As they continue to climb up the AP Top 25 poll, the third-ranked Florida State Seminoles now turn their attention to ACC play. Up next is a visit to Boston College on Saturday (noon ET). The Seminoles are heavy 26.5-point (-110) favorites, while the projected total has shrunk from 55.5 to 48 (-110 Over, -110 Under).
Read on as we break down both teams in our Florida State vs Boston College odds preview.
Date/Time: Saturday, noon ET
Where: Alumni Stadium; Chestnut Hill, Mass.
The Florida State Seminoles have covered six straight road games against the spread and are 6-1 ATS over their last seven games against Boston College. The Eagles, meanwhile, are just 4-12 ATS over their last 16 games. The total has also gone Under in six of the Eagles’ last seven contests at home. That’s important to remember when assessing the Florida State vs Boston College odds.
Noles on a Roll
The Florida State Seminoles have positioned themselves as the ACC’s team-to-beat. After making quick work of Southern Miss, 66-13, the Seminoles are now 2-0 (including 2-0 against the spread) and ranked No. 3 in the AP Top 25 poll. In doing so, their odds of winning the ACC have improved from +140 to -120.
Senior Jordan Travis has been instrumental in their success, completing 63.3% of his passes for 517 yards and six touchdowns. He’s also rushed for a score. It’s essentially what most expected when Travis entered the season as a strong Heisman Trophy contender at +1400. He then improved his stock by helping the Seminoles beat then-No. 5 LSU, 45-24.
Travis is now +800, second on the board behind USC quarterback Caleb Williams (+400), the reigning Heisman winner. And there’s plenty to like about his chances, especially given the connection he’s built with receiver Keon Coleman. The transfer from Michigan State has 12 catches for 170 yards and four touchdowns through two games, three of which came against LSU.
Oddsmakers are understandably bullish on the Seminoles, who hold their highest NCAA football rankings since 2017. The Seminoles are priced +105 to make the College Football Playoff and +1000 to win it all. They’re one of only four schools with 10/1 odds or better, joining two-time defending national champion Georgia (+240), Michigan (+500) and Texas (+1000).
Florida State’s big test will come the following week, Sept. 23, when they visit Clemson. The Tigers (1-1) have won seven of the last eight ACC titles but are off to an inauspicious start. They currently hold the second-best odds in the ACC at +450.
Ominous Start for Eagles
One week after falling to Northern Illinois in overtime, the Boston College Eagles narrowly avoided their second straight upset. They edged FCS product Holy Cross 31-28 per college football scores, improving to 1-1 straight up but 0-2 against the spread.
If that sounds bad, well, it is. The Eagles’ issues are glaring. Most troublesome is their defense, which is allowing an average of 217 rushing yards per game. Despite weak competition, the Eagles haven’t been able to distinguish themselves as a quality team. Keep that in mind when evaluating the Florida State vs Boston College odds.
Understandably, on the heels of a 3-9 season, expectations were low. The Eagles were projected for 5.5 wins and were the longest of longshots in the ACC at +10000. Quarterback Phil Jurkovec transferred to Pittsburgh, and the Eagles’ best receiver, Zay Flowers, left for the NFL. Still, this start won’t do head coach Jeff Hafley any favors as he tries to save his job.
Hafley is just 16-21 over four seasons and has yet to take Boston College to a bowl game. In fact, the Eagles’ last bowl victory came in 2016 under Steve Addazio (Quick Lane Bowl).
Handicapping the Game
Will Boston College catch the Seminoles looking ahead to Clemson? That’s about all they can hope for. The disparity in talent between these teams is stark, especially at quarterback. Florida State is a bona fide NCAA title contender, capable of beating anyone in the country. The Eagles, on the other hand, are just sneaking by FCS teams.
Florida State will win. There’s little doubt. That said, this spread is large, especially for a conference game. Boston College deserves a couple points simply by being at home. Look for the Eagles to cover +26.5.