Chiefs vs Bills Odds: Round Three Goes to Buffalo?
NFL Odds Have Bills Favored in This Trilogy
Bills Favored by Under a Field Goal Against Chiefs
The Buffalo Bills get a third crack at the Kansas City Chiefs, but this one is on their turf. The Chiefs beat the Bills in two of the last three playoffs. But if the Chiefs vs Bills odds, which have Buffalo favored by 2.5 points, prove right, Buffalo gets the last laugh. A total of “only” 46.5 also indicates this one should be more defensively oriented than their previous six meetings.
Chiefs vs Bills 
Day/Time:
Records: Chiefs (10-7)/Bills (11-6)
Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Streaming: Watch Live Sports
Chiefs and Bills Meeting at the Right Time
It has not been the smoothest of NFL seasons for Buffalo or Kansas City. While they both finished at 11-6, each had to navigate through difficult spots. Buffalo fell to 6-6 and fired its offensive coordinator. Kansas City struggled on offense as it fell to an average of 21.8 points from 29.2 the previous season. But here they are.
The Bills are on a six-game winning streak, while the Chiefs have won three straight. Buffalo’s defense has held its opponents to no more than 22 points during this stretch, while the Chiefs have done the same. Moreover, both teams are coming off blowout wins in the NFL playoffs. They’re on a roll and are now on a collision course.
But despite being favored on the Chiefs vs Bills odds, Buffalo faces more adversity against Kansas City. The team is dealing with a glut of injuries. On top of already being without three of their best defenders, Buffalo lost linebackers Terrel Bernard and Tyrel Dodson and secondary NFL players Taylor Rapp and Rasul Douglas.
“It’s going to take a team effort,” quarterback Josh Allen said in response to beating Kansas City despite the NFL injuries. “They’re playing really good football right now. We’re going to need everyone in Bills Mafia to come out and support us… just thank God we get to play another football game.”
Kansas City and Buffalo have the fourth and third-shortest Super Bowl odds now. The Chiefs are playing the underdog, a role it has excelled in. Since 2018, the Chiefs are 8-5 as an underdog. But Buffalo, led by Allen, are 35-8 at home as a favorite. Either way, this game may come down to a late touchdown, just like it did the last time.
Defenses To Dictate This Match?
The last Chiefs-Bills playoff game was unforgettable. The two sides combined to score 78 points – 25 of which was famously scored in the game’s final two minutes. But while that was an enjoyable firefight, the Chiefs vs. Bills odds indicate more of a defensive NFL matchup per the total. After all, the Chiefs and Bills have the second and fourth-best scoring defenses.
And if we look at recent trends, Chiefs games have gone under the total in five of their last six. And six of the Bills’ 10 home games have trended the same way. As such, this is merely the second time these NFL teams will have a total under 50 since Patrick Mahomes and Allen faced each other. Their last game had a total of 49, and that went 12 points under. Buffalo won 20-17.
But as we previewed earlier, Buffalo could be vulnerable here. The team’s defense is riddled with injuries. And Kansas City’s offense looked better than ever as it put up 26 points against Miami in freezing temperatures.
These teams have not given up more than 22 points since Week 13. And Buffalo has looked much more solid overall since its bye week. But the Chiefs are rolling, and Allen has lit up Kansas City in his career. He’s thrown 15 touchdowns against three interceptions.
We can’t expect another eye-popping NFL score like the last time. But the 46.5 total seems like an overreaction given Buffalo and Kansas City’s recent trends. Their last game was defensive. But as we’ve seen in the past, the playoffs just play out differently than the regular season.
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