Alabama vs Arkansas Betting Preview: Big Test for Bama, Razorbacks Looking to Rebound

Roll Tide Rolls or Gets Rolled?

Alabama vs Arkansas Betting Preview: The Tides would eliminate one hurdle in their quest to return to the College Football playoff when they roll into Fayetteville as a massive favorite. The Tide would eliminate one hurdle in their quest to return to the College Football playoff when they roll into Fayetteville as a massive favorite.

Game Information

Alabama’s Offense Gets Test Against Top-20 Razorbacks

The Crimson Tide is averaging 48.3 points per game and over 517 yards through four games. They’re once again hoping to dominate the SEC standings while receiving an invitation to play in another College Football playoff.

They’re once again hoping to dominate the SEC standings while receiving an invitation to play in another College Football playoff.

On offense it’s tough to know who to focus on because quarterback Bryce Young is completing 69% of his passes with 13 touchdowns and two picks. Jase McClellan is averaging 8.4 yards per rush but has yet to show that he can carry the load after averaging just seven carries a game.

The question still remains, how good is Nick Saban’s team when they go on the road against quality competition? We’ve already seen Texas take the Tide to the limit in week two, a 20-19 last second Tide win. With three games in three weeks against ranked opponents we’re going to find out fast what the identity of this team is. What are Alabama chances of making playoffs?

From a betting perspective we have seen a touch of unreliability from Alabama when they go on the road. Dating back to last season the Tide have failed to cover four of their last five games away from Tuscaloosa and are 1-3 ATS when asked to cover 14 or more points. Dating back to 2017-18, Alabama is 10-12 ATS on the road. Let’s continue our Alabama at Arkansas preview by breaking down the Razorbacks. Be sure to check right here for all of the latest NCAAF standings.

Arkansas Coming off Loss to Texas A&M Drops in Polls

Continuing our Alabama vs Arkansas Betting Preview: A major part of practice this week has to focus on Arkansas taking care of the ball. Two weeks ago, against Missouri State they had to overcome three turnovers but still managed to walk out with a 38-27 win.

A week later quarterback KJ Jefferson changed the dynamics of a game they had controlled after a fumble on the Aggies 3-yard line that was run back for a touchdown. Instead of being a 15-pt game it turned into a single point. Sam Pitman’s team never got close to the endzone again until late in the game.

On the defensive end, Arkansas was plagued by too many missed tackles, allowing a balanced Aggie attack. If they don’t clean that up it will be a blow-out to a team that seems to go through stretches of inept play on either side of the ball. In contrast to Alabama’s less than average road ATS record, Arkansas has covered four of their last five home games and are 5-2-1 ATS overall in their last eight.

Betting Patterns Broken Down

The betting trends in this one need to be broken down properly because not much of it makes sense. This is a classic pros vs joes matchup. Both side are divided. Let’s finish off our Alabama vs Arkansas betting preview by telling what each number means to you and how we recommend betting this SEC matchup.

65% of the money is coming in on Arkansas but the number isn’t budging because the game is on 17, a very common number in football. The bookmakers would have to be too heavy to move this number, something that’s not likely to happen with just over 50% of the total tickets coming in on Alabama.

The higher percentage of dollars wagered this season has only won 47.62%, while the greater percentage of tickets bet are hitting just over 50% (50.36%) nowhere near good enough to make a profit. The total is also divided with 75% of the money wagered coming in on the under, while 55% of the tickets are betting over.

Unlike the side, the total has moved up from 60.5 to 61. 70% of all parlays wagered have Alabama to round out the public betting patterns. Our play in this one is to go over the total. Bama does have one pattern and that’s to play the over off a good defensive performance (3-pts allowed vs Vanderbilt). Anticipate both teams moving the ball.

Follow us on Twitter

Can’t get enough? Here’s more!

Back to top button

Bet like a PRO!

Thanks

Subscribe now and get Weekly Expert Free Picks