Soccer: Ligue 1 Outright Odds 2022-23

Paris Saint-Germain Expected to Repeat

Ligue 1 PSG’s to Lose

Paris Saint-Germain comfortably won Ligue 1 last season and will go for a ninth title in eleven seasons in 2022-23. With Kylian Mbappe signed to a new deal, the rest of the league is on notice; however, there should be a lot of personnel changes that could open the door for a title challenger. Let’s take a look at the contenders based on the latest Ligue 1 outright odds.

The Favorite

Even if Neymar leaves, as he’s rumored to do, the duo of Mbappe and Messi is one of the world’s best. Brazilian superstar Neymar has been linked with a move to the Premier League but wages and a transfer fee may prove prohibitive. So, while there were growing pains in Messi’s first year, PSG was still on top of the France Ligue 1 standings.

The Parisians now sit at whopping -1000 outright odds to win another league title. OGC Nice manager Christophe Galtier shockingly led Lille to the title over PSG in 2020-21. He didn’t have the same success with Nice in 2020-21, so if you can’t beat ‘em join ‘em. PSG are closing in on a deal to bring in Galtier as their next head coach, as Mauricio Pochettino was recently dismissed.

PSG fans are so desensitized to winning Ligue 1 to the point that they boycotted the title celebrations last season. It’s winning the Champions League or bust for PSG and perhaps that could mean less of a focus on Ligue 1 this year.

Make no mistakes about it, this is a stacked team from back to front. Gianluigi Donnarumma is poised to take over in the net on a full-time basis and he’s one of the best keepers in the world. With the permanent signing of left-back Nuno Gomes after a successful loan spell, PSG’s defense is as solid as ever.

In midfield, PSG has one of the world’s most underrated players, Marco Verratti. An energizer bunny of a midfielder, Verratti sets the tone for the entire team. PSG is locked and loaded for another excellent season.

Dark Horses

Marseille was one of the most surprising teams in Ligue 1 last season and will be playing in the Champions League this season. They’ve already made the loan signings of Matteo Guendouzi, Pau Lopez, and Arkadiusz Milik permanent.

They’re the second-most likely team to come away with the Ligue 1 title, with odds of +1100. There will, however, be a big hole in their defense this season as William Saliba returned to Arsenal. Marseille is said to be working on a permanent deal for the French international, who was on loan from 2021-22. Arsenal is reportedly very unlikely to sell their prized defender, so Marseille may have to look elsewhere.

In any case, Jorge Sampaoli has done an excellent job with this group and the foundation of a solid team is there. Midfielder Gerson was a standout last season and the Brazilian only figures to get better.

Priced at +1400 Ligue 1 outright odds, Olympique Lyonnais will be looking to bounce back in 2022-23. Lyon finished eighth in Ligue 1 last season and never quite got it all together. OL sold Bruno Guimaraes in January to Newcastle and Lucas Paqueta may follow his former teammate in the Summer.

Without the ambition to retain their top players and build their roster, Lyon is in a strange position. There’s still a lot of time in the transfer window, though, and the club was just sold. So, the new owners could prioritize returning Lyon to its former glory. It’s clear that without European competition this season, Lyon is expected to finish a lot higher than eighth. Forward Moussa Dembele scored 21 goals last season and is expected to shoulder the goalscoring load once again.


Monaco got off to a slow start last season but recovered to finish third. Wissam Ben-Yedder was a goal-scoring machine in the second half of the season, with 15 goals in 19 matches. He’s averaged over 20 goals per season in three years with Monaco and is the focal point of their attack.

The Monegasques sit at +2000 Ligue 1 outright odds but lost key midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni to Real Madrid. With the $88 million transfer fee Monaco received, they have the opportunity to strengthen their squad. Liverpool winger Takumi Minamino is close to moving to Monaco and other moves could follow.

The Ligue 1 games schedule is set for next season but Monaco is still in the midst of Champions League qualifiers. They’ll contest the third playoff round in July and will certainly need to bolster their squad to compete in Ligue 1 and the UCL.

Rennes narrowly missed out on a Champions League berth last season and will be playing in the Europa League this season. They were one of only two teams to have two top-ten Ligue 1 scorers last season and have a ton of offensive firepower.

Martin Terrier scored 21 goals last season and he’s now drawing interest in the transfer market. Keeping him will be key to Rennes’ Ligue 1 hopes this season. Currently, Rennes are a +2500 to win Ligue 1 and they’re an interesting pick. They scored the second-most goals in the league last season and had the second-best goal difference.

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