NASCAR Series Henry 180 Odds: Cup Series road ace Allmendinger leads odds

The Xfinity Series follows the unique “Tricky Triangle” of Pocono with one of the oldest road courses in the U.S.: Road America. The 14-turn, 4.048-mile course presents a challenge to drivers accustomed to weekly ovals. It’s the fourth road course of the season following Austin, Portland, and Sonoma. The different layout’s changed the typical odds we’ve seen over the Xfinity Series season. The NASCAR Series Henry 180 odds have both NASCAR Xfinity championship leaders far behind the favorite for victory, with a Cup Series road ace leading the way instead.

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Allmendinger the heavy favorite

Current Cup Series driver AJ Allmendinger is the big favorite for victory on Saturday at -100. He’s a solid oval driver but a standout on road courses, thanks to his background in single-seater racing. Allmendinger’s dropped down to the Xfinity Series for three races this season: Austin, Sonoma, and Nashville. He has two wins (Austin, Nashville) and a second place (Sonoma) in those races.

In nearly 100 career Xfinity Series races, Allmendinger has 17 wins. Of those 17, 11 have come at road courses, including his first career Xfinity win in 2013. Outside of that win, he’s finished second (2020), fourth (2021), and sixth (2022) at Road America in Xfinity events. Out of all the road course races on the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity schedule, this is second only to Charlotte Roval as his best. He’s the favorite for excellent reasons.

Xfinity drivers are next in the odds

Cole Custer (+500) has the next-shortest odds for victory. After an 11-race streak of top-10 finishes, Custer’s struggled recently. Pocono saw his worst result of the season (33rd) following a 22nd-place finish in Loudon. He’ll need a significant change in form to keep pace with the Xfinity points leaders.

Luckily, he’s been strong on non-ovals this year. His two wins so far in 2023 came in Portland and Chicago, where he won from pole and led the most laps. He had a bad result in Austin (32nd) but raced well in Sonoma (sixth). Of the Xfinity Series regulars, he’s probably the best choice for the NASCAR race this weekend.

Sheldon Creed (+800) is next in odds for the win. He’s winless this season but nearly made it to victory lane in Portland, where he took pole and led the most laps. He also won stage 2 in Austin and finished 11th in both Sonoma and Chicago. His non-oval resume this season isn’t quite as good as Custer’s, but he’ll likely be in the mix for the win.

Justin Allgaier (+1200) doesn’t have Allmendinger’s track record in Road America but he is pretty good. A win in 2018 and another pair of top-10 finishes (2016, 2019) make him a solid performer in Elkhart Lake. A second career Xfinity win at Road America wouldn’t be a surprise given how he’s raced this year at non-ovals. Fifth in Austin, second in Portland, third in Chicago, and seventh in Sonoma is better than most of the drivers on the grid.

Longer NASCAR Series Henry 180 odds worth considering this weekend

It’s odd to see championship leader John Hunter Nemechek at +1400 but he hasn’t raced well on road courses this year. Austin was one of his worst races (he finished 27th) and he had solid but unspectacular results in Portland (10th) and Sonoma (16th). His second-place in Chicago preceded consecutive wins in Atlanta and Loudon.

Austin Hill’s won last week in Pocono and Nemechek finished a season-worst 32nd. He’ll need a much better result to widen the 13-point lead he has at the top of the NASCAR standings. Though his road course results haven’t been great, Joe Gibbs Racing has won the last two events at Road America and could keep the streak going.

Sam Mayer (+2500) hasn’t won a race this season but he’s raced well on non-ovals. Seventh in Austin, third in Portland, and 10th in Sonoma have been highlights of his year. Two career races in Road America haven’t been great (35th in 2021, 20th in 2020). But he could break through this weekend with a team that’s finished in the top three at Road America.

Josh Berry (+2800) had the race win in hand last week in Loudon before a blown tire on the final lap. He’ll look to right that wrong in the latter parts of the NASCAR Xfinity schedule regular season. Last year he finished third in the race and had solid results on a couple of road courses this season (eighth in Austin, fourth in Portland).

Picks for the Xfinity Series Henry 180

This is one of the few Xfinity Series races with a heavy favorite this season. The NASCAR Series Henry 180 odds point to an Allmendinger win and that outcome seems the most likely.

But if you’re looking for an opportunity, Custer is a great choice. His track record this season makes him the Xfinity Series’ best challenger to the Cup Series regular Allmendinger. For a better payout, look to Allgaier or even teammate Berry.

For betting news, NASCAR odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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