LSU Looks To Improve to 6-0 At Home When Georgia State Comes to Baton Rouge
LSU steps out of SEC play when Georgia State out of the Sun Belt Conference comes to Baton Rouge. The Georgia State vs LSU football odds have the Tigers listed as heavy favorites.
This will be the first meeting between the programs. Dating back to 2001, LSU is 17-1 against Sun Belt teams with the lone loss coming to Troy in 2017 as a 20.5-point favorite. Georgia State is 1-4 against SEC teams. The Panthers have covered in four of those matchups including a 38-30 outright win against Tennessee in 2019 as a 24.5-point underdog.
LSU is currently a 30.5-favorite in Saturday’s matchup according to the NCAA football picks against the spread.
LSU is 5-0 at home this season and has won four of those games by at least 17 points. Georgia State is 3-3 on the road after dropping last week’s game 42-14 to Appalachian State.
Tight end Kris Byrd and receiver Ja’Cyais Credle (11 catches in four games) are out for Georgia State.
For LSU, running back Logan Diggs (635 yards, six touchdowns) is questionable while cornerbacks Zy Alexander (44 tackles, two interceptions, seven pass breakups) and Darian Chestnut (six tackles, one interception) as well as running back Armoni Goodwin are out.
LSU moved from 18th to 15th in the latest Associated Press poll and went from 19th to 15th in the American Football Coaches Association poll. LSU figures to move up when the latest College Football Playoff rankings are released.
Date/Time: Saturday, Nov. 18, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
TV & Live Stream: ESPN2
Line: LSU -30.5 | Total: 71
Bounce-Back Season For the Panthers
Georgia State is bowl-eligible for the fifth time in the last six years. The Panthers are coming off a 4-8 season after going 1-5 in one-score games. They have won both games this college football season in matchups decided by seven points or less.
Georgia State has been outscored 128-55 during a three-game losing streak with the defense allowing 509 yards per contest.
Marcus Carroll is third among Football Bowl Subdivision players with 1206 rushing yards, topping his total from the previous three seasons combined. He will have an impact on the Georgia State vs LSU football odds.
Georgia State has covered in just two of its last six games.
How Much Will The Top Tigers Play?
It won’t be surprising to see quarterback and Heisman Trophy candidate Jayden Daniels play limited snaps if this game gets out of hand quickly.
Daniels is coming off a huge game with 372 passing yards and three touchdown passes to go with 234 rushing yards and two more touchdowns in a 52-35 win over Florida. He became the first major college player to throw for at least 350 yards and run for 200 yards in the same game as he is now fourth at +700 in the odds to win the Heisman Trophy.
Daniels leads all Football Bowl Subdivision quarterbacks with 918 rushing yards. He is first nationally with 408.2 yards of total offense per game. He is closing in on being the first player with at least 3000 passing yards and 1000 rushing yards in the same season since Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts in 2019. Keep that in mind when looking at the Georgia State vs LSU football odds.
The total has gone over in each of LSU’s last eight contests at home.
The teams have never met. In LSU’s last game against a Sun Belt program, the Tigers topped Louisiana Monroe 27-14 but failed to cover as 29-point favorites.
The last time Georgia State faced a team from the SEC, the Panthers lost 35-14 at South Carolina in the 2022 season opener. The 12.5-point underdogs only trailed by 14 heading into the fourth quarter.
The game fell under the 55-point total.
Georgia State vs LSU Betting Preview
LSU leads the country in total offense, putting up 560.2 yards per game. The Tigers are scoring 45.9 points per game and that is second only to Oregon’s 46.3 PPG.
Georgia State is just 10th in the Sun Belt in total defense, allowing 428.8 yards per game with the Panthers surrendering the most passing yards among Sun Belt teams so that is not a good combination.
LSU is 6-3 against the ncaaf odds spread at home this NCAAF season and has covered in four of its five games as the favorite at home. In their last eight games when favored by at least 20 points, the Tigers are 8-0 outright and 5-3 against the spread.
Georgia State is 2-1 against the college football betting lines as a road underdog. The Panthers are 1-9 in the last 10 games as a double-digit underdog and 6-4 against the spread in those matchups.
The total has gone over in each of LSU’s last 10 games. Much of the early money has come in on this game finishing under the 71-point total.
The Panthers have covered in six of their last seven games. However, it might be asking quite a bit for that trend to continue against LSU.