Brewers vs Mets Betting Odds: Verlander Large Favorite in Opener
New York Mets Host Milwaukee in 3-Game Series
The Brewers vs Mets betting odds have Justin Verlander -175 over Colin Rea in Monday’s opening game of a three-game series. The total on the game is 8-over (-120).
The Brewers enter the contest off a 5-4 10-inning win at Cleveland on Sunday. Milwaukee is 20-19 after a victory. The Milwaukee Brewers standings have the team one-half game behind Cincinnati in the NL Central. The Brewers are 40-37 overall and 18-19 on the road.
The Brewers don’t swing the bats very well, ranking No. 29 in hitting among Major League Baseball teams. Only the Oakland A’s have a lower average. Milwaukee is No. 25 in runs scored.
The Brewers are a better pitching team, ranking No. 14 in team ERA and have gotten decent performances from the closers, converting 19 of 28 saves.
The Mets dropped a 7-6 decision to the Phillies on Sunday, allowing four runs in the bottom of the eighth. The loss dropped the Mets to 35-42. The Mets have been better at home, going 17-15. New York 17-24 after a loss.
The Mets are No. 19 in team batting average and No. 15 in runs scored. New York is No. 25 in team ERA and have also converted 19 of 28 save opportunities. One reason for New York’s less than stellar record is having played 32 home games and 45 road games so far.
Monday’s Game
The Brewers vs Mets betting odds of New York -175 is strictly based on what Verlander has done in the past. It’s certainly not based on this season. The Mets are 3-6 in the nine games Verlander has started. All three wins have been by a single run, so New York is 0-9 against the run line with Verlander on the mound.
The Brewers are 7-5 with Rea on the mound. Milwaukee is scoring 4.75 runs and allowing 4.42 runs in those 12 games. All five losses have been by at least two runs, which makes it a bit harder to take the Brewers on the run line. Still, the Mets on the run line doesn’t inspire any confidence and the value on this one rests with Milwaukee.
Tuesday’s Game
The Brewers are expected to start Julio Teheran in the second game of the series. He’s been exceptional for Milwaukee, but the Brewers are just 2-4 when he takes the mound. He pitched five scoreless innings last time he started, but the Brewers lost 5-1 to Arizona. Teheran has an ERA of 1.53 on the year. But the Brewers aren’t giving him any favors, averaging 1.83 runs in support.
The Mets have David Peterson slated to start and he’s been awful. The Mets are 1-7 when he starts, allowing an average of 5.88 runs per game. Peterson was sent to the minors after going 1-6 with an 8.08 ERA. He wasn’t much better there, sporting an ERA of over 6.00 in his last five starts for Syracuse. But he’s still expected to be called up to start this one. If the line is reasonable, the Brewers are the play in this one.
Wednesday’s Game
The Brewers haven’t named a starter for Wednesday. Wade Miley is a possibility. The Mets are expected to start Kodai Senga, who has been solid. If he does get the start, expect the Brewers vs Mets betting odds to be close to New York -135. The Mets are 8-6 when Senga takes the mound and 4-3 at home. New York’s games have gone 4-10 in totals with Senga on the hill.
Miley last pitched June 23, so it’s his spot in the rotation coming up. The Mets are just 9-18 against left-handed starters, so it doesn’t make any sense not to pitch him if he can go. Miley has pitched well lately, with the Brewers winning his last three outings and allowing a combined three runs in those games.
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