Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim Bundesliga Odds & Preview
Bundesliga Back on Friday
Bayern Resume Title Push
Following a two week Winter break, the Bundesliga returns for the second half of the 2023-24 season on Friday. Bayern Munich, 11-time defending champions, host Hoffenheim at the Allianz Arena. Bayern enter 2024 in second place in the Bundesliga, four points behind leaders Bayer Leverkusen. Although, Bayern do have a game in hand and the weight of expectations on them. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim have been solid this season and are in seventh place heading into the weekend. We’ll preview the Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim Bundesliga odds as German top-flight soccer returns.
Bayern Munich vs. Hoffenheim
Date, time:
Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Streaming: Live Sports Stream
Head-to-Head
This is the first opportunity to bet on the Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim Bundesliga odds this season. The last time these teams met was in April 2023; the match finished in a 1-1 draw. In fact, two of the previous three meetings finished 1-1, but Bayern did manage a 2-0 win in October 2022. Heading into this match, Bayern are unbeaten in their last five games vs. Hoffenheim. Notably, Hoffenheim has only managed one road win over Bayern Munich in 16 tries.
Kane on Record Setting Pace for Bayern Munich
Despite playing one fewer game than nearly every other team in the league, Bayern Munich lead the Bundesliga in scoring. They’ve found the net 49 times in just 15 games and Harry Kane is on a record breaking goal scoring pace.
Kane has scored 21 times in just 15 games, which puts him on pace for almost 48 goals. The single-season record in the Bundesliga stats is held by former Bayern man Robert Lewandowski, who scored 41 goals in 2020-21.
Kane scored a screamer in Bayern Munich’s last match of 2023, which finished in a 2-1 win over Wolfsburg. Thomas Muller turned back the clock and provided both assists in the road victory. Along with Kane’s 21 goals, Leroy Sane has gotten on the scoresheet eight times in the Bundesliga this season.
Heading into this match, Bayern have won eight of their last nine games in the Bundesliga. Plus, they finished the UEFA Champions League group stage with yet another unbeaten record.
Four points behind Bayer Leverkusen at the moment, the Bundesliga odds price Bayern as -300 favorites to win a 12th straight title. For the next few weeks, Bayern Munich will have to make do without defenders Kim Min-jae and Noussair Mazraoui, who are both away on international duty. Meanwhile, Konrad Laimer and Serge Gnabry are out injured.
Hoffenheim Conceding at Alarming Rate
Just before the Winter break, TSG Hoffenheim played in a six-goal thriller vs. Darmstadt. Ihlas Bebou scored twice for Hoffenheim in the 3-3 draw. Hoffenheim led 3-2 late in the second half but a mistake from Ozan Kabak started a Darmstadt move which they masterfully finished off. Following the draw, Hoffenheim remained in seventh place in the Bundesliga table. Concerningly, they’ve conceded three goals in each of their last two games and have allowed 30 goals through 16 matches this season.
Hoffenheim have not kept a clean sheet since September, and they’ve only won one of their last eight Bundesliga matches. Bettors should note that Hoffenheim have scored in every single Bundesliga match they’ve played this season, though. Although Hoffenheim have just a 2-2-4 home record this season, they’re a superb 5-1-2 away from home. Still, Bayern are the cream of the crop in the Bundesliga and Hoffenheim are big underdogs for Friday’s match.
Two of Bebou’s three goals this season came in the match vs. Darmstadt, as Maximilian Beier and Andrej Kramaric led the team with six goals apiece. However, Kramaric has only scored twice from open play, as four of his goals have come on penalties. There are a few names on the Hoffenheim injury list at the moment, but none are players who receive regular minutes.
Match Analysis & Odds
Bayern Munich are expected to kick off 2024 with a bang, as they’re 2.5-goal favorites for Friday’s match. Hoffenheim are leaking goals and it’s reasonable to assume that Bayern will get on the scoresheet a couple of times. Currently, the Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim Bundesliga odds price Bayern as -675 favorites as Kane looks to continue his stellar goalscoring form.
Hoffenheim, who last won at the Allianz in 2019, are +1200 underdogs, and Hoffenheim +2.5 comes in at -115 odds. Bettors can also take Bayern Munich at -2.5 at -105, and the Bavarians have already won six Bundesliga matches this season by a three-goal margin or more. A draw would hurt Bayern Munich in the title race almost as much as a loss, and a deadlock displays +800 odds here.
Bayern’s Bundesliga matches have averaged over four goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim’s matches have averaged close to four. Here, the over/under goal total is a ridiculous 4, 4.5. Both teams have scored in every Bundesliga match they’ve played, but under 4, 4.5 goals are priced at -120 odds.
