Fresno State Goes After Its Ninth Straight Win at Home on Saturday Night
When Boise State and Fresno State get together, it could be considered an elimination game in the Mountain West race. When looking at the Boise State vs Fresno State spread, the host Bulldogs are favored.
Boise State and Fresno State are tied with UNLV for second place in the Mountain West college football standings, a game behind undefeated Air Force. Boise State still has to face the first-place Falcons.
The last time the teams met was in the 2022 Mountain West title game. Boise State has won 13 of the previous 16 matchups but it was Fresno State coming away with the 28-16 victory.
According to the college football daily lines, Fresno State is currently a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs have a -155 Moneyline compared to a +135 mark for visiting Boise State.
Running back Ashton Jeanty (a team-high 921 rushing yards), defensive end Demitri Washington (21 tackles, 3.5 tackles for loss), defensive lineman Tyler Wegis and receiver Shea Whiting are questionable for Boise State.
For Fresno State, tight end Tyler Carr, receiver Emoryie Edwards and running back Damien Moore are out.
Boise State and Fresno State are both priced at +350 in the odds to win the Mountain West title and only trails Air Force according to the college football playoff lines.
Location: Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA
Line: Fresno State -3
Streaming: CBS Sports Network
Who’s Going To Hit the Ground Running?
Keep an eye on the status of Jeanty as he not only leads Boise State with 921 rushing yards, he is second on the team with 30 receptions. His status will impact the Boise State vs Fresno State spread.
Jeanty has a pair of 200-yard rushing games and has 11 touchdown runs. The other running backs for the Broncos have combined for 332 yards and one touchdown. Nearly half of those came in relief of Jeanty in last week’s win over Wyoming.
Senior George Holani did rush for 1157 yards a season ago and has 13 career 100-yard games. Holani had 75 yards on 20 carries against Wyoming with freshman Jambres Dubar adding 45 yards on 12 carries and a touchdown in the 32-7 victory.
The total has gone over in five of Boise State’s last six NCAAF games.
Love Those Halftime Adjustments
If there has been one consistent trend with Fresno State, it has been dominant play coming out of the locker room at halftime.
The Bulldogs have outscored their opponents 81-3 in the third quarter of games over the last six games. That could become a factor in the Boise State vs Fresno State spread.
In last week’s matchup against a UNLV team that was undefeated in Mountain West play, Fresno State outscored UNLV 24-0 to turn a 10-point halftime deficit into a 14-point lead. The Bulldogs would win the game 31-24.
Fresno State is one of few Group of Five programs that can claim two wins over teams from the Power-5 conferences with a 39-35 victory against Purdue and a 29-0 whitewashing of Arizona State.
Fresno State has covered in just one of its last five games.
Fresno State won the 2022 Mountain West title with a 28-16 win on the road as a 3-point underdog despite being held under 250 yards of total offense.
The NCAAF teams were a combined 10-for-32 on third downs and back-to-back touchdowns early in the third quarter propelled the Bulldogs to their third Mountain West championship game victory.
The game fell far short of the 54.5-point total.
Boise State vs Fresno State Betting Preview
The home team is favored according to the scores and odds for the fifth straight time in this series. However, the last time Boise State came to Fresno, the Broncos returned home with a 40-14 win in 2021. Seven of the last eight games between the teams finished under the total.
The total is set at 55 and that is the third-highest number in the last eight meetings.
The Broncos and Bulldogs are a combined 6-8-2 against the spread this season. Fresno State has covered in just one of its four games as the home favorite so far this season with Fresno State 1-0 against the spread as the road underdog.
Fresno State is going after its ninth straight home win.
Fresno State leads the Mountain West with a +11 turnover margin while Boise State has 15 giveaways and nine takeaways this NCAAF season.
Fresno State is second in the conference in passing offense behind the play of Mikey Keene with Boise State third in rushing offense and the Broncos are also one of four conference teams to average more than five yards per carry.
Boise State has covered against the college football betting lines in five of its last six road games versus Fresno State.
Rolling with Fresno State to pick up another home win seems like the way to go in this matchup.