The Hurricanes and Eagles are both already bowl-eligible. But a win to close out the season will only help one of these teams earn a higher-caliber bowl.
Miami has lost three straight games, while Boston College has lost its last two. Although Boston College is the home team, the Hurricanes are favored in this game.
Miami is -9, with the total at 48.5 for this ACC matchup.
Can Miami finally get back into the win column on Friday?
Check out the Miami vs Boston College football preview for the final week of the regular season.
Location: Alumni Stadium
Miami vs Boston College Football Trends
The Miami Hurricanes have lost three of their last four games against the spread this season. Miami, on paper, has an excellent team. But a loss on the road to Boston College would put Miami at 6-6 on the season.
Meanwhile, the total has hit the Over in four of Miami’s last six games. Still, the offense for the Hurricanes hasn’t been great. The line for the total has just been low due to Miami’s defense.
On the other hand, Boston College has also lost four of its last five games against the spread. The Eagles most recently lost as 1.5-point underdogs to Pittsburgh last week, 24-16. However, the Under hit in three of the Eagles’ last four games.
Boston College is 3-2 against Miami since 2006. The last time these two competed was in 2018, when Boston College won, 27-14, as 4-point underdogs.
Another Mistake From Mario Cristobal
It’s been that kind of season for Mario Cristobal’s team this year. Analytically, the Hurricanes look like the best team in the ACC.
But they’ve got just six wins in ten games. It’s due to stupid play calling and dumb decision-making. That’s been a Miami problem all season long.
Last week against Louisville, down a touchdown late in the fourth quarter, Cristobal called a timeout on fourth and goal for Miami. He wanted to ensure the offense had the best chance to score. However, that timeout haunted them. After Miami didn’t convert on fourth down, the Hurricanes didn’t have three timeouts, thus allowing the Cardinals to run the clock out and win.
If Cristobal hadn’t used the timeout, Miami would’ve been able to stop the clock three straight times and get the ball back for another chance. It was another mismanaged game from Cristobal.
At Least The Eagles Are Going Bowling
The Boston College Eagles had a bizarre season.
They began the year with a loss to Northern Illinois and almost lost to an FCS school in Holy Cross the following week.
Then, Boston College narrowly lost to Florida State and fell to 1-3 with a loss to Louisville. But eventually, the Eagles turned the page with wins against Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech, UConn, and Syracuse. That gave them six wins on the year and bowl eligibility.
The Eagles couldn’t keep up that pace with two losses to Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh. But Eagles fans must be pleased that Boston College found a way into a bowl game after a 1-3 start and a loss to Northern Illinois.
Miami’s Elite On Paper
The Miami Hurricanes are back to using Tyler Van Dyke at quarterback. Emory Williams took over the position late in the season but is hurt and out for the year. That’s allowed Van Dyke to play with more confidence.
This season, he’s thrown for 17 touchdowns but also has 12 interceptions. The junior leader still has a 70.6 QBR, which is 31st in the nation.
Last week, against Louisville, Van Dyke added 327 yards passing and completed 61.5% of passes on 39 attempts. Van Dyke still gives Miami the best chance to win and played exceptionally well against a difficult Louisville squad.
While the offense is in good hands, the Miami defense is what the Hurricanes are known for this year. Miami has held teams to 203.5 yards in the air but only 86 yards on the ground.
Boston College has averaged more rushing yards than passing yards throughout the season. That sets up nicely for the Hurricanes. They’ve been elite against the run all season long and continue to convert on tackles at a high rate.
Meanwhile, Boston College has whiffed on many more tackles and has a weak pass rush that should allow Van Dyke enough time in the pocket to make solid throws.
The NCAAF odds aren’t surprising. Miami’s a really good team that continues to shoot themselves in the foot. But they’re just way too talented to lose to this Boston College team. Boston College lucked out with an easy college football schedule in the middle portion of the year.
The Miami vs Boston College football game includes one of our college picks today. Let’s take the Hurricanes at -9.