Bundesliga Match of the Week
Two of the Bundesliga’s best teams meet on Saturday as Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig. The two Champions League clubs have already clinched a spot in the UCL round of 16 and are within one point of each other in the Bundesliga table. The winner of Saturday’s match will finish the weekend in the top four. Dortmund faced another tough test last weekend when they took on leaders Bayer Leverkusen and drew 1-1. As BVB look to get another result, we’ll take a look at the Dortmund vs Leipzig Bundesliga odds.
Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
Streaming: Live Sports Stream
On last season’s Bundesliga schedule, the home team won both meetings of this fixture. Leipzig won 3-0 at Red Bull Arena and Dortmund picked up a 2-1 win at the Signal Iduna Park. These teams met three times in 2022-23, in all competitions, as Leipzig defeated Dortmund 2-0 in the DFB-Pokal Quarter-finals. Leipzig have won four of their last five games vs. Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund Hitting Rough Patch
Borussia Dortmund put in an underwhelming performance in Wednesday’s 2-0 DFB Pokal loss to Stuttgart. Dortmund deserved to lose the match and it’s now their second loss to Stuttgart, in all competitions, in the span of a month. They did manage to draw vs. league leaders Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga last weekend, though. Julian Ryerson opened up the scoring for visitors Dortmund just five minutes in.
BVB held on for over an hour but Victor Boniface equalized and the match finished 1-1. Dortmund are typically one of the most popular Bundesliga picks but they’ve won just one of their last five league matches. During that time, Dortmund have conceded 11 goals and they’ve struggled to keep clean sheets lately. Pressure is building on coach Edin Terzic but he has guided Borussia Dortmund to the Champions League round of 16.
Dortmund have been much better at home than on the road in the Bundesliga. They’re 5-1-1 at the Signal Iduna Park and just 2-3-1 away from home. For Saturday’s match, Dortmund have a few players out due to injury. Felix Nmecha and Sebastien Haller are both expected to return in January. Meanwhile, Gio Reyna is dealing with an illness and is questionable.
Even though Dortmund have averaged two goals per game this season, none of their players have scored more than four Bundesliga goals so far. Here, the Dortmund vs Leipzig Bundesliga odds price the hosts as +155 underdogs.
RB Leipzig Struggling on the Road
RB Leipzig have lost four of their last five road matches, in all competitions, heading into the weekend. At Red Bull Arena last weekend, RB Leipzig picked up a 2-1 win over Heidenheim. Leipzig took the lead on a Lois Openda penalty in the first half and Yussuf Poulsen doubled their lead. Just before halftime, Heidenheim got a goal back, which set up a frantic second half. Leipzig held on for the victory and are still unbeaten at home, at 5-2-0.
Openda has been a revelation since joining from Lens in Ligue 1. He’s scored 10 Bundesliga goals in 13 starts. Meanwhile, Xavi Simons, on loan from PSG, leads the Bundesliga with seven assists so far. Leipzig have averaged well over two goals per game and are firmly in the hunt for another Champions League berth.
The Bundesliga odds imply that Leipzig have a 71.4 percent chance to finish in the top four, at -250. This is a big match for them and a draw on Saturday will keep Leipzig in the top four for the time being. However, Timo Werner, Dani Olmo and Willi Orban are all set to miss out due to injuries.
Match Analysis & Odds
Even though Leipzig have struggled on the road lately, they’re slight +150 favorites for this match. Borussia Dortmund opened up as favorites but their midweek loss has proven to be a cause for concern. The Dortmund vs Leipzig Bundesliga odds list the hosts as +155 underdogs and they’re 0-1-2 vs. the Bundesliga’s top four teams this season.
In this pick’em, both Borussia Dortmund pk and RB Leipzig pk come in at -110 odds. Leipzig have done well in this fixture lately and they can absolutely go toe-to-toe with Dortmund in this one. A draw displays +285 odds in what could be a back and forth match.
RB Leipzig have gotten on the scoresheet in their last eight matches vs. Dortmund and have averaged 2.4 goals per game in the last five. Over 3, 3.5 goals are priced -120 odds in what’s expected to be another high-scoring match.