Alabama vs Texas A&M Odds: Can the Aggies Take Down Alabama At Home Again?

First Place in the SEC West Division Is On the Line when Alabama Heads to Face Texas A&M

Texas A&M Looks To Make It Two Straight Wins At Home Versus favored Alabama

The last time that Alabama headed to College Station, the Aggies came through with one of the biggest upsets of the 2021 college football season. The Alabama vs Texas A&M odds list the visiting Crimson Tide as the road favorite once again.

First place in the SEC West Division will be at stake when the Crimson Tide and Aggies square off on Saturday afternoon, as both teams are 2-0 in SEC play.

Since the start of the 2022 season, Texas A&M is 1-0-1 against the run line as the home underdog, with Alabama covering just twice in seven games as the road favorite.

According to the college football odds and predictions, Alabama is favored by 2.5 points. It is the first time 2015 that the Crimson Tide have been favored by less than a touchdown versus the Aggies.

Alabama returned to the top 10 in the American Football Coaches Association poll, and when looking at the NCAAF rankings, the Crimson Tide comes in at No. 11 in the Associated Press poll.

Coming into the season, Alabama was second only to two-time defending national champion Georgia in the odds to win the national title. The title odds have moved from +600 to +2500, with the odds for the Aggies moving from +5000 to +12500.

Crimson Tide logo  Alabama at Texas A&M  Aggies logo

Date & Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
TV & Streaming: CBS
Line: Alabama -2.5 | Total: 49

Crimson Tide Looking to Seal The Deal

The good news for Alabama is that the Crimson Tide has come away with points in 16 of the drives into the red zone so far this season.

However, beginning with a loss to Texas in Week 2, Alabama has settled for field goals on seven of its last 13 trips into the red zone, and that could prove costly down the stretch if that continues to happen. That could come into play regarding the Alabama vs Texas A&M odds.

Alabama has been in the top 30 nationally regarding the percentage of red-zone drives that have ended in touchdowns in the last six seasons. The Crimson Tide ranks 104th in that category this season, with only eight Power-5 conference teams having a lower percentage than Alabama’s mark of 52.9%.

The total has gone over in five of the last seven games for Alabama.

Aggies Getting Defensive

A season ago, Texas A&M ranked in the middle of the SEC in yards allowed per game, and only South Carolina surrendered more rushing yards per game than the Aggies.

Texas A&M has allowed the fewest yards and yards per play among SEC teams this season. Keep that in mind when looking at the Alabama vs Texas A&M odds.

It certainly helps that Texas A&M is tied for second nationally with 49 tackles for loss and is tied for third with 20 sacks. Through the first five games a season ago, Texas A&M had 21 tackles for loss and six sacks.

In last year’s four-point loss to Alabama, the Aggies had season-highs with 10 tackles for loss and four sacks.

When it comes to the college football this weekend, keep in mind that four of Texas A&M’s last six games have finished over the total.

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Last Meeting

Alabama got a 50-yard field goal from Will Reichard late in the first half and a touchdown pass from Jalen Milroe to Ja’Corey Brooks on the first drive of the second half to build up a 10-point lead.

Alabama’s defense limited Texas A&M to a pair of field goals in the second half to come away with the 24-20 win.

Alabama failed to cover for the fourth time in the last six meetings against Texas A&M as the 24.5-point favorite, and the game fell under the 48.5-point total.

What to Expect

Something will have to give since Texas A&M is 3-0 at home, and Alabama has won its first two road games of the season. The Aggies are also perfect against the college football betting lines in College Station this season.

The Aggies have won five straight home games. The 49-point total is the second lowest between the Aggies and Crimson Tide since Texas A&M joined the SEC.

The game features four of the nine SEC players with at least 3.5 sacks, so both quarterbacks could be under pressure in this matchup. Alabama’s Dallas Turner is the SEC leader with 5.5 sacks, with all of them coming in the last three games. He was held without a sack in the first two games he played against the Aggies.

Alabama linebacker Deontae Lawson is questionable with an ankle injury while Texas A&M lost starting quarterback Conner Weigman, but former LSU QB Max Johnson stepped in and led the Aggies to a win over Arkansas last week. Defensive back Jardin Gilbert is also out for the Aggies.

Four of the last five meetings between Alabama and Texas A&M have finished under the total. Alabama had won eight straight versus Texas A&M, including four on the road before the 2021 loss when the Aggies were 18.5-point underdogs.

Alabama has failed to cover in each of the last five games in Week 6. However, the Crimson Tide has covered in four of their previous six games. Texas A&M has covered against the college football odds in five of the last six games. The Aggies could have their hands full against an Alabama team coming off a 40-point effort heading into Saturday’s afternoon matchup.

For NCAAF news, betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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