on Saturday. Garrett would pitch on Sunday.

The rotation now looks like it’ll be Trevor Rogers, Jesus Luzardo, Braxton Garrett, Ryan Weathers, and Sixto Sanchez for the time being. Miami’s hoping the rotation gets them some legitimate MLB results.

Phillies vs Marlins Betting Preview and Odds For Game 1:

ML: Phillies -162, O/U 8 +100/-120


Game 1

  • Friday, 7:10 pm ET
  • Taijuan Walker vs Trevor Rogers

Taijuan Walker is expected to get the start for Game 1 of this series for the Phillies. Walker has only struck out 21.2% of his first 52 batters faced. He’s also allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .368, as he’s struggled against both sides of the plate this season.

Walker isn’t getting many grounders and has allowed 37.8% of line drives. While it’s a small sample size, these numbers are certainly not ideal.

Since last season, Miami’s lineup has hit a .148 ISO and wOBA of .292. The only reliable bats in the Marlins’ lineup against Walker would be Jazz Chisholm, Bryan De La Cruz, Jake Burger, and Jesus Sanchez. The entire bottom portion of the order has been absolutely horrible at getting on base and creating magic.

This is rare, but the Phillies will face three consecutive lefties in this series. The first one will be Trevor Rogers, who is currently 0-5 with a 6.15 ERA.

Rogers has been the worst pitcher on the Marlins this season. He’s allowed a .176 ISO and wOBA of .370 to righties with just 14.2% of strikeouts. However, Rogers has also given up a .294 ISO and wOBA of .387 to lefties.

Philadelphia has several hitters who have crushed lefties since last season. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, as lefties, have had success.

Meanwhile, J.T. Realmuto, Alec Bohm, Nick Castellanos, and Edmundo Sosa have had above-average numbers against lefties since last season. However, the entire lineup has struck out over 25% of the time against lefties since last season.

Still, strikeouts won’t matter as much against Rogers. Our MLB predictions today, include the Phillies winning at -162 tonight.

Game 2

  • Saturday, 4:10 pm ET
  • Ranger Suarez vs Jesus Luzardo

The Phillies will send lefty Ranger Suarez to the mound for the second game of the series. In this series, Suarez will be the only lefty in the rotation for the Phillies. Nonetheless, he’s been spectacular. Suarez has held teams to a .086 ISO and wOBA of .211, with nearly 60% ground balls induced and only 17.1% of line drives allowed.

In addition, he’s had 26.9% strikeouts and has held teams to 3.5% walks. He’s been dominant against both sides of the plate, too.

Suarez will face a Marlins offense that gets even worse against lefties. Only Jake Burger and Josh Bell have exciting numbers against lefties.

The Marlins will counter with their own lefty in Jesus Luzardo. He began the season poorly, allowing an ISO of .250 and wOBA of .358 to his first 112 batters. Like Rogers, the lefty has struggled against lefties to begin the season.

That doesn’t bode well against Philadelphia’s dominant offense right now. Take the Phillies in Game 2 as one of our MLB best bets.

Game 3

  • Sunday, 1:40 pm ET
  • Zack Wheeler vs Braxton Garrett

Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler will get the ball in the finale. Wheeler hasn’t had the most success against lefties, but overall, he’s still held teams to a .095 ISO and wOBA of .228. Wheeler has also added 32.1% of strikeouts and has limited teams to 17.8% of fly balls.

Although he’s walked more than 10% of lefties, he’s still managed to hold lefties to a .299 wOBA and ISO of .151. That’s not so bad.

Finally, Braxton Garrett will get his first start of the year. Last season, the left-hander added nearly 24% of strikeouts with 4.5% of walks. He gave up some power but ultimately held MLB teams to a .170 ISO and wOBA of .313 with 48.9% of ground balls. If he pitches like he did last year, he’ll easily become Miami’s best starter.

We know what we’ll get out of Wheeler, but it’s a mystery with Garrett in his first game. Per our Phillies vs Marlins betting preview, we’d back the Phillies for a road sweep against the Marlins here.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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